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Chances of picking 1st or 2nd in 2013 lotto

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by Rileydog, Aug 15, 2012.

  1. Rileydog

    Rileydog Member

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    On balance, it seems pretty clear that We are worse than the following teams:

    West -- Lakers, thunder, spurs, grizzlies, clippers, Dallas, Nuggets, jazz holes, Blazers, wolves, and warriors

    East -- heat, bulls, celts, pacers, Philly, Hawks, Kicks, bucks, Nets


    That leaves us with Suns, kings, hornets, bobcats, Wizards, Cavaliers, pistons, magic, raptors

    I would probably rank these bottom teams as follows...

    Raptors
    Cavaliers
    Hornets
    Rockets/pistons/suns/Orlando
    Kings
    Wizards
    Bobcats

    The 2013 draft is regarded as a 2 franchise player draft.. Nerlens and shabazz

    If we finish as the 5 seed in the lotto, I think that means we have 18.5 percent chance of picking 1 or 2. If we are sixth, we have 13.4 percent chance of picking 1 or 2. Can someone confirm that this is roughly correct? I found this on the interweb but wanted to confirm.

    I think will be in the 5 to 6 seed in the lotto. I was surprised to find our chances of landing 1 or 2 to be decent.

    Too bad the Toronto pick is top 3 protected.
     
  2. Aruba77

    Aruba77 Member

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    I think the Suns are better than us this year, but I'm not sure we're any worse than Milwakee.
     
  3. bewy

    bewy Member

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    I don't think toronto will ever be bad enough to receive a top 3 pick. Lowry will make sure that won't happen.
     
  4. coachbadlee

    coachbadlee Member

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    You do know they vets on the team that could very well get them to the playoffs?
     
  5. roxxy

    roxxy Member

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    I don't think Portland is better than us.
     
  6. coachbadlee

    coachbadlee Member

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    I think we are better than the Nugs, Jazz, Blazers and Warriors.
     
  7. Rileydog

    Rileydog Member

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    The rockets will lose a lot this year. We have a whole new team and it's full of kids.

    We have Lin and ? at pg. Lin wil score 20+ ppg because he is good and someone has to score. But teams will load up on on bc there is now low post threat and inconsistent three point shooting.

    Kmart will be gone when the right trade offer comes up. Lamb will learn but well below your league average sg.

    At sf, parsons is a good role player on a good team, but he will have to grow his game to take on more responsibility on offense. Delfino or Royce as backup is strictly ok at best.

    At pf, Patterson likely starts, which makes him one of the worst starting Pf in the league. Donuts or jones will back up and learn as rookies. In short, we will get throttled a the pf spot n a nightly basis, and have no post up threat.

    Asik starts and will be an average center overall, and backed up by donuts. Thank goodness there aren't a ton of quality centers of there.

    Folks, it will be fun to watch this team learn, but we are going together our asses kicked on most nights. Scoring and closing out games is going to be a huge problem for this team.
     
  8. roxxy

    roxxy Member

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    I don't know what you are smoking. We are not better than the Nuggets or the Jazz.
     
  9. CCM721

    CCM721 Member

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    Yeah the nuggets owned us all last year, and they've done nothing but get better while we've done nothing but get worse.
     
  10. Fullcourt

    Fullcourt Member

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    You forgot to include the coachbadlee coefficient to your equations, which projects all of our rookies to instant superstars.
     
  11. arjun

    arjun Member

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    Raptors
    Hornets
    suns
    Wizards

    those 4 teams have a chance to have better records than us. maybe not the hornets, but the other 3 for sure
     
  12. roxxy

    roxxy Member

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    I don't know how anybody has the nerve to say that the Nuggets are worse than us when they just added a Olympic gold medalist to there roster and were competitive in the playoffs when the Rockets didn't even make it.
     
  13. IzakDavid13

    IzakDavid13 Member

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    And the season hasn't even started, but we are so excited about our chances...we are already talking about the Draft. ( that the Magic will Stern)
     
  14. acsorelle4

    acsorelle4 Member

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    Orlando already won the 2013 NBA draft. Oh wait, forget I said anything.
     
  15. IzakDavid13

    IzakDavid13 Member

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    Oops, I meant win.
    :grin:
     
  16. Carl Herrera

    Carl Herrera Member

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    The Rockets also just added an Olympic gold medalist.
     
  17. DrNuegebauer

    DrNuegebauer Member

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    Bobcats, Wizards and Kings will all be worse than us, just because they all stink.

    Nobody else is a lock to be worse than us.

    We're probably better than NO, but that might be it?
     
  18. getbloodyred

    getbloodyred Member

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    i think suns are better than us, i think the raptors are a little better than us.
    Bobcats, Detroit, Orlando, Kings. those are the only team that we can say are worse than us with certainty.
    Cavs, hornets, wizards are in the same situation we are in. for these 3 teams and the rockets, everything is based upon how the rookies play for their respective teams. Irving, Waiters, and Zeller for Cleveland. Rivers, Davis, gordan's health for New Orleans. wizards have more experience than cavs, hornets, or the rockets, but i think everything depends on how Beal and Wall play this season and that will determine their success, or failure lol.

    so in terms of where we stack up at the bottom of the league, i think it's a fair assessment to say that we're a bottom-5 team. in other words, good chance at a top 5 draft pick, hopefully.
    in order of success
    Cavs
    Hornets
    Houston
    Wizards
    Kings
    Pistons
    Magic
    Bobcats

    but like i said earlier, the Cavs, Hornets, Rockets, and Wizards' position could easily be mixed and matched..if i had to guess our standing in the NBA, i would say the 5th or 6th worst record.
     
  19. getbloodyred

    getbloodyred Member

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    andre iguodala makes the nuggets better than houston, he will have a very productive season.
     
  20. roxxy

    roxxy Member

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    There is a bit of a difference between both players.
     

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