I am well versed in NBA advanced statistics and sports analytics in general, but never really paid attention to football statistics (mostly because I didn't feel like learning HOW bad the Texans REALLY were). This year, I've started following NFL's advanced statistics (again, now I want to know how good the Texans REALLY are :grin. It seems like Football Outsiders is the 82games.com or basketball-reference.com of NFL football and browsing through, I found this: http://footballoutsiders.com/stats/teameff One metric I found particularly interesting is DVOA(Defense-adjusted value over average): Code: <table BORDER=2 CELLSPACING=0 CELLPADDING=3 CLASS="stats"> <tr> <td align="center"></td> <td align="center"> <b>TEAM</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>TOTAL<br>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>LAST<br>WEEK</b> </td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"> <font color = "#0000FF"><b>WEIGHTED<br>DVOA</b></font> </td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"> <font color = "#0000FF"><b>RANK</b></font></td> <td align="center"> <b>W-L</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>OFFENSE</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>OFF.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>DEFENSE</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>DEF.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>S.T.</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>S.T.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>1</td> <td>HOU</td> <td align = "Right">31.0%</td> <td align = "Right">1</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">33.6%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">1</font></td> <td align = "center">9-3</td> <td align = "Right">19.8%</td> <td align = "Right">5</td> <td align = "Right">-9.6%</td> <td align = "Right">5</td> <td align = "Right">1.7%</td> <td align = "Right">11</td> </tr> <tr> <td>2</td> <td>GB</td> <td align = "Right">26.5%</td> <td align = "Right">2</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">23.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">3</font></td> <td align = "center">12-0</td> <td align = "Right">37.3%</td> <td align = "Right">1</td> <td align = "Right">12.4%</td> <td align = "Right">24</td> <td align = "Right">1.5%</td> <td align = "Right">12</td> </tr> <tr> <td>3</td> <td>PIT</td> <td align = "Right">25.8%</td> <td align = "Right">6</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">32.3%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">2</font></td> <td align = "center">9-3</td> <td align = "Right">20.0%</td> <td align = "Right">4</td> <td align = "Right">-3.4%</td> <td align = "Right">9</td> <td align = "Right">2.4%</td> <td align = "Right">9</td> </tr> <tr> <td>4</td> <td>BAL</td> <td align = "Right">24.2%</td> <td align = "Right">5</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">20.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">6</font></td> <td align = "center">9-3</td> <td align = "Right">8.7%</td> <td align = "Right">12</td> <td align = "Right">-19.4%</td> <td align = "Right">1</td> <td align = "Right">-3.9%</td> <td align = "Right">28</td> </tr> <tr> <td>5</td> <td>NE</td> <td align = "Right">24.0%</td> <td align = "Right">3</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">23.2%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">4</font></td> <td align = "center">9-3</td> <td align = "Right">34.5%</td> <td align = "Right">2</td> <td align = "Right">13.4%</td> <td align = "Right">26</td> <td align = "Right">2.9%</td> <td align = "Right">7</td> </tr> <tr> <td>6</td> <td>NYJ</td> <td align = "Right">21.3%</td> <td align = "Right">4</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">21.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">5</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">4.0%</td> <td align = "Right">18</td> <td align = "Right">-13.0%</td> <td align = "Right">2</td> <td align = "Right">4.3%</td> <td align = "Right">4</td> </tr> <tr> <td>7</td> <td>SF</td> <td align = "Right">20.3%</td> <td align = "Right">8</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">19.