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[Sportsline] Tony Mejia's Southwest Predictions

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by pearlon, Oct 31, 2006.

  1. pearlon

    pearlon Member

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    I know a lot of people have issues with Mejia, and frankly, I do too, but his predictions for the Rockets in this column realistically seem about right (50-32). On the optimistic side, I think he's off by about 5 games (55-27). I believe the Rockets will finish less than 5 games behind the Spurs or Mavs. He's right: whoever comes out of this division will win the championship. His early forcast, haunting reality, x-factor, likely rotation, and four-casting are all on target (except the non-mentioning of Billy V-Span). Also, his SW Division Honor Roll places Yao and Tracy as the best center and guard, respectively, and Wells as the best sixth man. I'd have to agree with that, except I think SuperNovak will make the most contribution, not just in the division, but the whole association. Novak will either win the ROY, or be robbed of it to Roy or Foye.


    http://www.sportsline.com/nba/preseason/previews/western/southwest

    3. Houston Rockets
    Projected finish: 50-32

    2006-07 theme: Erase all memories of 2005-06. The Rockets were jinxed by injuries and quickly became the league's biggest disappointment. What? Huh? What season? Being able to plausibly deny it ever happened is a good place for the team to start.

    Early forecast: The Rockets will be on the road often in the season's first week, but at least the competition isn't all that impressive. Games in Utah, Oklahoma City, Memphis and Milwaukee are all winnable.

    Haunting reality: Every time McGrady winces, Rockets fans' hearts will stop. Unfortunately, odds are good he'll miss at least a stretch of action. It's going to be important for his teammates not fold like a futon when that happens.

    Saving grace: Yao really seemed to turn the corner before he broke his foot at the end of last season. If he picks up where he left off, Houston will have the most feared legitimate center in the Western Conference anchoring the post. To do that, he has to keep the intensity level on high.

    X-factor: Bonzi Wells could provide a serious boost for a team that can use all the scrappy, rugged scorers it can get its hands on. Wells dominated the Spurs last postseason and feels he's got something to prove after pricing himself out of everybody's range as a free agent.

    Likely rotation: Rafer Alston will run the point after a decent first run at the position last season. The Rockets are still hoping Bobby Sura will return from injury and make a contribution at some point, but in the meantime John Lucas III is at their disposal. Between McGrady, Wells, Luther Head and Kirk Snyder, the Rockets are set on the wing. Shane Battier can swing over there as well, but might spend most of his time as the starting power forward. It's very likely he'll finish games at that spot. Juwan Howard will back up Battier and Yao, with Dikembe Mutombo making his usual impact defensively.

    Four-casting: Battier's effectiveness swinging between positions will play a critical role in Houston's success. Yao's toe problems won't be an issue. McGrady's back problems will be. Rookie Steve Novak will remind Houston of former fan favorite Matt Bullard.

    Coach-speak: "We just plan on trying to put as much into the year as we can and then how we go about the process will determine the results and we'll live with those results as long as we put as much as we can into the process." -- Jeff Van Gundy.


    MEJIA's SOUTHWEST DIVISION HONOR ROLL
    First team
    F Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks
    F Tim Duncan, San Antonio Spurs
    C Yao Ming, Houston Rockets
    G Chris Paul, New Orleans/Okla. City Hornets
    G Tracy McGrady, Houston Rockets
    Second team
    F Josh Howard, Dallas Mavericks
    F David West, New Orleans/Okla. City Hornets
    C Tyson Chandler, New Orleans/Okla. City Hornets
    G Jason Terry, Dallas Mavericks
    G Tony Parker, San Antonio Spurs

    Top Rookie: Rudy Gay, Memphis Grizzlies Top Sixth Man: Bonzi Wells, Houston Rockets
     
  2. deshen

    deshen Member

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    Gasol was not put in the second team?
     
  3. opticon

    opticon Member

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    broken foot remember i guess they are only counting players who are healthy
     
  4. RAYRAY

    RAYRAY Member

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    thats because Gasol is injured for 3 months
     
  5. crash5179

    crash5179 Member

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    Gasol will be out for quite a while. I don't see how you could put him as 1st or second team.

    If Gasol is healthy and playing...yes, but the guy will probably not even see the court the 1st two or three months.
     
