Many posters have recommended to Morey, Adelman, and Alexander to tank in order to obtain a better draft pick. Others, that have hope (how sad) want the rockets to kick some ass. Let's say worst case scenerio, we try to make it to the playoffs but end the season 17th place. This will give us the least probable chance of obtaining a number 1 draft pick (0.5%). Then our highest chances of getting number 2 will be 5/750 (lowest ranked team has 250/1000 possible ball combinations and are disregarded if they win) and so on. So worst possible scenerio, we will get the number 14 pick, with a slight chance of improving. If Adelman takes the advice of the forum and decides to tank, our chances will obviously increase in drawing a better pick. Lets estimate by how much. First, looking at the eastern conference. Its mathematically impossible for us to get below Toronto, Washing, and cleveland. Realistically, we can safely add New Jersey, Detroit, and Milwaukee as well. Lets go ahead and say that due to tanking Charlotte was able to recover 5 wins to pass us. Western Conference We can safely say that we won't get ****tier than Sacramento or Minnesota (darn). So by completely imploding the worst/best we can get is 10th to last place. This increases our chances for the 1st overall pick to 1.1%. Or we get 6 more combinations out 1000. Lets say that the draft goes exactly from highest to lowest probable. This means we would move up from 14th to 10th pick. So for all the tanking fanatics, who do you believe will be available in 10th but not 14th that the rockets are so interested in that they are willing to tank? There has to be many recommendations, considering the strong outcry to tank.
http://bbs.clutchfans.net/showthread.php?t=198770 Not that I am for tanking per se, but you also left off the idea that getting a higher pick also incrementally increases the value of our trade proposals. For instance, if Harrison Barnes is available at #5 --- holding the #10th pick and pairing it with our assets is more appealing than offering the same package with the #14th pick.
No one, really looked at the benefits of tanking. Its a little rough, but I think I have touched on something that hasn't been brought up. Unless you can point out the thread?? O, i almost forgot. Your an idiot.
You have a good point. But, I don't think that the talent level is varying much this year between 10th and 14th.
You're going to call someone an idiot in the stupid thread you created? I'd laugh at you if I didn't think you were slightly handicapped. The tanking argument held more weight months ago when it was obvious to anyone with a brain that we weren't going to make the playoffs or do anything of note. To wait until our season is basically over before declaring that we shouldn't tank because it won't improve our mediocre draft position only proves what a lot of people have been saying for a while now- we should have started tanking as soon as Yao went down. And to everyone against tanking for "moral" reasons- shut up. The Spurs tanked to get Duncan, and while it may have been underhanded, it's gotten them more rings than we've gotten recently. Also, I'm pretty sure a certain number 34 might have played for us because we sucked enough to snatch him away from other teams. If you told me we had to suck horribly for one year to get playoff success and championship contention for a decade, i would laugh hard enough to bust a nut, a gut, and a lung, and possibly break a leg tripping over myself to sign that deal. We should have put pride aside, sacrificed this season, and looked to the future. This is why we won't be good for a very long time.
Haha, I'm getting a Ph.D. in chemical engineering in a top 5 school. LOL. Many posters are still talking about it. It has been only a few games after the trade deadline, which seemed to be the universal time to start tanking. How could you have possibly known we would have not been successful after Yao's injury? In hindsite, an idiot would have know that. Considering the number of teams that suck balls every year, its pretty damn hard to tank and get a #1 draft pick.
UH is not a top 5 school brah. We should have tanked the moment Yao went down. The best we could have ever done was struggle to make 8th seed, and get swept 4-0. Now we have no real future centerpiece, and we cant draft low enough. Geez.
I'm not going to UH dude. I agree, that could have been the direction to go this year. The post wasn't about tanking at the start of the season, but about people wanting to tank now. Thats all.
Why would you call a handicapped guy's thread stupid? Shouldn't you be congratulating him on his ability to use computers?
"we try to make it to the playoffs but end the season 17th place. This will give us the least probable chance of obtaining a number 1 draft pick (0.5%)." If I am not wrong, only 1-14 picks are going to precipitate the lottery draft, your chance is not 0.5%, it is 0%
