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#1 overall is often the best player in the draft

Discussion in 'NBA Draft' started by robbie380, Jun 23, 2011.

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  1. robbie380

    robbie380 ლ(▀̿Ĺ̯▀̿ ̿ლ)
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    Why does the #2 overall pick seem to not be any better than the #5 overall pick?

    I haven't done in depth analysis other than just looking at the draft since 1984, but the #2 overall seems to have a pretty high rate of disappointment.

    I know there was some study that someone posted that showed success rates by pick position, but I couldn't find it.

    Anyhow, just throwing this out there for discussion since I thought it was interesting and I am bored at work.
     
    #1 robbie380, Jun 23, 2011
  2. phantoman

    phantoman Member

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    Wasnt KD the second pick of his draft?

    Interesting topic tho.
     
    #2 phantoman, Jun 23, 2011
  3. robbie380

    robbie380 ლ(▀̿Ĺ̯▀̿ ̿ლ)
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    This is how bored I am....

    2010 Evan Turner v Demarcus Cousins
    2009 Hasheem Thabeet v Ricky Rubio
    2008 Michael Beasley v Kevin Love
    2007 Kevin Durant v Jeff Green
    2006 Lamarcus Aldridge v Shelden Williams
    2005 Marvin Williams v Raymond Felton
    2004 Emeka Okafor v Devin Harris
    2003 Darko Milicic v Dwayne Wade
    2002 Jay Williams v Nikoloz Tskitishvili
    2001 Tyson Chandler v Jason Richardson
    2000 Stro Swift v Mike Miller
    1999 Steve Francis v Jonathan Bender
    1998 Mike Bibby v Vince Carter
    1997 Keith Van Horn v Tony Battie
    1996 Marcus Camby v Ray Allen
    1995 Antonio McDyess v Kevin Garnett
    1994 Jason Kidd v Juwan Howard
    1993 Shawn Bradley v Isaiah Rider
    1992 Alonzo Mourning v Laphonso Ellis
    1991 Kenny Anderson v Steve Smith
    1990 Gary Payton v Kendall Gill
    1989 Danny Ferry v J.R. Reid
    1988 Rik Smits v Mitch Richmond
    1987 Armon Gilliam v Scottie Pippen
    1986 Len Bias v Kenny Walker
    1985 Wayman Tisdale v Jon Concak
    1984 Sam Bowie v Charles Barkley
     
    #3 robbie380, Jun 23, 2011
  4. nebula955

    nebula955 Member

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    The right side does have more all-time greats. Let's draft 5th shll we?
     
    #4 nebula955, Jun 23, 2011
  5. Aleron

    Aleron Member

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    #2 seems to get a lot of project big men, there's what 8 or 9 centres in that list and only 2 turned out anything better than a roleplayer and one of those not by much.
     
    #5 Aleron, Jun 23, 2011
  6. tdogg310

    tdogg310 Member

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    It always seems that in every draft, there is usually only that 1 cant miss future star that is taken 1. unfortunately, that cant miss is going to be drafted at 2 this year (williams)
     
    #6 tdogg310, Jun 23, 2011
  7. TheShooter

    TheShooter Member

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    Summer is often more hot than winter.
     
    #7 TheShooter, Jun 23, 2011
  8. AXG

    AXG Member

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    Shouldn't this have been Sam Bowie v Michael Jordan? ;)
     
    #8 AXG, Jun 23, 2011
  9. AXG

    AXG Member

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    My bad, didn't see #2 v #5.
     
    #9 AXG, Jun 23, 2011
  10. thething

    thething Member

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    2010 Evan Turner v Demarcus Cousins
    2009 Hasheem Thabeet v Ricky Rubio
    2008 Michael Beasley v Kevin Love
    2007 Kevin Durant v Jeff Green
    2006 Lamarcus Aldridge v Shelden Williams
    2005 Marvin Williams v Raymond Felton
    2004 Emeka Okafor v Devin Harris
    2003 Darko Milicic v Dwayne Wade
    2002 Jay Williams v Nikoloz Tskitishvili
    2001 Tyson Chandler v Jason Richardson
    2000 Stro Swift v Mike Miller
    1999 Steve Francis v Jonathan Bender
    1998 Mike Bibby v Vince Carter
    1997 Keith Van Horn v Tony Battie
    1996 Marcus Camby v Ray Allen
    1995 Antonio McDyess v Kevin Garnett
    1994 Jason Kidd v Juwan Howard
    1993 Shawn Bradley v Isaiah Rider
    1992 Alonzo Mourning v Laphonso Ellis
    1991 Kenny Anderson v Steve Smith
    1990 Gary Payton v Kendall Gill
    1989 Danny Ferry v J.R. Reid
    1988 Rik Smits v Mitch Richmond
    1987 Armon Gilliam v Scottie Pippen
    1986 Len Bias v Kenny Walker
    1985 Wayman Tisdale v Jon Concak
    1984 Sam Bowie v Charles Barkley

    Simple tally of my opinion on which pick was better by year is:

    #2 pick-12
    #5 pick-15

    So even with #2 pick Len Bias getting the edge, more #5 picks seem to be successful. Interesting.
     
    #10 thething, Jun 23, 2011
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