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NYT Nate Silver Doubles Down: 75% Chance Obama Wins

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by MojoMan, Oct 30, 2012.

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  1. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Out of my respect for you on the Rox boards and because I value your judgment and thought process I am going to email you privately an answer. Everything in that email is on this board. I'll save you the trouble of looking it up.

    Check your email in a couple minutes. I don't use it much so it'll take me a couple minutes to get it done.
     
    #301 jopatmc, Nov 4, 2012
  2. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    By the way, just for the record......

    I have emailed and tweeted Nate many, many times over the last several weeks with good, solid questions. He hasn't responded to a single one. Nary a one. he has responded to many other tweets and emails in the meantime, most of which contained very little informational value.
     
    #302 jopatmc, Nov 4, 2012
  3. CometsWin

    CometsWin Breaker Breaker One Nine

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    He's obviously avoiding you so as not to answer the tough questions. Nice work Sherlock.
     
    #303 CometsWin, Nov 4, 2012
  4. Major

    Major Member

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    I don't think he responds to stupid people asking stupid questions.
     
    #304 Major, Nov 4, 2012
    1 person likes this.
  5. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    That's probably true in a perpendicular universe.

    Of course I can always count on your responses. ;)
     
    #305 jopatmc, Nov 4, 2012
  6. Buck Turgidson

    Buck Turgidson Member

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    Well, yeah, because he's biased against stupidity. BIASED!
     
    #306 Buck Turgidson, Nov 4, 2012
  7. ChievousFTFace

    ChievousFTFace Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #307 ChievousFTFace, Nov 4, 2012
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  8. Major

    Major Member

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    This is true. I have no problems responding to stupid people.
     
    #308 Major, Nov 4, 2012
  9. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    Y U NO ANSR NATE?
     
    #309 mc mark, Nov 4, 2012
  10. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    But I have a problem responding to disrespectful people. That's why after Romney wins this election, you will be on my ignore list. ;)
     
    #310 jopatmc, Nov 4, 2012
  11. ChievousFTFace

    ChievousFTFace Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #311 ChievousFTFace, Nov 4, 2012
  12. Major

    Major Member

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    I've been disrespectful to you for a while now because I think you're an idiot. Why wait until after the election? :confused:
     
    #312 Major, Nov 4, 2012
  13. Northside Storm

    Northside Storm Member

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    People attacking Nate Silver have to get more on board with the liberal conspiracy vibe.

    We come in droves, you see.

    http://election.princeton.edu/

    Princeton Election Consortium

    As of November 4, 8:00PM EST:
    Obama: 303
    Romney: 235

    Probability of Obama re-election: Random Drift 98.4%, Bayesian Prediction 99.9%

    This was the only statistical polling site that did better than FiveThirtyEight in predicting the 2008 election.
     
    #313 Northside Storm, Nov 4, 2012
  14. jopatmc

    jopatmc Member

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    Because I want to read your lame excuses on why Obama lost.
     
    #314 jopatmc, Nov 4, 2012
  15. Major

    Major Member

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    But I don't have those now. And if you put me on ignore after the election, you wouldn't be able to see anything I write at that point anyway. :confused:
     
    #315 Major, Nov 4, 2012
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  16. ChievousFTFace

    ChievousFTFace Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #316 ChievousFTFace, Nov 4, 2012
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  17. Northside Storm

    Northside Storm Member

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    If anything, Silver is being generous. Votamatic, using a long-term predictive econometrics model, has called this thing dead for quite some time.

    [​IMG]

    http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/04/comparisons-among-aggregators-and-modelers/#more-8408
     
    #317 Northside Storm, Nov 4, 2012
  18. Lil Pun

    Lil Pun Member

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    I love this meme. :grin:
     
    #318 Lil Pun, Nov 4, 2012
  19. ChievousFTFace

    ChievousFTFace Member

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    [​IMG]
     
    #319 ChievousFTFace, Nov 4, 2012
  20. Rashmon

    Rashmon Member

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    Not sure what the problem is jopat, Nate answers all of my emails. He went to see Cloud Atlas today.
     
    #320 Rashmon, Nov 4, 2012
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