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Current Hollinger Playoff Odds

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by nolimitnp, Mar 3, 2009.

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  1. nolimitnp

    nolimitnp Member

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    #1 nolimitnp, Mar 3, 2009
  2. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Maybe not, but perhaps it's taking in account the abysmal playoff experience of our team.
     
    #2 durvasa, Mar 3, 2009
  3. redao

    redao Member

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    Roy > whole Rockets team.
     
    #3 redao, Mar 3, 2009
  4. snc

    snc Member

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    I'm not sure which says heavier, lack of playoff experience or lack of playoff success.
     
    #4 snc, Mar 3, 2009
  5. snc

    snc Member

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    weighs heavier*
     
    #5 snc, Mar 3, 2009
  6. ibm

    ibm Member

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    what has he done? :confused:
     
    #6 ibm, Mar 3, 2009
  7. vlaurelio

    vlaurelio Member

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    Toronto: So there is a chance?
     
    #7 vlaurelio, Mar 3, 2009
  8. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    Maybe he DID take the Rockets playoff experience into account...
     
    #8 justtxyank, Mar 3, 2009
  9. nolimitnp

    nolimitnp Member

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    Good point. Thing is I have lived in Portland for almost 8 years and still a die hard Rockets fan. F the bandwagon!
     
    #9 nolimitnp, Mar 3, 2009
  10. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    He had Trigger stuffed.
     
    #10 Deckard, Mar 3, 2009
  11. kaninthy

    kaninthy Member

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    IF ROCKETS GET HC ADVANTAGE IN 1ST ROUND AND PLAY PORTLAND 1ST ROUND THEY WILL ADVANCE THERE IS NO WAY PORTLAND WILL BEAT THE ROCKETS W/ HC IN PLAYOFFS.
     
    #11 kaninthy, Mar 3, 2009
  12. jaymeeh

    jaymeeh Member

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    lol 1% more isn't saying much
     
    #12 jaymeeh, Mar 3, 2009
  13. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    Actually, I was being facetious. He doesn't take any experience or age into account, I don't believe. It's purely based on performance this season. It factors in strength of schedule and uses point differential instead of win/loss record to assess team strength. The division you play in will have a slight impact on your seeding and the path you take through the playoffs, so that can affect championship chances.
     
    #13 durvasa, Mar 3, 2009
  14. fryjol

    fryjol Member

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    It may have to do with the srenght of schedule.
     
    #14 fryjol, Mar 3, 2009
  15. LFE171

    LFE171 Member

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    Ease up on the caps man.
     
    #15 LFE171, Mar 3, 2009
  16. michecon

    michecon Member

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    those odds just reflect how well teams recently play, and have little value.
     
    #16 michecon, Mar 3, 2009
  17. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    He gives extra importance to the last 25% of the games played for each team, but that's not al its looking at. I think most people will subjectively put more importance on recent games when gauging the team's chances in the playoffs. The bigger problem is he doesn't take into account injuries.
     
    #17 durvasa, Mar 3, 2009
  18. jedicro

    jedicro Member

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    He uses point differential more than any other stat, which has been proven to consistenly be the most accurate predictor of the champ.
     
    #18 jedicro, Mar 3, 2009
  19. durvasa

    durvasa Member

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    I hear him and some others say that a lot. And its not just statheads ... Hubie Brown is a big point differential guy as well.

    But I've never actually read the study that proves its better than win-loss record. I see the appeal of point-differential for analysis, but there is something to learn from being able to win close games and it minimizes the importance of that.
     
    #19 durvasa, Mar 3, 2009
  20. smoothie

    smoothie Jabari Jungle

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    it takes into account how a team played against various opponents during the entire season and calculates that against it's remaining schedule. it's actually a very effective way of predicting the last few weeks of the season.

    last year this article predicted that the sixers would make the playoffs in the 6th seed... before the sixers made that run late in the season to make the playoffs, in the 6th seed.
     
    #20 smoothie, Mar 3, 2009
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