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">9</font></td> <td align = "center">10-2</td> <td align = "Right">0.8%</td> <td align = "Right">20</td> <td align = "Right">-11.3%</td> <td align = "Right">3</td> <td align = "Right">8.2%</td> <td align = "Right">2</td> </tr> <tr> <td>8</td> <td>NO</td> <td align = "Right">19.1%</td> <td align = "Right">7</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">19.8%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">7</font></td> <td align = "center">9-3</td> <td align = "Right">34.3%</td> <td align = "Right">3</td> <td align = "Right">14.8%</td> <td align = "Right">29</td> <td align = "Right">-0.4%</td> <td align = "Right">19</td> </tr> <tr> <td>9</td> <td>ATL</td> <td align = "Right">17.6%</td> <td align = "Right">10</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">19.8%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">8</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">8.7%</td> <td align = "Right">13</td> <td align = "Right">-8.5%</td> <td align = "Right">6</td> <td align = "Right">0.4%</td> <td align = "Right">17</td> </tr> <tr> <td>10</td> <td>CHI</td> <td align = "Right">12.6%</td> <td align = "Right">9</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">13.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">10</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">-8.3%</td> <td align = "Right">25</td> <td align = "Right">-10.6%</td> <td align = "Right">4</td> <td align = "Right">10.3%</td> <td align = "Right">1</td> </tr> <tr> <td>11</td> <td>TEN</td> <td align = "Right">11.5%</td> <td align = "Right">12</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">10.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">12</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">7.9%</td> <td align = "Right">15</td> <td align = "Right">1.9%</td> <td align = "Right">12</td> <td align = "Right">5.5%</td> <td align = "Right">3</td> </tr> <tr> <td>12</td> <td>NYG</td> <td align = "Right">9.3%</td> <td align = "Right">14</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">11.7%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">11</font></td> <td align = "center">6-6</td> <td align = "Right">13.9%</td> <td align = "Right">7</td> <td align = "Right">5.8%</td> <td align = "Right">18</td> <td align = "Right">1.3%</td> <td align = "Right">13</td> </tr> <tr> <td>13</td> <td>DET</td> <td align = "Right">8.3%</td> <td align = "Right">11</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">8.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">13</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">8.6%</td> <td align = "Right">14</td> <td align = "Right">-6.1%</td> <td align = "Right">8</td> <td align = "Right">-6.4%</td> <td align = "Right">32</td> </tr> <tr> <td>14</td> <td>DAL</td> <td align = "Right">4.5%</td> <td align = "Right">13</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">4.0%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">15</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">8.8%</td> <td align = "Right">11</td> <td align = "Right">2.9%</td> <td align = "Right">14</td> <td align = "Right">-1.4%</td> <td align = "Right">23</td> </tr> <tr> <td>15</td> <td>PHI</td> <td align = "Right">1.2%</td> <td align = "Right">16</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">2.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">16</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">10.1%</td> <td align = "Right">9</td> <td align = "Right">10.6%</td> <td align = "Right">22</td> <td align = "Right">1.8%</td> <td align = "Right">10</td> </tr> <tr> <td>16</td> <td>CIN</td> <td align = "Right">0.9%</td> <td align = "Right">15</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">1.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">17</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">5.6%</td> <td align = "Right">17</td> <td align = "Right">5.5%</td> <td align = "Right">16</td> <td align = "Right">0.9%</td> <td align = "Right">14</td> </tr> <tr> <td align="center"></td> <td align="center"> <b>TEAM</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>TOTAL<br>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>LAST<br>WEEK</b> </td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"> <font color = "#0000FF"><b>WEIGHTED<br>DVOA</b></font> </td> <td align="center" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"> <font color = "#0000FF"><b>RANK</b></font></td> <td align="center"> <b>W-L</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>OFFENSE</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>OFF.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>DEFENSE</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>DEF.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>S.T.</b><br><b>DVOA</b> </td> <td align="center"> <b>S.T.