2012 Presidential Election: Romney vs. Obama

basso · Oct 31, 2012

nef2005 said: ↑

In all seriousness, I'm just glad to see he's still doing well.
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thanks- we're fine where we are. lots of folks not so lucky.

Nook · Oct 31, 2012

basso said: ↑

thanks- we're fine where we are. lots of folks not so lucky.
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FEMA.

basso · Oct 31, 2012

vote with your ladysmarts:

<iframe width="640" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/9rDRz2DLct4" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

Dubious · Oct 31, 2012

(double post)

Dubious · Oct 31, 2012

*the new Citizen's United campaign paradigm*

You can never know who funds any PAC, so discount any ad by any of them.

Women's United PAC

Carl Herrera · Oct 31, 2012

Lol at Romney's phoney "disaster relief rally" being exposed:

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/10/romneys-relief-theater-1.html

Hakeemtheking · Oct 31, 2012

Carl Herrera said: ↑

Lol at Romney's phoney "disaster relief rally" being exposed:

http://andrewsullivan.thedailybeast.com/2012/10/romneys-relief-theater-1.html
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Romney is a fake and a poser. At least Bush was genuine. Stupid but genuine.

rimrocker · Oct 31, 2012

Today's polls:

NYT/CBS: Obama up 5 points in Ohio, 2 points in Virginia, and 1 point in Florida.

Franklin & Marshall College: Obama up 4 points in Pennsylvania.

PPP: Obama up by 5 in Wisconsin and in Iowa.

OBAMAMENTUM!

LonghornFan · Oct 31, 2012

POLLS!!!!!

vlaurelio · Oct 31, 2012

LonghornFan said: ↑

POLLS!!!!!
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SCIENCE!!!!!!

jopatmc · Oct 31, 2012

rimrocker said: ↑

Today's polls:

NYT/CBS: Obama up 5 points in Ohio, 2 points in Virginia, and 1 point in Florida.

Franklin & Marshall College: Obama up 4 points in Pennsylvania.

PPP: Obama up by 5 in Wisconsin and in Iowa.

OBAMAMENTUM!
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Yeppers!

In a perpendicular universe somewhere beyond the matrix.

http://www.policymic.com/articles/1...t-quinnipiac-poll-shamelessly-skews-for-obama

KingCheetah · Oct 31, 2012

esteban · Nov 1, 2012

<iframe width="640" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/2ub-c0QRlEU?feature=player_detailpage" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

You libtards clearly have lost your mind.....a cockpunch???

CometsWin · Nov 1, 2012

esteban said: ↑

<iframe width="640" height="360" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/2ub-c0QRlEU?feature=player_detailpage" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>

You libtards clearly have lost your mind.....a cockpunch???
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Lol that was great.

peleincubus · Nov 1, 2012

jopatmc said: ↑

Yeppers!

In a perpendicular universe somewhere beyond the matrix.

http://www.policymic.com/articles/1...t-quinnipiac-poll-shamelessly-skews-for-obama
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its crazy how polls can be so completely skewed one way or another. pretty much like the unemployment rate.

pretty ridiculous. politics though i guess.

BigBird · Nov 1, 2012

Rove: Sifting the Numbers for a Winner

A crucial element: the mix of Democrats and Republicans who show up this election.

It comes down to numbers. And in the final days of this presidential race, from polling data to early voting, they favor Mitt Romney.

He maintains a small but persistent polling edge. As of yesterday afternoon, there had been 31 national surveys in the previous seven days. Mr. Romney led in 19, President Obama in seven, and five were tied. Mr. Romney averaged 48.4%; Mr. Obama, 47.2%. The GOP challenger was at or above 50% in 10 polls, Mr. Obama in none.

The number that may matter the most is Mr. Obama's 47.2% share. As the incumbent, he's likely to find that number going into Election Day is a percentage point or so below what he gets.

For example, in 2004 President George W. Bush had 49% in the final Gallup likely-voter track; he received 50.7% on Election Day. In 1996, President Clinton was at 48% in the last Gallup; he got 49.2% at the polls. And in 1992, President George H.W. Bush was at 37% in the closing Gallup; he collected 37.5% in the balloting.

