Alright predict final season stats/Career celing for T Jones. My prediction 2013-2014: 12.4 ppg. 7.5 reb. 1.2 ast. 1.9blk 1.0stl 48%fg 35%3pt Career potential: 19.5 ppg. 11.2 reb. 2.5 ast. 2.5 blk. 1.5 stl 51%fg 38%3pt. (that career stat line isnt a career avg. thats what i potentially think he could avg, in a season)
Dont you dare! Dont talk about Bonsai Bonzi like that The nerve of some people...he's not the GOAT for nothing lol
He's shown he can hit the 3pt shot...obviously he isnt going to keep up his 3pt% all season but over time i think he can improve on his already viable 3pt stroke. Plus he's only 22...if you think he can't improve that skill within the next 2-3 seasons then youre nuts
I actually hope not. Tjones is doing a more than adequet job as a starter with, from what i've observed, a very high ceiling...I would rather see a wing defender or draft picks...that or a decent backup center + a pick
The thing is, he's putting up all his points in only a few ways: Transition buckets (usually after he blocks somebody) Open 3 point shots after a drive and kick from Harden/Parsons/Lin Pump fake and drive to the bucket on a fast closing out defender after a drive and kick Offensive rebound and put back He's not being given the opportunity to create for himself at all, which is probably a good thing. He's still clearly raw. Now, if he develops a reliable offensive game, either in the post or as a pick-and-pop type player (ala Aldridge or Boozer), then we can start talking about all star appearances and the like. Athletically, he's very gifted. However, right now he's benefitting from his physical skills and the fact that he plays on a team with tons of weapons.
I mean, with that release - he has no chance at all. He need to work on his release or it will be as december (27.3%) whole career. No player except Parsons had 38% last year, there is no chance he will be any close to 35% this year even considering he's now over. It's like expecting Howard to shoot FT's at 80's range right the next season. No chance.
Thats very true. I dont expect those kind of stats to happen next year or anything, I'm projecting sometime down the line pressuming steady improvment year by year. He is very raw but I think he has the foundation to build on to become a good post player and driver. His handle, to be sure, is raw but better than that of your normal PF, its more of a low end SF's handle but its a start that most PF's dont have. I've also seen a soft touch around the rim and a pretty decent hook shot, so once again just a foundation but I believe its a solid one.
Quite possibly you're right and his percentage will drop significantly. But haven't there been good shooters with poor form? If I recall correctly, Jeff Hornacek had poor form.
I agree his percentage will drop, but as far as the poor form thing goes, even recently. Kevin Martin's shooting form is god awful, now im not saying he is going to hit threes like K-mart but he can definitely be in the mid 30's ....I admit 38% is probably on the optimistic side but its not out of the realm of possibility to think he could get there eventually because young players that have any sort of outside shot generally improve in that area...it;s not as if hes shaq trying to learn to shoot threes
The problem with T-Jones's form is that ridiculous long windup he has. As soon as he has to release the ball quickly, it comes out like a line drive with no hope of going in. So yes, his form is broken if he ever wants to be a viable 3 point threat when he's anything beside COMPLETELY open. Can he fix that in an offseason? Probably not. It's got to get worse before it gets better. He can either continue on with his career being a 30% 3 pt shooter, only making it when he's open. Or he can take a nose dive for a few years as he repairs his broken form, and maybe emerge around age 25 or 26 as a credible 3 point threat. If Jones wants to put in the work, his physical skills and solid foundation means he can be an all star. If he doesn't put in the work, he will be an athletic garbage man. On this Rockets team, an athletic garbage man can put up big numbers.
I do agree that his windup is way too long, but I think he can improve it in an offseason, fix it completely? No but little by little I see him polishing his game to the point where IMO he could be a second option on a good team, obviously i dont think he will be a second option in Houston but he has the raw talent to develop. Aside from threes, which from the way i see it could very well go excatly the way you described or he could hover around 34-36%, I think he is much closer to being a good post-up/face-up PF. I could see that happening in a year or two. But like I said you have very valid points and I can see both arguments at this point.
Eh youre probably right but im just trying to contribute to the forum in other ways than starting bash Harden/Mchale threads lol just joined the forum in October (Been a Rockets fan for wayy longer though, pretty much since birth) and have noticed alot of negative stuff aside from warranted criticisms so figured i would try and change it up...but feel free to change the subject because i too fully subscribe to the idea of jinxs.
Reggie Miller, Kevin Martin, Matt Bonner, Michael Redd, etc all have ugly shooting forms. It is difficult to predict a players shooting future based on their form. Shooting is somewhat like golf, it doesn't matter how pretty you look but rather, the ability to replicate the same motion most of the time. I don't think TJ's role is to catch and shoot from the 3 like Kevin Love. When he is wide open, shoot it so a quick release is not necessary.
Thats a good point....his role is to shoot well enough to keep the defense honest. It's more the threat of it so a defense cant just pack the paint i.e the Twin Towers.
