Why? Jones has only really knocked out cold 2 opponents ever, and those were in a lower league organization. Shogun has never been knocked out.
Well it looks like Jones had an earlier fight then he thought today. Per Jones' twitter: So while we were at the park today a crack head smashed this old ladys car window and took off running with her gps just as we were pulling up right away....Coach Wink goes after this guy. Without hesitation, Coach Jackson went after him...I was shocked and stood there for a second then I threw my phone down and went with my coaches. Before you know it, we're sprinting up a steep hill chasing after him. I turned the jets on....we caught the guy. We got the lady's gps back Our driver took a picture of Coach Jackson and I subduing the criminal....picture on it's way <iframe title="YouTube video player" width="640" height="390" src="http://www.youtube.com/embed/y434R0VWV9Q" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe> This has to amp him up even more for tonight, Go Jones!!! and for all the haters i can already read your minds cocky b*stard showing off again.. yeah.. http://www.tmz.com/2011/03/19/ufc-j...ue-figure-four-leg-lock-patterson-new-jersey/
The odds one the fight arent close and have never been close. Jones opened as a 2 to 1 favorite and the line has fluctuated only slightly from there. Closest odds i've seen is 1.85 to 1. I don't know where u come from, but that isnt remotely considered close in Vegas. I dont know what site u got ur opening lines at, but the odds were never above 2.5 to 1 and every line fluctuates as the bets come in, it doesn't mean forums and fans overhyping is the main cause of the movement. Currently Jones is anywhere from -180 to -215, that's not a bargain... thats a 2 to 1 favorite. Unless u really believed the following. Its MMA and not the nfl, nba etc that is more unpredictable and difficult for the favorite (better team) to win. If you really believe shogun would likely lose to Jones 9 out of 10 times or any two top fighters for that matter, I question if you really have been following this sport, let alone its betting practices.
also while i thought Jones probably would be the favorite to win, i couldnt turn down making a bet on the champion Rua at +185 last week. As with most fights, boxing included, (sports for that matter) lines tend to get tighter as more wagerers bet the underdog for the bargain/gamble. http://www.bookmaker.com/live-lines/martial-arts/mma-ufc had jones at -207 yesterday, but i wouldnt be suprise if the real time odds are at -180ish now.
-185 is a very close match-up at least in the world of MMA betting, how much better can it get while Jones is still favored? Jones -110/ Shogun - EVEN?? Yes, that isn't a big window. Any lines under 200 is definitely a bargain for any fighter favored that you fully expect to win, unless you are underdog hunting. Anytime you can get a favorite at 2 to 1 that your confident in you jump on it, lines like that don't come around too often when the gap is as wide as you think. I have been MMA betting for over two years and have tracked all of my bets on my facebook blog. Every year I've been in up in positive units by a wide margain and start fresh for the new year so no need to question that. I'm sure I have more experience and a better track record then yourself at least in MMA betting because I'll admit I'm not very good in NFL and other sports. 9 times out of 10 is not a stupid comment to make even if it consists of two of the top fighters, styles do make fights. 9 times out of 10 GSP beats Dan Hardy too. Now I won't bet the house on it, but I upped my bet to Jon "Bones" Jones -185 Risk US$ 60.00 To Win US$ 32.43 Face it this card is not a good betting card, the only upset I see realistically occurring to a degree enough to warrant a bet is Mike Pyle who is listed as an underdog vs Almeida. and possibly Marshall over Cane however only if Marshall tries to be the aggressor for once instead of holding back and trying to 'steal' a win which while he stated he would I seriously doubt. and the only reason I upped my Jones bet is to cover my Koch and Parlay bet Now there is a chance Jones will lose and I will be down for tonight but I won't bet on that, but there is that small margin of chance so my bets are low enough to make any loss back next card which looks to be a great betting card although the lines aren't out yet. EDIT- Well doesn't look like I needed to up my Jones bet to cover the Koch fight!
I love how Rogan exaggerated the crap outta the Jones story Chased him for a mile, leg kicked him, put him in a figure 4 ALL THAT 2 HOURS BEFORE THE PPV
He kicked his legs out from underneath him but after that Jackson jumped in and held him down. So the kicking part was true but I doubt the mile and the 'held him down' part was
meant to include the specific link in that message http://www.fromsportcom.com/v-2/0/186/v-218668.html yeaaah, post padding!
