It's only a 1% chance if Bosh, Wade and LeBron all opt out. At which point I would think they are all doing so to take less money to actually build a real team. He has until the 29th to let everyone know what his plans are. From what I understand he was planning on taking at least a week off before thinking about things, but we all know he's thought about this decision. Wade played in 54 games this season, so let's be generous and say Wade takes a 4 year contract and misses 3 games each year going forward. 14-15 Wade plays 51 games 15-16 48 games 16-17 45 games 17-18 42 games If your second best player is playing just over half of the season I believe they will continue to come up short. Who wins if they played? Harden and Howard VS Wade and Bosh
That we are not confident in our chances to land either one so we want to keep open as much of the 2015 cap room as possible.
Lin's gone in 12 months, why send out an asset along with probably the annual $3.3 million trade buffer for the right to have a Beverly/Udrih rotation? Beverly and 82 games of backup pg minutes from the scrap heap is far worse than having Lin anyways. If that can be offset by dramatic improvements elsewhere on the team of course you do it, but making a move out of personal dislike to the detriment of the team is something James Dolan would do, not a contending NBA franchise. Asik can be traded into an asset at any time, with team needs dictating what type of asset wanted in return.
What are the chances that whoever we are trading with demand more from us at the last second knowing that they are our only hopes of landing Melo or LeBron.
I think (hope) there will probably be multiple teams willing to take on Asik/Lins contracts so it will not become an issue.
This seems less likely if it is believed that Maury has a deal in his back pocket already. If they want him, then we have leverage. If multiple teams want him - or if they believe that - then we have more leverage.
I would love to get Scola, Landry, Lowry, Brooks, Von Wafer, and Chuck Hayes. That would be an insane supporting cast and each would take a minimum salary.
what we get for Asik, will be paid for Lin, there would be a first rounder and maybe a cpl seconds for Asik, and that'll probably be the price to get someone to take Lin. It will also probably require us to have paid 25% of their salary which can't be done until July 1.
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There will be many teams with sufficient cap room this summer to take on either Lin or Asik's contract, some even both, while sending no money in return. So, there really is not that much of a potential for a "hostage situation" to develop in terms of cap room clearance. Morey likely has talked to every possible trade partner in such scenarios and knows where the market stands. Remember, given the reduced length of contracts under the new CBA, teams nowadays are constantly having players' contracts expire and so even teams that spent money on big contracts one year can end up with cap room the very next season-- see Detroit, Milwaukee, Atlanta, Charlotte and more. Trying to find a trade partner with cap space isn't all that difficult. For many of them, if they can't land the right free agent on a long term deal, it really isn't a bad option to get a guy on an expiring deal, see how he fits and get back into the free agent game next season.
I don't think that we will have to include any picks to get a team to take Lin. Of course we will have to include multiple picks because they will be inheriting the LOFs.
Trading picks for Lin is to offset his contract structure, not an indictment of talent. $3.3 million in cash to halve the difference, $3-4 million equivalent in draft stock, and then he's an $8 million expiring player showcasing. Also just realized that whichever below the salary cap team that trades for Lin won't have his full amount counted towards the salary floor. Philadelphia was $700k under the floor last year, so for them to take on Lin would be actual increase in team salary for the year as opposed to reallocation of current payroll.
