http://www.srh.noaa.gov/tropicalwx/images/resize/AL1302W.JPG geez!! i'm trying to get out of town on saturday morning to go to disneyworld! really hoping this doesn't interfere!
Wow...I really thought you knew about Lili. Everybody else does. They are expecting Lili to make landfall somewhere on the Gulf on Thursday or Friday. You should have no problem getting to WDW on Saturday. I fully expect to see a picture of you wearing some mouse ears waiting in line for Thunder Mountain.
It's actually supposed to be a Cat 1 Hurricane pretty soon. But I think they are predicting it will hit TX/LA coasts. So you should be ok... Just take an umbrella. I sure don't like the path they have laid out on that website MadMax.
my concern is that the plane might be delayed saturday morning...or flooding that gives me a hard time getting to the airport...or other lovely complications...
Regardless of where it hits, if it has made landfall before you take off...your plane will likely be delayed. Many planes coming into IAH and HOU will be delayed due to having to fly around the storm. Thus many departures will be delayed.
depending on 1. how long before takeoff it makes landfall 2. where it makes landfall...if it moves further down the texas coast, to the south and west, then we should be in the clear...
Luckily, as you can see, Lili will come to a complete stop on Thursday morning. That's welcome news for all Gulf residents.
The trend with the models has been gradually westward - i.e. just last night, the projected landfall was near where Isidore came in - just west of New Orleans. Now, the projected landfall point (according to the models and the hurricane center) is near Houston as a strong category 3 (winds 111-130mph) hurricane. Definately something to watch - but as with all forecasts, there is a large degree of uncertainty; for example, 3 day forecasts have an average error of 200mi in either direction. Any wobble to the north or east is good for Houston, while a wobble south or west isn't so good.
See, I knew I should have been a weather man. When was the last time you heard of a meteorologist getting canned for being wrong? Total job security!!!
They have been changing with every model run, so it's entirely possible that I might've missed one, but most of the longer term models have been agreeing upon a Louisiana landfall until just recently; now, they almost all agree on a Houston landfall. The group of models that I'm looking at now is remarkable in agreement - very little difference among them, and all within about 50mi either direction of Houston. Of course, that's still 3 days away - but it's never too early to begin making preparations. That's why they tell incoming meteorology majors at many schools that meteorology is the only profession in which you'll get paid to be wrong 75% of the time! Seriously...while they may feel confident in a forecast, the average forecast does have a significant error to it out 3 days away. What that says, essentially, is that the entire western Gulf - from MS/LA to TX/MX - is prime game for a landfall in 3-4 days. Which, IMO, is probably what they should be saying instead of just focusing on one area and being wrong.
Why the helllllllllll are you talking about tropical storms on a Houston Rockets' web site!? as in BASKETBALL.....not weather......jackass.......
This is in the Hangout...READ THE FREAKING WEBSITE...it says: "Want to talk about music, places, people, a big ass Gordita or just any interest BBS users may have in common outside of the Rockets or specified forums -- this is the place." That means that ANYTHING is fair game here....JACKASS.
BBS Hangout : Want to talk about music, places, people, a big ass Gordita or just any interest BBS users may have in common outside of the Rockets or specified forums -- this is the place. That is why boso.... edit: damn you Refman!
mfclark, The projection I just looked at projects just to the east of Houston and that is a change from the LA - TX border that it showed last night.
