I guess I am in the minority but this was a pretty important move. The Astros needed at least two quality starting pitchers going into 2026. The Astros still need a #2 starter but they got that #3/4 guy with upside, under control, and low cost.
A 2nd TJS is much rarer than a single one. He had his in 2023 so he has much less risk than most starting pitchers
I think this is a great move. I am quite confident that at least 2 of Burrows, Javier, Arrighetti, McCullers, Weiss, Blubaugh, or Ullola will ascend to playoff starter caliber. If Brown + at least 4 of those 7 stay healthy, I am very confident this staff finishes in the top 10-12 of all teams. All they need now is a run producing lefty bat and a back up catcher. But I also think they bring back J.V. as long as the money is there after those 2 spots are filled. Because of that, I think trading from this depth can still happen with Arrighetti the guy I would bet on.
That's true for any pitcher. Who knows how many TJS surgeries Brito might have between now and whenever he makes it to the majors. That's the reality for any pitcher in the modern era - even more so if you pitch for the Astros.
All trades are risky. So are trades not made. At best you simply minimize them. But you never eliminate them.