Since Dean got 41 percent the last time I checked, I'm gonna go ahead and say he is the nominee, If the general election were today...
Virtually any Democrat gets my vote if it's in the general election. Of course, were it Lieberman, I may have to consider voting Green, but I don't think it will be a problem.
i'm softening on my stance on Dean. I still think civil unions is gonna be a problem for him. Can you imagine the TV attack ads on this issue? But I think he would tear Bush apart in the debates. I think Kerry is the safer choice, especially his veteran status. If the election were held today, I'd guess that Bush would win the popular vote 53%