I love Kevin Pelton's writeups over at Basketball Prospectus. Finally, someone outside of Houston who doesn't think the story of this series should be about the Lakers: http://basketballprospectus.com/article.php?articleid=679 [rquoter] Houston 95, L.A. Lakers 80 Pace: 83.3 Offensive Ratings: Houston 115.5, L.A. Lakers 94.9 Don't make this about the Los Angeles Lakers. Did they come out unexpectedly flat for the second time in as many road games since Yao Ming was lost to the Houston Rockets? Absolutely, but by the midpoint of the third quarter the Lakers had walked their way back to a two-point deficit, thanks oo a 16-2 run to start the second half. Kobe Bryant had just drawn the fourth foul on Chuck Hayes, and the Lakers had all the momentum. Focus and intensity were not factors the rest of the way. The Rockets played the Lakers straight up, and for that specific 18-minute stretch, they were the better team--and it wasn't even close. In last week's chat session, two readers asked very similar questions about whether the Rockets/Lakers series was a reason to rethink the notion of "talent," given the obvious gap in that category between the two teams that isn't reflected on the court. I think that's right and it's wrong. It's wrong because in a pure sense, the Lakers do have more talent, and the things Houston does so well aren't really captured by that word. What I do agree is that talent in the NBA is too often used as a code word for offensive and athletic ability, ignoring other aspects. Chuck Hayes' unnatural knack for walling off the post? That's a talent. So too is Shane Battier being able to stick with Bryant for 35 minutes a night and still contribute threes and hustle plays at the other end. Even when the gap in hustle and energy was reduced in the second half, those abilities still showed up in spades. What the Rockets are able to do, thanks to the combination of those talents, their intensity and terrific coaching, is ensure that opposing teams get absolutely nothing easy. Even when Bryant (or Brandon Roy in the last round) scores, it comes with a cost of energy and other empty possessions. So far in this series, the Lakers have shown precious little ability to put in the work necessary to succeed against that kind of defense. When things are going right, like they were in Game Five, the Lakers look terrific. In Games Four and Six, they've looked absolutely awful. Bryant scored 32 points, but he needed 27 shot attempts and 10 attempts from the free-throw line to get them, meaning he was scoring about a point per shooting possession. You can definitely live with that. Kudos to Ron Artest, who did a good job against Bryant--even drawing a bit of a phantom technical foul--when they matched up for brief stretches. The Lakers needed a second scorer, and none was forthcoming on this evening. Hayes completely shut Gasol down, and the double-teams Houston brought when Carl Landry stepped in with Hayes in foul trouble kept Gasol quiet then as well. The only Lakers player to score in double figures efficiently was Jordan Farmar, who came off the bench for 13 points in 21 minutes, knocking down three triples. Derek Fisher was in for the Lakers' third-quarter run and had a respectable plus-minus (-3), but there's really no argument right now that he should be playing over Farmar. Trevor Ariza was 2-for-6, Luke Walton 0-for-5, and it's not like these guys were missing great shot attempts. When they were open, it's because that what the Rockets defense dictated, and they got the results they wanted. Houston was awfully good on offense as well. What we saw in the first quarter, when the Rockets put up 27 points, was as fine a display of ball movement as you'll get. The Lakers are going to commit help defenders, and the way to beat them is to continue sharing the ball and forcing the defense into a scramble situation. That requires unselfishness, patience, good decision-making and having the floor spaced, and Houston accomplished all four. The main beneficiary was Luis Scola, who scored 14 of his 24 points in the first period, dominating a disturbingly disinterested Gasol as well as Andrew Bynum. Scola might not even have been the best Rockets big on offense, an honor that could go to Landry. Scola never got back in the game after Hayes replaced him with 8:48 to play because Landry was scoring so effectively. He made all six of his shot attempts to score 15 points, adding nine rebounds in 27 minutes highlighted by an emphatic flush in traffic during the fourth quarter. The play of Scola and Landry helped Houston score efficiently without having to make an unreasonable number of three-pointers (seven in 18 attempts, a 38.9 percent clip). The hottest Rocket from beyond the arc was Aaron Brooks, who put up 26 points on 8-of-13 shooting. Houston has had success moving the pick-and-roll with Brooks a step further away from the basket, giving him a head start toward the basket to take advantage of his speed. The pick-and-roll is hardly a new problem for the Lakers, but it's got to be their primary concern on defense between now and Game Seven. Hayes has frequently been the screen man, and the Lakers are probably best off almost entirely ignoring him while committing both defenders to Brooks and having the post defender aggressively come up to cut off Brooks' drive and get the ball out of his hands--though that can create the kind of ball movement that was such a problem last night. The Houston offense's biggest enemy is over-dribbling, a self-inflicted wound of which Artest is frequently guilty. He hit some big shots, but 14 points on 17 shot attempts still isn't cutting it. By having to return home to play a deciding Game Seven, the Lakers have already put themselves in a bad position. At best, they'll enter the Western Conference Finals beaten up after a hard-fought series. If they don't come ready to work and execute, the Rockets have proven more than capable of stealing this series. [/rquoter]
Well said, except that Hayes didn't shut Gasol down, it's the Lakers themselves looked away from the post. Gasol scored rather easily on Chuck when LA went to him, put Chuck in foul trouble, but then they looked away from the post, so Gasol had to move up to get the ball, and tried some 18ft jump shots, and missed most of them.
The turning point was when Adelman was forced to replace Hayes with Landry after Hayes picked up his 4th foul. The Rockets offense had been absolutely stagnant up to this point, but Adelman would most likely not put in Landry so early in the game had Hayes not been in foul trouble. It would have been a much tighter game where the outcome could swing either way. As someone pointed out last night in another thread, it was not by design.
I liked the discussion on talent. Defense, rebounding, and intelligent basketball are always lumped in with hustling...as if anyone can do what Chuck and Shane do if they try hard enough. I don't think that's true. They are skilled players who are put in a position to help the team in their own way.