[Official] Astros Offseason

Agree.

 

https://www.mlbtraderumors.com/2026/01/red-sox-to-sign-ranger-suarez.html

Precursor to them including Tolle or Early in a Paredes trade?

 

I fear it's gonna be Abreu coming back and not Duran

And Abreu is really good vs RHP which we need, but he is so bad vs LHP that for him to really be a strong asset he would need to be platooned, and i'd hate to

1. Trade Paredes for a platoon bat
2. Bring in someone in the OF who has to be platooned, not a great use of a roster spot, especially when we don't have a strong utility option

 

OK Bro

Baseball is played on the field though, not on a notebook with numbers

 

If he hit better away from Fenway, that's not necessarily a good thing coming to Daiken, the park set ups are similar

 

He hit better at Fenway in 2024 (.800 OPS at home and .760 on the road) and better on the road in 2025 (.832 OPS to .738 at home). I also think it’s far too early to write Abreu off as a player that cannot hit left-handed pitching. Too many teams are pigeon holing young hitters into platoon roles early in their careers.

 

According to my spreadsheets, if the Astros don't cut their injuries by 39.4% this year they are doomed.

 

Depends on what the whole trade would be. Paredes for Abreu is probably not a great deal for Houston, although Abreu comes with 2 additional years of control, balances the lineup, is more productive against RHP, and will cost $8M less than Paredes in 2026. But if Boston also includes one of their good pitching prospects, that to me is a really good deal for the Astros.

 

Agree with that last part when you are talking about players 22, 23, 24 years old. Abreu took a long time to develop, is already 27 years old. He would be a fine addition to the team, but he certainly isn't what i'd want as the main piece in a deal for Paredes.

 

Oh yea, if Early or Tolle is involved along with Abreu, that's a completely different situation

 

Crap, fangraphs only has them cutting their injuries by 39.1% this year

We are cooked

 

I want to keep our Abreu at all costs. He is our second most valuable pitcher (IMO). Throwing him into a trade would hurt.

 

I value Paredes higher than Wilyer Abreu, but they are really close in value once you factor in two more years of control for Abreu. While I agree with you that Abreu may not improve against left-handed pitching at 27 years old, he’s still only had 132 at bats against them in the big leagues. That’s not a big enough sample size to make a definitive judgment that he’s only a strong-side platoon bat for the rest of his career.

 

I do not give a f--- what Dana needs.

 

While I agree, we do have Cam Smith who is very good against LHP...if you could consistently get .800+ OPS out of your right fielder against any kind of pitching, that's a big boost.

 

But what Dana needs will determine if it happens.

 

Agree

But when you start using roster spots for strict OF platoons, you better have a damn good utility guy

 

It may exist, but I'd love to see a writeup on how accurate the Fangraphs et al preseason projections for players and teams actually are.

 

Me too

I'm sure they are a very good site, but it makes me laugh how many people simply use their projections as the be all end all

 

I think Brice Matthews could be that guy, and it gives him a way to contribute on the big league roster.