One potentially dispositive question is what mix of Republicans and Democrats will show up this election. On Friday last week, Gallup hinted at the partisan makeup of the 2012 electorate with a small chart buried at the end of its daily tracking report. Based on all its October polling, Gallup suggested that this year's turnout might be 36% Republican to 35% Democratic, compared with 39% Democratic and 29% Republican in 2008, and 39% Republican and 37% Democratic in 2004. If accurate, this would be real trouble for Mr. Obama, since Mr. Romney has consistently led among independents in most October surveys.

Gallup delivered some additional bad news to Mr. Obama on early voting. Through Sunday, 15% of those surveyed said they had already cast a ballot either in person or absentee. They broke for Mr. Romney, 52% to 46%. The 63% who said they planned to vote on Election Day similarly supported Mr. Romney, 51% to 45%.

Furthermore, in battleground states, the edge in early and absentee vote turnout that propelled Democrats to victory in 2008 has clearly been eroded, cut in half according to a Republican National Committee summary.

But doesn't it all come down to the all-important Buckeye State? Here, too, the early voting news isn't encouraging for the president.

Adrian Gray, who oversaw the Bush 2004 voter-contact operation and is now a policy analyst for a New York investment firm, makes the point that as of Tuesday, 530,813 Ohio Democrats had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot. That's down 181,275 from four years ago. But 448,357 Ohio Republicans had voted early or had requested or cast an absentee ballot, up 75,858 from the last presidential election.

That 257,133-vote swing almost wipes out Mr. Obama's 2008 Ohio victory margin of 262,224. Since most observers expect Republicans to win Election Day turnout, these early vote numbers point toward a Romney victory in Ohio. They are also evidence that Scott Jennings, my former White House colleague and now Romney Ohio campaign director, was accurate when he told me that the Buckeye GOP effort is larger than the massive Bush 2004 get-out-the-vote operation.

Democrats explain away those numbers by saying that they are turning out new young Ohio voters. But I asked Kelly Nallen, the America Crossroads data maven, about this. She points out that there are 12,612 GOP "millennials" (voters aged 18-29) who've voted early compared with 9,501 Democratic millennials.

Are Democrats bringing out episodic voters who might not otherwise turn out? Not according to Ms. Nallen. She says that about 90% of each party's early voters so far had also voted in three of the past four Ohio elections. Democrats also suggest they are bringing Obama-leaning independents to polls. But since Mr. Romney has led among independents in nine of the 13 Ohio polls conducted since the first debate, the likelihood is that the GOP is doing as good a job in turning out their independent supporters as Democrats are in turning out theirs.

Desperate Democrats are now hanging their hopes on a new Quinnipiac University/New York Times/CBS News poll showing the president with a five-point Ohio lead. But that survey gives Democrats a +8 advantage in turnout, the same advantage Democrats had in 2008. That assumption is, to put it gently, absurd.

In addition to the data, the anecdotal and intangible evidence—from crowd sizes to each side's closing arguments—give the sense that the odds favor Mr. Romney. They do. My prediction: Sometime after the **** crows on the morning of Nov. 7, Mitt Romney will be declared America's 45th president. Let's call it 51%-48%, with Mr. Romney carrying at least 279 Electoral College votes, probably more.

Mr. Rove, a former deputy chief of staff to President George W. Bush, helped organize the political action committee American Crossroads.
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basso · Nov 1, 2012

Hilarious.

http://twitchy.com/2012/11/01/aweso...-pleasant-beach-during-obamas-jersey-flyover/

Lil Pun · Nov 1, 2012

Whether your Republican or Democrat, it is apparent that there are going to be some extremely disappointed people come Wednesday (if everything goes smoothly).

jopatmc · Nov 1, 2012

Lil Pun said: ↑

Whether your Republican or Democrat, it is apparent that there are going to be some extremely disappointed people come Wednesday (if everything goes smoothly).
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......as with every election.

Lil Pun · Nov 1, 2012

jopatmc said: ↑

......as with every election.
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I mean, heading into the stretch everybody called the race for Obama in 2008 but now it just looks so much more uncertain for either candidate. More like a repeat of 2000.

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