Or maybe 'HO HO HO' alludes to an extra early launch of the Christmas buying season and its hottest new toy, the Sarah Palin action figure.
Sure, he can still win. If the polls can turn so favorably towards Obama in the past couple weeks who is say the opposite couldn't happen? The GOP won't go down that easily. I remember telling you guys this back in June. Sure, Obama is still the favorite but McCain didn't surge in the polls by accident.
No, both TJ and Batman are quite entertaining to watch go back and forth on topics. Is it possible to like them both? There are too many problems and ecconomic issues with American right now for there to be a third term republican president. America wants a change. The only way McCain stands a chance is if someone comes up with video footage of Obama doing blow off a dead hooker.
As long as the economy continues to go down to toilet, more and more people will turn to Obama. Not that how great he is, it is just that ppl are so sick of Bush administration and they want a change. The damage Bush did to this country and his party is unthinkable.
No, McCain will not win. And President Obama would do more good for this country as a community organizer than a president. At the Washington level power and politics control and rule.
I think y'all are crazy for speculating like this. Polls get more and more unreliable in the 21st century, primarily due to reliance on antiquated "land lines." It's like taking a poll by horse messenger. I will maintain that Obama needs an 8-10 point national lead come election day, if he is to win. Feel free to quote this and embarrass me all over the place if I am wrong. (I hope he can win with a more narrow lead in the polls.) Finally, rimbaud and I agree on something.
Agreed. Anybody who is predicting landslide based on the current polling is engaging in wishful thinking.
It looks really bad for McCain and giving up on Michigan makes it plain his campaign is shifting into desperation mode. I'm beginning to have doubts the economy will ever move off the front page even if the bailout passes the House tomorrow. If the economy doesn't move aside as issue #1, McCain is probably dead in the water. But keep in mind one thing: The Republicans will go negative and cultural in an attempt to frame the election on terms more to their liking. It will get very nasty and I wouldn't put anything past McCain's ruthless staff. But again, if the economy stays at the forefront, his attack ads won't be as effective and could actually backfire. Bringing up Jeremiah Wright, Rezko and [whatever] could be seen as another lame attempt to shake up the election without addressing the issues that people care about. Late deciding independents could boomerang against him. In addition, Obama has a huge warchest and can fight back by slamming McCain on the economy and Iraq all the way until election day. I wanna wait until McCain goes negative and see the polls before saying it's over. I have a hard time believing that things won't swing towards McCain before long and we have to see how much. McCain doesn't have 5 weeks to turn it around; it's really just a week or two. If he doesn't start closing the gap very soon, the GOP will (understandably) quit on him and focus on close Senate races. So I expect bazookas/cannons to start firing and bombs to start dropping right away so McCain can get back within striking distance soon. His party will quit on him by mid-October and focus their resources elsewhere if they determine he can't win. Bottom line: It ain't over yet but it could be in a couple of weeks.
They do call people's cell phones, too, and only stay on the line if that person doesn't also own a land-based phone. Polls still aren't that reliable, though.
Sure he can win, but he probably won't. Nate Silver has Obama with a win probability of ~84% http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/ and intrade had Obama at 2-1. 30 days is a lifetime in politics, but unless something catastrophic happens to this country that somehow favors McCain, then Obama is in the driver's seat.
This is a quick response since I haven't had a chance to read through this thread. I think McCain still has a good chance and would be hesitant to rule him out even though he certainly has an uphill climb. I think that Palin not coming off as an idiot in the VP debate helps, I think the next two debates are going to be close and I think that there are potentially many things that could happen overseas regarding Pakistan and Afghanistan that could shift the issues over to national security from the economy, especially if the bailout passes and is a non-issue by next week. Finally I'm not ruling out a Bradley affect in the polls. While I would like to think that we have come to the point to overlook race I don't think we are completely there yet. If I had to lay money on this election I would say that Obama will win a close victory and the electoral map will look very similar to 2000 and 2004 with only one or two states changing over. I don't think McCain can be ruled out at all.
McCain campaign announced today that they have to win Minnesota, Pennsylvania, or Wisconsin to win. That's going to be tough. The comments from the Repubs quoted in this article reek of desperation.
I've noticed a ton of McCain ads here in the Gopher state and for awhile Obama had pulled his ads from the Twin Cities market. A statewide poll two weeks ago had McCain up by about 5 points and then this week there was a poll that had Obama up by double digits.
McCain's campaign is dead. Outside of a major gaffe by Obama, this election will end in a landslide electoral college win for Barrack. Hopefully the Republican party will marginalize the religious right evangelicals which have hijacked their agenda as mainstream republican, and they will get back to their fiscal conservatism that is their most popular position. But again, to answer the question....NO...McCain is dead and buried as a Presidential candidate....and Palin was one of the torpedoes that sunk him. DD
My how the winds of the BBS shift. A month ago you had threads people predicting Obama's demise, not the talking about the OP but the BBS in general, and now you have threads saying that McCain has no chance. If anything this election should show that things are unpredictable.
