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[Gustav] New Tropical Threat

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by marks0223, Aug 25, 2008.

  1. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Member

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  2. Uprising

    Uprising Member

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    My sister and brother in law live in Lafayette. Hopefully they stay safe.
     
  3. Rockets2K

    Rockets2K Clutch Crew

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    still WAY too early to say that for sure.

    it is expected to slow as it gets closer to the CONUS, for an entire day at this point is the forecast....but even that is still in the air....its just simply too damn early.

    I have been watching this for three days now, and those models have shifted back adn forth like a pendulum....west, east, west, east

    just yesterday Jamaica wasnt even expected to get much from it as it passed by to the north....where's it at now??


    right
     
  4. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Member

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    [​IMG]

    Now the NHC cone is more west. I would not be surprised to see a Galveston/Houston hit since this seems to keep tracking west. Who knows though, it's still too far out.

    I'm prepared though, are you?
     
  5. LonghornFan

    LonghornFan Member

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  6. Rockets2K

    Rockets2K Clutch Crew

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    Indeed, still got the custom cut wood from Rita, got the generator I have been meaning to get since our power went out for 18 hours during Rita, and have a 55G RO/DI storage container full of water plus several other large water containers I use with the aquariums.

    As unpredictable as Gustav has been since he went from a TD to a hurricane in 12 hours, then stalled over Haiti, then jogged much further south than anyone was forecasting (to hit Jamaica full on), it would be the height of stupidity to discount this as a LA/MS storm based on models that are 6 days out.

    The big issue seems to be the H over Florida...nobody can really seem to tell if it will weaken or not. If it doesnt...we see this. If it does...further east.
    Also throwing extra uncertainty into the mix is the trough that may or may not sink down behind the weakening H (if it does indeed weaken)

    the only things we seem to know for sure is that the conditions in the middle of the GOM are ideal for hurricane intensification.
     
  7. leroy

    leroy Member
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    Need advice. I'm supposed to be coming into Houston this weekend to catch my first Astros game in 2 years on Sat. I don't want to be stuck trying to get home to Austin the same time people are attempting to evacuate.

    I guess I have until tomorrow afternoon to make a decision since I don't leave until tomorrow night.
     
  8. LouisianaRocket

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    Jim Cantore in Gulfport/Biloxi, Mississippi.
     
  9. Harrisment

    Harrisment Member

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    Huh? :confused:
     
  10. WhoMikeJames

    WhoMikeJames Member

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    Does no one see that the models shift east during the day and west during the night.
     
  11. Rockets2K

    Rockets2K Clutch Crew

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    are you sure??

    Ive seen that rumor for the last three days, but last time I checked TWC was claiming he wasnt there. I could have sworn I saw a quote saying that he was in Atlanta at the same time people down by the IP casino were saying he was there.
     
  12. Rockets2K

    Rockets2K Clutch Crew

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    Cantori has a rep that wherever he is covering the advance of a storm, thats where it goes.

    Funnily enough, I read where someone on the Weather Channel said he had never been hit by the eye, and his rep is undeserved....but I have no proof of that, so twiw
     
  13. LouisianaRocket

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    Yeah, pretty sure on that. They said he checked in early this morning, If Jim Cantore is there, you can bet the house the storm is about introduce it's self to Mississippi, the other storm behind it seems to be pulling it more North/Northeast. Also, predictions are that the two storms could merge.
     
  14. LouisianaRocket

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    He might not have been in a eye of a hurricane, but who would want too honestly? the man knows his stuff that is for damn sure, and I would take into account any place he goes/and what he has to say about it when a storm is about to hit the Gulf.
     
  15. Rockets2K

    Rockets2K Clutch Crew

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    unlikley

    Hannah is very unlikley to come into the gulf before Gustav is done if at all.
    Unless something has changed in the time I have been watching the DNC (havent been reading on WU in 6 hours) Hannah is much more likley to stall away from land, or head north....it once again depends on the movement of the H and the trough.
     
  16. oomp

    oomp Member

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    Come see the game. Have a backup route home planned. I doubt you'll need it.
     
  17. Mulder

    Mulder Member

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    Dear Mr. POLICEMAN, Servant of the Community:

    If you pull me over for speeding (which I admittedly do FREQUENTLY) and I deny it, and you call me an AZZCLOWN, do you think the JP will toss the case?

    :D
     
  18. Xenon

    Xenon Member

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    The model showed Gustav making landfall near New Orleans and then Hanna moving into the Gulf and making landfall on New Orleans as an even stronger storm.

    We have to watch out for Hanna as well. Computer models are showing this thing move WSW and also into the gulf which is rather unusual.
     
  19. LouisianaRocket

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    probably unlikely, but you can never rule it out, all Gustav has to do is stall for what... 16 hours, and then we get a Fujiwhara interaction. then we are in deep doo-doo if it moves into the gulf.
     
  20. WWR

    WWR Member

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    You?

    I'd arrest you for reckless driving. :D
     

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