I know Bonda called the Verlander trade a couple years back. He’s got some connections. I think there’s definitely smoke to the Correa rumors. I’d love to have him back. Not sure how Dana feels though. This could get tricky.
Definitely smoke on the Correa rumors. Not saying it’s happening, but people who would know say talks are definitely happening.
That’s so badass. Correa would put this team’s lineup back to where it was from 2017-2022 in terms of firepower, assuming Yordan comes back.
Correa is no longer the player he was his 1st time in Houston. Probably still an upgrade but not what he once was.
Calvin Biggio If we can turn AAAA players into competent ML players imagine what we could do with AAAAA players.
Aside from potentially being more injury-prone, I’m not sure about that. His exit velocity, xSLG, hard hit %, SwStr%, and contact rates are all right in line with his career norms. So I don’t think he’s lost any physical ability to perform (except of course when he’s injured). The only area in his underlying stats that show any sign of physical decline is in his fielding range, which would be mitigated by a move to 3B or 2B. If he’s able to stay healthy (a huge huge if), I think he will be a bonafide star player for at least the next 2-3 seasons.
His stats this year look almost exactly like his stats from 2023, 1.3 WAR. What is the value of that WAR (not being critical, just want to know what that value is).
WAR is a cumulative stat and a general estimate is that players are worth ~$10M/war, but that varies greatly especially among top players, as there is a premium for scarcity and star power. But Correa currently projects to finish this season in the 2.3-2.6 war range; those projections expect him to continue to hit for less power than his peak and be worth less defensively. Like I said, the underlying stats back up the loss of defensive value due to decreased range, but his drop in power is not backed up by the underlying stats, at least not in terms of bat speed and how hard he hits the ball. The lack of power this season in my opinion looks to be from lower barrel % and launch angle, both of which I think are just timing/swing related and can be fixed.
I don't think Jordan Lyles is pitching for anyone right now . Dude was an ironman . Let's see if we can get him for the rest of the year
One thing about bringing Correa back is he'll be motivated to win another ring (especially after Altuve shoves his 2nd in his face). Bad thing, $33 mil per year he counts against the lux tax for the next 3 years (and even though his salary goes down in the vesting years it still counts for $33 mil per year on lux tax).
By my math, he is owed approx $104M over the next 3.33 yrs. Thats $31.2M AAV. Get the Twins to pay $20M. Thats AAV $25.2M 2025 salary owed by Astros approx $10M. Then you have vesting options. 2029) $25M if 575 PAs in 2028 2030) $20M if 550 PAs in 2029 2031) $15M if 525 PAs in 2030 2032) $10M if 502 PAs in 2031 He has only had 575 PAs 4 times in his career and is not on pace this year either. This feels very reasonable to me.
He’s played a whopping zero professional innings at 2B. I’m not saying he can’t, but to think he’s going to stroll in mid-season and plug into a position he’s never played is just unrealistic.
