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Zogby Poll: Majority supports Social Security reform

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by basso, May 31, 2005.

  1. basso

    basso Member
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    i'm not a big fan of polls, and i'm always skeptical of zobgy, but "some" seem to love them/him, so here you go...

    http://washingtontimes.com/national/20050530-094706-3415r.htm

    --
    Social Security plan backed in new poll
    By Donald Lambro
    THE WASHINGTON TIMES
    Published May 31, 2005
    Most likely voters continue to support President Bush's proposal to let younger workers invest some of their Social Security payroll taxes through personal accounts, a new survey finds.
    The poll by independent pollster John Zogby for the Cato Institute, which is being released today, found that when voters understood the benefits of personal investment accounts, including a better financial rate of return than the current system, the Bush plan was supported by 52 percent of Americans and opposed by 40 percent.
    "The thing that is compelling in this poll is that this is the response you get when you use a positive approach on Social Security reform," Mr. Zogby said. "If you use the 'Chicken Little, sky-is-falling' approach, then voters understand that something has to be done, but don't see the connection between personal accounts and fundamental reform of Social Security."
    "There are a large number of voters, especially those under 50, who don't think they are getting the best possible deal from Social Security," he said.
    As in past surveys on the president's personal-accounts proposal, strongest support comes from younger voters under age 30, who embrace the idea by a margin of 66 percent to 23 percent.
    Support declines somewhat among voters between 30 and 50, with 58 percent in favor versus 37 percent who oppose it.
    Voters over 65 oppose personal accounts 52 percent to 40 percent and those over 70 oppose them by 55 percent to 38 percent.
    The survey also contained a warning for the Democrats about how their opposition to any reform of the Social Security system is playing with the electorate.
    "By an overwhelming 70-22 percent margin, voters believe that opponents of President Bush's proposals for Social Security reform have an obligation to put out their own plan for reforming the program," including 55 percent of Democratic voters, Mr. Zogby said in a report of his findings.
    Among supporters, the most popular reason for supporting private accounts was, "It's my money; I should control it," Mr. Zogby said. "This was true for every group except African-Americans, who chose inheritability as their biggest reason for supporting accounts."
    The poll's results suggested that Mr. Bush's proposal would be much more popular if he focused "on the points in this poll," Mr. Zogby said in an interview.
    "Nobody can understand or relate to the system's insolvency in 2043. But it wins a majority when the issue is raised as a matter of choice and as a positive opportunity," he said. "If it's pitted as just Social Security reform because it is becoming insolvent, that's not enough."
    Among the poll's other findings:
    •Support was strongest (57 percent to 36 percent) in the "red states" that Mr. Bush carried in his 2004 re-election. Support split more evenly (48 percent to 44 percent) in the Democratic "blue states" that Sen. John Kerry won.
    •Voters by 62 percent to 30 percent remained deeply skeptical about Social Security's promise to pay future benefits. Skepticism was highest among younger voters, with more than 70 percent saying they doubted that the system would be able to pay their benefits when they reached retirement age.
    The poll of 1,006 likely voters was conducted May 23-25 and has a margin of error of 3.2 percentage points.
     
  2. flamingmoe

    flamingmoe Member

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    I am curious as to how they worded the question to get a 52% support. In previous polls, by others, they got similar results when the question was posed simply as "do you support President Bush's plan to allow people to invest a portion of their S.S. themselves"

    but they got very different results the more detailed you made the question - the more details of Bush's plan you present to the questioniee, like the small detail that Bush's plan will cut everyone's benefits, that it will require trillions of new debt, etc etc

    once you presented the ugly details of his plan, support dropped to about 30%

    which is about the same approval rate found in a recent NY Times Poll and a CBS News Poll

    http://www.cbsnews.com/stories/2005/05/25/opinion/polls/main697825.shtml


    I'm sure it doesn't help that his "town meetings" on this subject are nothing but shames, full of Bush supporting plants with scripted questions
     
  3. 111chase111

    111chase111 Member

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    Will Bush's plan cut everyone's benifits? I thought he said that everyone over 50 would keep the exact same benifits. Also, are you sure you mean "Trillions" in debt? A trillion is a thousand billion. You're link doesn't take you to a page that backs up your claims that everyone's benefits will be cut or that it will require trillions in new debt.

    I'm not sure that President Bush's retirement accounts will actualy fix SS, however, I believe that something needs to be done. I'm not opposed to individual accounts per se, either.
     
  4. mc mark

    mc mark Member

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    Chase I too agree something needs to be done. Imagin that! :) I think SS payments are around 6 or 7% of your payroll. I would be willing to figure out some way to keep those payments and on top of that pay 4% more for a private account. And still keep my 401K and IRA.
     
  5. Deckard

    Deckard Blade Runner
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    Fascinating. Polls can tell you a lot, right?
    Excerpt from the Washington Post:


    Bush has had a hard time persuading Congress to go along with his agenda, in part because surveys show that much of the public has soured on him and his priorities. In the most recent Washington Post-ABC News poll, taken last month, 47 percent of Americans approved of Bush's performance, tying the lowest marks he ever received in that survey, back in mid-2004, when Democrats were airing tens of millions of dollars' worth of campaign attack ads.

    Similarly, just 31 percent approved of his handling of Social Security, an all-time low in the Post-ABC poll, while only 40 percent gave him good marks for his stewardship of the economy and 42 percent for his management of Iraq, both ratings close to the lowest ever recorded in those areas. Other surveys have recorded similar findings, with Bush's approval rating as low as 43 percent.


    Such weakness has unleashed the first mutterings of those dreaded second-term words, "lame duck," however premature it might be with 3 1/2 years left in his tenure. "The Democrats are doing everything they can to make this president a lame duck," Republican consultant Ed Rollins complained on Fox News on Friday. William Kristol, editor of the conservative Weekly Standard, wrote recently about "the impression -- and the reality -- of disarray" in urging Bush to wage a strong fight for the nomination of John R. Bolton as U.N. ambassador.

    "He's not a lame duck yet, but there are rumblings," said Robert Dallek, a presidential historian. Dallek said Bush's recent travails remind him of Franklin D. Roosevelt, who overreached in his second term by trying to pack the Supreme Court, a move that backfired. "Second terms are treacherous, and presidents enter into a minefield where they really must shepherd their credibility and political capital," he said.

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/05/30/AR2005053000891.html



    Keep D&D Civil!!
     

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