  6. roflmcwaffles

    roflmcwaffles Member

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    Take Dirk off 1st team and put Novak or Battier :). Or just go ahead and take Duncan off too and put them both. :D
     
  7. kpsta

    kpsta Member

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    He will be out for quite a while...
     
  8. THEDREAMSHAKE34

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    Matt Bullard is a nice guy and all, and he did have a good shot ... but i am hoping, and am pretty sure, that novak will play better and have a better career than bullard
     
  9. solid

    solid Member

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    No mention of Hayes or VSpan?. Alston made a decent run at point last year? He sucked. Lucas available as the back up instead of Head? Lucas sucked the entire preseason. Do these people ever watch the Rockets?
     
  10. The_Yoyo

    The_Yoyo Member

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    while i am not going to say tmac is 100% back to what he was in orlando i find it very annoying that almost every sportswriter out there already has him down for missing a good stretch of games during the season. The same with yao they keep questioning him when the guy has never missed more than a game or 2 per year up until last year. at least mejia says yao is fine.

    kobe goes through injury after injury each year and nothing much is said about him(though last year played in all games), same with amare's huge injury problem last year. its burns me how most of these "experts" memory is so short term.
     
  11. thesaint

    thesaint Member

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    No mention of Hayes, Span n mainly NOVAK!!! Novak is going to make a great impact for this team.
     
  12. bplld

    bplld Member

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    They watch the rockets but as much as they do 29 other teams. Hayes and VSpan wont be factors for the rockets for a while.

    If you are lookin for them to tell you something you dont know then stop wastin your time.
     
  13. fnn2097

    fnn2097 Member

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    Yah, i was asking the sam question as you. He actually ranked Chandler and West ahead of Pau Gasol.
     
  14. YaozaMac

    YaozaMac Member

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    thanks for the article. I love my one stop roxs shop.
     
  15. pearlon

    pearlon Member

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    I just noticed how insanely awesome the SW Division first team is:

    MEJIA's SOUTHWEST DIVISION HONOR ROLL
    First team
    F Dirk Nowitzki, Dallas Mavericks
    F Tim Duncan, San Antonio Spurs
    C Yao Ming, Houston Rockets
    G Chris Paul, New Orleans/Okla. City Hornets
    G Tracy McGrady, Houston Rockets

    I think this team can match up against any division's first team in the NBA. That would be a pretty sweet contest actually, a round-robin style tourney between the first teams of all the divisions. Here are some first teams in my opinion that I think are top-notch. Feel free to change players. How do you guys think we the SW would match up?

    Pacific:
    F F Shawn Marion, Phoenix Suns
    F Ron Artest, Sacramento Kings
    C Elton Brand, Los Angeles Clippers
    G Steve Nash, Phoenix Suns
    G Kobe Bryant, Los Angeles Lakers
    ***C Amare Stoudemire, Phoenix Suns (if his knee is not shattered)

    Central:
    F LeBron James, Cleveland Cavaliers
    F Jermaine O'Neal, Indiana Pacers
    C Ben Wallace, Chicago Bulls
    G Chauncey Billups, Detoit Pistons
    G Michael Redd, Milwaukee Bucks

    Atlantic:
    F Paul Pierce, Boston Celtics
    GF Vince Carter, New Jersey Nets
    FC Chris Bosh, Toronto Raptors
    G Jason Kidd, New Jersey Nets
    G Allen Iverson, Philadelphia 76ers

    Southeast and Northwest are weaker, so I won't even put them up against us.
     
  16. RocketForever

    RocketForever Member

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    Yeah...a round-robin tournament of these four teams would be great...
     
  17. Laozi

    Laozi Member

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    Why not give him 6th man of the year too :rolleyes:
     
  18. brantonli24

    brantonli24 Member

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    That's reserved for Bonzi.
     
  19. StupidMoniker

    StupidMoniker I lost a bet

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    Northwest could put a very good first team together, maybe the second best in the NBA:
    G - Ray Allen
    G - Carmelo Anthony (hard to find another guard that would push a forward off the team)
    F - Andrei Kirilenko
    F - Kevin Garnett
    C - Marcus Camby
     
  20. RocketForever

    RocketForever Member

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    The Southeast team is not that bad either.

    Gilbert Arenas
    Dwyane Wade
    Joe Johnson
    Dwight Howard
    Shaq

    I think actually the Atlantic division team is the worse.
     
    #20 RocketForever, Nov 1, 2006
    Last edited: Nov 1, 2006

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