I thought this was interesting. I'm liking some of the splits provided by StatsCube at NBA.com. I was interested in how Lowry's performance changes, statistically, by quarter. http://www.nba.com/statscube/player...201112;season=r;splitType=period;splitValue=1 Here's the summary (I adjusted the stats per 36 minutes for easier comparison): <style type="text/css"> table.tableizer-table {border: 1px solid #CCC; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px;} .tableizer-table td {padding: 4px; margin: 3px; border: 1px solid #ccc;} .tableizer-table th {background-color: #CD1010; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold;} </style> <table class="tableizer-table"> <tr style="background-color: #CD1010; color: #FFF; font-weight: bold;"><th>Quarter</th><th>MIN </th><th>FGM </th><th>FGA </th><th>FG% </th><th>3PM </th><th>3PA </th><th>3P% </th><th>FTM </th><th>FTA </th><th>FT% </th><th>OREB</th><th>DREB</th><th>REB </th><th>AST </th><th>TO </th><th>STL </th><th>BLK </th><th>PTS </th><th>eFG%</th><th>TS%</th><th>GS</th></tr> <tr><td>1</td><td>10.2</td><td>5.3</td><td>11.6</td><td>45.5%</td><td>1.1</td><td>3.9</td><td>27.3%</td><td>2.8</td><td>3.2</td><td>88.9%</td><td>1.1</td><td>5.3</td><td>6.4</td><td>10.6</td><td>3.2</td><td>2.1</td><td>0.4</td><td>14.5</td><td>50.0%</td><td>55.5%</td><td>16.1</td></tr> <tr><td>2</td><td>8.6</td><td>4.6</td><td>11.3</td><td>40.7%</td><td>1.7</td><td>5.4</td><td>30.8%</td><td>4.2</td><td>4.6</td><td>90.9%</td><td>0.8</td><td>6.7</td><td>7.5</td><td>10.0</td><td>2.1</td><td>1.7</td><td>0.4</td><td>14.7</td><td>48.1%</td><td>55.0%</td><td>16.8</td></tr> <tr><td>3</td><td>10.2</td><td>3.9</td><td>10.2</td><td>37.9%</td><td>1.4</td><td>3.9</td><td>36.4%</td><td>4.2</td><td>4.9</td><td>85.7%</td><td>1.1</td><td>4.2</td><td>4.9</td><td>7.1</td><td>3.2</td><td>2.1</td><td>0.4</td><td>13.4</td><td>44.8%</td><td>54.0%</td><td>12.5</td></tr> <tr><td>4</td><td>10.1</td><td>6.4</td><td>16.8</td><td>38.3%</td><td>3.9</td><td>7.5</td><td>52.4%</td><td>3.9</td><td>3.9</td><td>100.0%</td><td>1.8</td><td>5.7</td><td>7.5</td><td>5.7</td><td>4.6</td><td>1.8</td><td>0.7</td><td>20.7</td><td>50.0%</td><td>55.9%</td><td>15.0</td></tr></table> The final column (GS) is just a statistical composite stat (definition). You can see that as the game wears on, Lowry becomes more of a scorer rather than a passer. His turnovers go up, and his FG% goes down. But, interestingly, his 3-point shooting actually increases. I would have expected his outside shooting to get worse with tired legs, but he seems to have an uncanny ability to zero in better from distance as the pressure increases. In fact, he's shooting 80% on 3s in "clutch" situations, according to StatsCube.
I recall asking about whether there was this stat split by quarter. Thanks for posting this! I am more interested with Scola's splits. His splits remind me of Maurice Taylor in how we start the game establishing Scola, then in the second have we don't hear from him as much...fatigue, or game plan?
Maybe you're partly right. The flip side to Lowry's 3-point shooting getting better by quarter is that his shooting inside the 3-point line drops dramatically. I wonder which trend is more sustainable?
What is even crazier is that most of the threes he takes in those situations are three or four feet behind the 3 point line.
I know you are mostly joking, but the logic isn't right. You are assuming the below stats are the same if he doesn't shoot 3s in the 1st 3 quarters. This stats may prove that Lowry should shoot more 3s in 4th quarter.
Fatigue sets in the 4th and he stops driving and settles for 3's, but since he's a killer he makes them when they are most important. That's what I got out of it.
He still drives plenty, as evidenced by the fact that Lowry still attempted 9.3 2pt shots and 3.9 FTs, dishes out 5.7 assists and turn the ball over 4.6 times per 36 minutes in the 4th qtr. These are not the numbers of someone who "stops driving"-- but are rather the numbers of someone who became less successful at driving during the 4th quarter in comparison with the other quarters.
He definitely becomes more of a "go-to" scorer for us in the 4th quarter, especially when other guys are struggling.
i dont think these numbers indicate he's fatigued at the end...shooting more threes is indicative of lowry trying to come back or extend a lead, and not having tired legs and being unable to drive. He's swinging for home runs, not singles. The turnovers come from trying to do too much as a scorer, so he gets himself in situations where he's forced to pass when he didn't intend to = more turnovers. what comes first, other teammates being out of rythm or lowry focusing on scoring?
Right, "stops driving" was the wrong choice of words. But the fact he's attempted almost as many 3's (25) as to 2's (31) in the 4th, is telling of his mindset in the 4th. The areas that drops off greatly for him in the 4th is the midrange shot and in the paint (non restricted area).
Stats confirm what eye tests have told me - Lowry is ****ing clutch from 3 point land, and scores most of our points in the 4the fourth quarter when Kmart and Scola drop off.
Don't ignore his ft% in the 4th as well. Sounds like he hasn't missed one yet. He's a freaking bowling ball made out of heart tissue, and I couldn't imagine anyone to better represent clutch city.
Lowry just doesn't seem as money at PnR than other guards to me. As much flak Flynn gets he's looked the best at running it for the Rockets.
When we were debaing kyles shooting, I said he wasn't a bad shooter, just a hesitant one. Early in games, he's working to get other players shots. In the 4th, he has no choice because martin takes a maternity leave and he's the only guy to create a shot. So instead of waiting, he fires away. In regards to him stop driving, that's partially true. He tries, but he can't get by anyone. So he either takes a 3 or a heaviy contested shot. Btw, great work durvasa!l
What I get out of it is he comes out of halftime stove up and it takes most of the 3rd quarter to get his muscles stretched out and blood flowing good. On another note, you can see as the game wears on that the defenses start focusing on Lowry and cutting off his dribble and penetration. When that happens and they commit to overplaying his dribble, then the 3 point bombs start falling.