</b><br><b>RANK</b> </td> </tr> <tr> <td>17</td> <td>MIA</td> <td align = "Right">0.6%</td> <td align = "Right">18</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">4.3%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">14</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">2.9%</td> <td align = "Right">19</td> <td align = "Right">3.2%</td> <td align = "Right">15</td> <td align = "Right">0.8%</td> <td align = "Right">15</td> </tr> <tr> <td>18</td> <td>OAK</td> <td align = "Right">-2.9%</td> <td align = "Right">17</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-6.0%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">21</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">5.9%</td> <td align = "Right">16</td> <td align = "Right">8.2%</td> <td align = "Right">20</td> <td align = "Right">-0.6%</td> <td align = "Right">21</td> </tr> <tr> <td>19</td> <td>DEN</td> <td align = "Right">-4.3%</td> <td align = "Right">20</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-1.8%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">18</font></td> <td align = "center">7-5</td> <td align = "Right">-2.9%</td> <td align = "Right">23</td> <td align = "Right">5.6%</td> <td align = "Right">17</td> <td align = "Right">4.2%</td> <td align = "Right">5</td> </tr> <tr> <td>20</td> <td>CAR</td> <td align = "Right">-5.6%</td> <td align = "Right">24</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-3.3%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">19</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">18.6%</td> <td align = "Right">6</td> <td align = "Right">18.6%</td> <td align = "Right">31</td> <td align = "Right">-5.6%</td> <td align = "Right">30</td> </tr> <tr> <td>21</td> <td>SD</td> <td align = "Right">-5.7%</td> <td align = "Right">22</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-5.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">20</font></td> <td align = "center">5-7</td> <td align = "Right">13.1%</td> <td align = "Right">8</td> <td align = "Right">16.2%</td> <td align = "Right">30</td> <td align = "Right">-2.6%</td> <td align = "Right">27</td> </tr> <tr> <td>22</td> <td>BUF</td> <td align = "Right">-5.8%</td> <td align = "Right">19</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-14.2%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">23</font></td> <td align = "center">5-7</td> <td align = "Right">9.4%</td> <td align = "Right">10</td> <td align = "Right">13.7%</td> <td align = "Right">28</td> <td align = "Right">-1.6%</td> <td align = "Right">25</td> </tr> <tr> <td>23</td> <td>SEA</td> <td align = "Right">-9.1%</td> <td align = "Right">27</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-7.0%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">22</font></td> <td align = "center">5-7</td> <td align = "Right">-8.3%</td> <td align = "Right">26</td> <td align = "Right">1.2%</td> <td align = "Right">11</td> <td align = "Right">0.4%</td> <td align = "Right">18</td> </tr> <tr> <td>24</td> <td>TB</td> <td align = "Right">-11.5%</td> <td align = "Right">21</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-14.9%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">24</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">-0.3%</td> <td align = "Right">21</td> <td align = "Right">13.6%</td> <td align = "Right">27</td> <td align = "Right">2.4%</td> <td align = "Right">8</td> </tr> <tr> <td>25</td> <td>WAS</td> <td align = "Right">-11.8%</td> <td align = "Right">25</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-15.5%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">27</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">-10.3%</td> <td align = "Right">27</td> <td align = "Right">1.1%</td> <td align = "Right">10</td> <td align = "Right">-0.5%</td> <td align = "Right">20</td> </tr> <tr> <td>26</td> <td>CLE</td> <td align = "Right">-16.0%</td> <td align = "Right">26</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-15.1%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">26</font></td> <td align = "center">4-8</td> <td align = "Right">-6.2%</td> <td align = "Right">24</td> <td align = "Right">9.0%</td> <td align = "Right">21</td> <td align = "Right">-0.8%</td> <td align = "Right">22</td> </tr> <tr> <td>27</td> <td>MIN</td> <td align = "Right">-16.4%</td> <td align = "Right">28</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-20.7%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">29</font></td> <td align = "center">2-10</td> <td align = "Right">-1.8%</td> <td align = "Right">22</td> <td align = "Right">12.2%</td> <td align = "Right">23</td> <td align = "Right">-2.4%</td> <td align = "Right">26</td> </tr> <tr> <td>28</td> <td>JAC</td> <td align = "Right">-17.7%</td> <td align = "Right">23</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-17.8%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">28</font></td> <td align = "center">3-9</td> <td align = "Right">-21.4%</td> <td align = "Right">31</td> <td align = "Right">-7.6%</td> <td align = "Right">7</td> <td align = "Right">-3.9%</td> <td align = "Right">29</td> </tr> <tr> <td>29</td> <td>KC</td> <td align = "Right">-20.3%</td> <td align = "Right">29</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-15.0%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">25</font></td> <td align = "center">5-7</td> <td align = "Right">-18.1%</td> <td align = "Right">30</td> <td align = "Right">2.6%</td> <td align = "Right">13</td> <td align = "Right">0.5%</td> <td align = "Right">16</td> </tr> <tr> <td>30</td> <td>ARI</td> <td align = "Right">-22.9%</td> <td align = "Right">30</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-22.3%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">30</font></td> <td align = "center">5-7</td> <td align = "Right">-13.8%</td> <td align = "Right">29</td> <td align = "Right">12.6%</td> <td align = "Right">25</td> <td align = "Right">3.6%</td> <td align = "Right">6</td> </tr> <tr> <td>31</td> <td>STL</td> <td align = "Right">-36.1%</td> <td align = "Right">31</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-34.3%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">31</font></td> <td align = "center">2-10</td> <td align = "Right">-26.8%</td> <td align = "Right">32</td> <td align = "Right">7.9%</td> <td align = "Right">19</td> <td align = "Right">-1.5%</td> <td align = "Right">24</td> </tr> <tr> <td>32</td> <td>IND</td> <td align = "Right">-38.9%</td> <td align = "Right">32</td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">-40.0%</font></td> <td align = "Right" bgcolor="#CCCCCC"><font color = "#0000FF">32</font></td> <td align = "center">0-12</td> <td align = "Right">-12.7%</td> <td align = "Right">28</td> <td align = "Right">20.3%</td> <td align = "Right">32</td> <td align = "Right">-5.9%</td> <td align = "Right">31</td> </tr> </table> Here's an explanation: As a novice in football analytics this kind of summary statistic is a bit difficult to understand but I do like that the Texans are top of both Total DVOA and Weighted DVOA (more emphasis on recent games), and that the Texans grade out as the best team in the league even when considering strength of opponent. Here are my naive observations and things that I find interesting: 1) Texans are 5th in both offense and defense, all things considered. They are by far the most balanced team in the league. They are the only team in the league that is top 5 in both offensive DVOA and defensive DVOA, and the only other team that is top 10 in both are the Steelers (4 and 9). 2) Houston is actually playing better right now than the season as a whole. Which I guess makes sense considering we did start the season slow at 3-3, but still remarkable considering the injuries we had to deal with. 3) 5 of the top 6 teams are AFC teams and the top ten is split evenly with 5 AFC teams and 5 NFC teams. The NFC > AFC seems to be a myth. It will be much harder to come out of the AFC than it is the NFC. 4) TEH TEXANS R TEH BESTEST!!!!!!! Fellow Clutchfans who are interested in being more enlightened fans and those who are well versed in statistics (durvasa?) please feel free to use this thread to post interesting findings about the NFL and our Texans. I would love to learn from minds that are greater than mine.
What I'm curious to see is if these stats are based on the ENTIRE season or just last week. If it's the ENTIRE season then I'm a bit hesitant. The entire season was based mostly on Schaub's play, and now we have T.J. Yates. If those stats are based on since T.J. took over then I'm definitely a believer. But yeah, the stats that I think anyone should worry about are those SINCE T.J has taken over.
It's for the whole season, with "weighted DVOA" being more weighted on recent games. I think there is also a "quarterback DVOA", so that might be useful but Yates hasn't played enough to be qualified to show up. Let me dig some more.
If you scroll down some, there's an "injury-adjusted" one and it has us at 6th with 9.5%. I'll still take it.
Yates would project around 21st in the league in DVOA (per play) if he had more attempts. Leinart, just outside the top ten. Yates DVOA is hit very hard for the bobbled snap.
Yeah, he's hit especially hard since he's only have 6 and a half quarters of play. It'll be interesting to keep an eye on it as he plays more.
Here's a lengthy explanation of the Packers' ratings dilemma: http://footballoutsiders.com/dvoa-ratings/2011/week-13-dvoa-ratings
Yeah, that's the stat I'm interested in. This could bode very, very well for the Texans in the future if Yates pans out, and ends up being more than "just another guy". Not only for this year, but for years moving forward. It'll be interesting to see if he's got what it takes to be the quarterback of the future.
Great way to look at how they compare with the rest of the league. I think a lot of the league knows they are that good, they just don't want to admit it.