Poll: Will Ariza double his career scoring avg this year?

he will double and a half his scoring.. at 15 pgg..the first 3 games i think were a fluke and i think he'll get the hang of it by the 27th

 

Ariza will score about 12-14 a game this year. Book it!

 

Besides the poor math, I think I agree...

 

yes

easily, his FG% might be cut in half tho (not good at all)

 

Lets remember that Battier was a 14.4 PPG rookie; Ariza arguably has a bit more offensive talent.

Ariza can easily double his career PPG this year.

 

I think Ariza averages around 13-15 ppg. His ceiling can be 18 ppg, but I don't see him doing that this year.

 

The best I can see him doing is 12 ppg. He just is not a versatile offensive player. He can't create a shot, put the ball on the floor, or make plays. more than 12 ppg is a lot to ask of a shooter/finisher type player.

 

For a while I was one of those who said that he would turn it around given the right circumstances.

Watching his performances in the preseason, I am DEFINITELY not sold on that theory. He has trouble with his handle due to the pressure he feels he is under to create. His first step often leads to a mistake. He is "clutching the stick too hard", as we say in hockey.

He has time to turn it around, but my current knee-jerk reaction is no, he won't double it.

 

I'd say he scores between 11 and 13ppg - I don't think he'll quite make 13.8 - which he needs to double it.

So - no.

 

Watching him in the preseason is very discouraging. But, I do believe he will double up this year. After all, he did come to Houston to have a bigger role.

 

OOoooh a double poll?

No he wont double

but it will be higher

 

This is Morey's worst signing yet. You never sign a player that hasn't been a proven player in the reg. season, but had a good playoff run.

 

my prediction is 12 ppg..
but the truth is, i want to see him become a league leader in steal and make way into All NBA Defense Team..

 

12-14 ppg at his peak this season

Probably 10-12. that just isn't who Ariza is.

Kudos to him for trying but it just isn't in the cards for him.

 

He's a jump shooter who isn't very good at shooting jumpers.

11ppg and a whole lot of "why did we sign Ariza?" threads this season.

 

lol 6 times 2 is 12..half of 6 is 3? so 6 x 2 plus 3 = 15?????????? Screw the .9 btw

 

12-14 sounds about right, if for no other reason than he should get plenty of opportunities, with the team's apparent lack of scorers.

 

Put me in the "no" camp.

From what I've seen so far, Ariza lacks the necessary guard skills to be anything more than a third or fourth option on offense.

First and foremost, he is athletic but not agile. His movement reminds me of a loaded wheelbarrow, which you can push very fast in a straight line, but is easily thrown off balance and struggles to turn effectively at speed. In addition, he hasn't shown a knack to finish effectively at the rim. He's constantly finding himself in awkward positions in mid-air and I've yet to see him contort his body to successfully create a better shot opportunity. Most times he seems to just throw the ball wildly at the basket. Not a staple of good guard play. He also has a weak handle on the ball, easily submitting to ball pressure even during single coverage. Confidence in his left hand, for both dribbling and passing, appears to be non-existent.

Unfortunately, based on many years of watching NBA basketball, those are skills that players don't generally improve upon once in the league for a few years.

In the interest of comparison, I see Ariza having very similar offensive limitations as a young Robert Horry. I think we can all agree that Robert was an extremely effective role player during the championship years, but you'd never have asked him to be a primary offensive option. He simply didn't have the ball handling ability needed to create offense for himself, and his jumper didn't lend itself to shooting off the dribble.

Horry's career high in season average was 12.0. I think Ariza may top that this season simply due to increased role and shot volume, but I'd be surprised if he got to 14.0. It would take a staggering improvement in his skills, and as I said before, I don't think that's likely to happen...ever.

Of course, I certainly look forward to being proven wrong.

 

Yep and a lot of regrets about not resigning Ron Artest.