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Total # of possible outcomes in NCAA tourney

Discussion in 'NBA Draft' started by B, Mar 13, 2002.

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  1. B

    B Member

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    This question was asked on 610 AM today. Here is my theory:

    Look at each round is a binary number, it's length determined by the number of games played.

    Final round, 1 game
    0 or 1
    2^1 = 2
    Final four, 2 games
    00, 01, 10, 11
    2^2 = 4
    Elite Eight 4 games
    0000, 0001, etc
    2^4 = 16
    Sweet Sixteen 8 games
    00000000, 00000001, etc
    2^8 = 256
    Second Round 16 games
    0000000000000000, 0000000000000001, etc
    2^16 = 65,536
    First Round 32 games
    00000000000000000000000000000000
    2^32 = 4,294,967,296

    If it was just a 4 team tourney it would have
    2^1 * 2^2 = 8 possible outcomes
    8 teams
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^4 = 128
    16 teams
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^4 * 2^8 = 32,768
    32 teams
    2 * 4 * 16 * 256 * 65,536 = 2,147,483,648
    64 teams
    2*4*16*256*65,536*4,294,967,296 =

    ***9,223,372,036,854,775,808***
    This is the magic number.

    Is my math right? I've sent this into 610 and they haven't read my answer, but I'm pretty sure that number is the total number of possibilities.

    B
     
  2. JayZ750

    JayZ750 Member

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    That sounds right, or as th eguy on the radio is talking about now, itd be the same as 2^63.
     
  3. B

    B Member

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    Yeah, it's 2^63 because

    2^1*2^2*2^4*2^8*2^16*2^32=2^63

    When you multiply different powers, you add the powers together.

    B
     
  4. JayZ750

    JayZ750 Member

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    now they're saying 2^63 is wrong. seems right to me, but who knows.
     
  5. B

    B Member

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    Since 610 doesn't seem to believe the MIT guy...

    1 game (Final round)
    A vs B, A or B wins - 2^1 = 2

    2 games (Final four)
    A vs B, C vs D - 2^1*2^2 = 8
    A vs C, A wins
    A vs C, C wins
    A vs D, A wins
    A vs D, D wins
    B vs C, B wins
    B vs C, C wins
    B vs D, B wins
    B vs D, D wins

    4 games (Elite Eight)
    A vs B, C vs D, E vs F, G vs H
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^4 = 128

    8 games (Sweet sixteen)
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^4 * 2^8 = 32,768

    16 games (Second round)
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^4 * 2^8 * 2^16 = 2,147,483,648

    32 games (First round)
    2^1 * 2^2 * 2^8 * 2^16 * 2^32 = 2^63

    2^63 = 9,223,372,036,854,775,808

    B
     
    #5 B, Mar 13, 2002
    Last edited: Mar 13, 2002
  6. mfclark

    mfclark Member

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    There's the playin game, making the total number of games 64 and thus the total number of outcomes 2^64.
     
  7. B

    B Member

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    I wasn't considering the play-in game since it isn't part of the bracket you have to fill out.

    B
     
  8. B

    B Member

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    I found out I actually made it on the air last night. Does anyone know it my reference to the Clutchcity BBS made it on the air?

    B
     
  9. edc

    edc Member

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    Somebody got a plug in for the board in the 5pm hour...
     
  10. B

    B Member

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    Okay, cool, then the 40 minute hold time was worth it. :)

    B
     

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