Weird you posted this because.... The first Tropical Depression of the 2006 season formed several hours of ago. Projected landfall is somewhere between Tampa and the Florida panhandle. http://www.weather.com/newscenter/tropical/?from=wxcenter_news
Well, most of the hurricane researchers agree that the climatic conditions in the Atlantic off the NE match the conditions that caused the last big hurricane that struck the area. They're also predicitng that this will be a fairly busy year for storms and hurricanes, although not as busy as last year. Of course, they didn't predict last year to be near as busy as it was so we'll see what happens. Hey Angle, that class is pretty boring isn't it? I had to keep slamming Monsters and Red Bulls just to stay awake. I'm skipping the Exactimate class. I'm getting the program from a friend who did adjusting last year. He's going to teach me how to do all the reports. I'm actually going to be part of a 3 man team with one doing the paperwork (me), one doing the field work, and a 3rd to float between the two. We figure we can get a quicker turnover of jobs this way.
I'm in Tallahassee tonight and I'll be in Orlando for the next week or so. This tropical depression must die.
The class was very boring. Training Unlimited is who hosted it. I've never bought so many energy drinks in my life...lol. Good luck to you and your team. Are you going to start out doing Cat Adjusting or???? I'm looking for Cat Adjusting the first storm season and then if I think I can handle it a 2nd season I'll go for it again. If not I'll turn and look at something else.
2006 Hurricane names: Alberto Beryl Chris Debby Ernesto Florence Gordon Helene Isaac Joyce Kirk Leslie Michael Nadine Oscar Patty Rafael Sandy Tony Valerie William
Lol, I can't believe Florida is already getting tagged -- thankfully it's a rather small storm. I guess they are all for the most part pretty small in June -- later in the season better watch out.
Hilarious -- NBC is playing up the 'gator attack' angle to find some way to scare viewers into watching the news. [Michelle Kazinski of course] Heavy rains forcing gators into the suburbs... EVERYBODY PANIC
Here's the outlook for the rest of June. Earlier, this blog pointed out how the official NHC model outperformed all the others in forecasting Alberto. http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/comment.html?entrynum=379&tstamp=200606 Tropical outlook for the rest of June Past history has shown that an active June in the Atlantic has no correlation with hurricane activity later in the season. However, the model forecasts over the past few days from the reliable GFS, NOGAPS, and Canadian models are showing a weather pattern more typical of mid-July developing over the tropical Atlantic. This may make for a exceptionally active June. The Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) is forecast to be far more active and further north than usual, and the GFS model has been predicting that one or two tropical cyclones may form in the mid-Atlantic from African waves interacting with the ITCZ. This is almost unheard of in June. Wind shear over the Caribbean and tropical Atlantic is expected to be much below normal, and with sea surface temperatures 0.5 - 1.5 degrees C above normal, it would not surprise me to see two more named storms this June. One saving grace is that the subtropical jet stream is expected to stay active and relatively far south, with should act to bring hostile wind shear to any storm that might move into the Gulf of Mexico. In addition, a series of strong troughs are forecast to move across the Atlantic Ocean the remainder of the month, which should act to recurve any storm that might form there away from land. While there is nothing threatening looking out there today, we should keep an eye on the ITCZ just off the coast of Africa south of the Cape Verde Islands, and the region just north of Panama, in the coming days.
