Looking at it on the satellite...it better turn west awfully quick if it's not going to seriously affect Houston weather. ALL of the action related to this storm is to the east of the center. That indicates its a poorly organized system, I'm sure. But they're talking about 7pm landfall tomorrow night. They've been saying since 7am this morning that they expected westward movement over the course of the next 12-24 hours. We're coming up on about 9 hours and not only is it not moving west...it's moving more towards the north than it was previously.
Looking at the tracker provided by click2houston.com, it appears to be heading right for us. http://html.click2houston.com/sh/idi/weather/hurricanes/hurricanetracker.html It was hanging out going nowhere this morning, now all of a sudden it's lunging more north than west.
Was just catching Dr Neil before I headed downm to Galveston... and PortOconnor is now at 38% and Galveston is at 34% We are going to catch some stuff even if we dont get hit directly. Get ready yall... EDIT: Thanks Jeff...duh...But still...thats getting a little close for comfort. Especially to those of us who have property on the west end of Galveston
Don't ever believe anything Channel 2 has to say. Max: There is no doubt we are going to get rain out of this. But they are talking 50-60 MPH winds less than 30 miles out from the center. That thing would have to track practically straight up 45 for Houston to get the worst of it. I still think we are going to get a bunch of rain and some pretty decent wind.
No question. If you live near the gulf, you do need to take precautions especially from flooding. The guy on the weather channel said a category 1 would cause minimal damage - downed power lines, tree branches, maybe a few shingles - but the main thing people near the coast have to be concerned about is flooding from high tides associated with the storm surge.
LMFAO! Jeff may know a lot about the Rockets, but unless God pulled a Brice Almighty on him, I wouldn't think his expectation on landfall would matter, lol. Then again, he's probably no worse at predicting where it's going than our jackass local weathermen are...
I didnt ask him where it would hit. I asked him where HE expected it to. Edit : I dont live near Houston, so its not like I am planning my schedule around what Jeff says. Hes been talking about it so much, I was just interested in where he THOUGHT it would land.
Oh, so you're saying that to you it matters where an anonymous BBS poster, based on his analysis of meteorological telemetry readings, EXPECTS a massive storm to hit. OK. In that case, I expect it will make landfall near the mouth of Buffalo Bayou, meander into downtown Hosuton, annhilate Spy & the former Power Tools, and then slowly dissipate over Kim Son.
Dood, back off of Jeff, he IS all knowing! (Except for Mrs. JB, who's pretty much the brains of the family!)
Just going by the NHC, I still think their prediction of Matagorda Bay is a pretty good one, though it wouldn't surprise me at all to see it hit Freeport or even Galveston.
Whats your problem man? Why do you care why I asked him? Are you mad because I didnt ask you of your opinion or something?
It's now a category 1 hurricane, with sustained winds of 85mph. Movement is still to the NW at 7mph. Anyone gettin kinda skeert? Edit: This was reported on NOAA radio, but the weather channel is still reporting only 65 mph winds.
Claudette, per the 11pm NHC advisory, is a 70mph tropical storm. The 85mph value on weather radio was more than likely an estimation from the latest recon plane in the center of the storm, which reported a 75kt (~85mph) surface wind. It's likely to become a hurricane early tomorrow morning. And, it has taken a hard turn to the right and Corpus Christi (or just north) looks under the gun in terms of landfall of the center. Still, anywhere along the coast north of CC should be on guard for heavy rainfall and wind gusts. Edit: want to follow the storm? Check out the radar out of Houston...http://www.srh.noaa.gov/radar/loop/DS.p19r0/si.khgx.shtml Later, as the storm nears coast, the Corpus Christi radar may prove to be the better choice, but for now, the Houston radar is better.
Yeah, looks like it finally made that hard turn to the west with projections aiming it just south of Matagorda Bay near Port O'Connor. Probabilities still have it between Port O'Connor and Freeport but the latest from the NHC suggest that track should be shifted a little to the south and west. They still expect a solid category 1 making landfall in the mid-evening hours tomorrow especially now that it is under the influence of the upper level high. That should cause it to pick up speed as it heads towards the coast.
Flooding won't be so bad close to the bay, right on the water yes but half a mile away from it should be fine, the flood plain is just that way around the water. People in Pearland should watch out though because that area used to be rice paddies and it has the potential to flood bad. League City should be fine. Nassau Bay should flood about 7 houses. KEmah will get some water. Galveston has the seawall and high sidewalks. I'd be more concerned if I lived inland close to a bayou like WHite oak or something. Remember Allison.
