He probably made a mistake. Maybe he meant 2-20 instead of 22-20. But those are just details to the overall point he was making.
Yeah, sorry typo. 2-20. The point is that having a better record than 40-20 through 60 games is arbitrary. I'd understand if it was just "you need to win two thirds of your games", but "winning 40 before 20" is just a frivolity.
Rox is probably borderline, and their record said about the same. That said, this is the first year of Dwight, so we should give Rox some slack. If Rox can gel and get more solid as the season progresses, who knows how far they can go?
I'd prefer if he stated winning 40 of your last 60, but the point still remains that if you went 0-22 to start the season, your chances of making the playoffs is nil. It almost seems like he used this to motivate his ridiculously stacked teams to not slack off and lose too many gimme games early on. At the end of the day, aiming for .667 is what it all comes down to.
This thread would have a point if you posted the % of Finals Teams this held true for over the past decade. But you didn't,,soo.... POSTIT
So math time? This is basically saying win two of three for sixty games. At thirty-four and seventeen through fifty-one games the Rockets are doing just that. Math time says they will win six of the next nine games to stand at forty and twenty. You can call me Derp-yl Morey Jr.
He just said it was a typo (meant 2-22). But by the time the 95 Rockets had 40 wins, they had 24 losses! Then again they had the heart of a champion being the defending champ
My theory is that you win 4 games before you suffer 4 losses in each playoff series, you are a true champion.
I think he used the 60 game mark because in his opinion, at that points you have enough of a sample to say you're really good. You can see 10-5 teams end up with a bad record to end the season, but at 60 games, you're set. Although I remember reading somewhere that apparently 20 games is enough to make a fairly good reading on teams. But obviously, the bigger sample size the more reliable it is. At 60 games, teams are what they are barring injuries.
So basically, 2/3s of the way into the season a championship team should be .667 or better.... So Phil is saying that championship teams will have a good record for the most of the year - brilliant.... he's such a freakin blowhard....
But what team goes 0-22 and then win the rest?? 40-20 sounds way more realistic than you using a crazier scenario just to discredit this one.
