I think this is more significant than the odds we gained, as there is 80% those odds are irrelevant, meanwhile, the difference between 9th and 10th was the difference between ROY Star and Rotation Player in 2002.
My top 9, based on reading some scouting reports and watching some youtube videos. Will be gone by #9: Flagg/Harper/Bailey/Edgecombe Happy to land at #9 if they get there: Tre Johnson (knee-jerk reaction to Jalen's performance and may rescind), Kneuppel (shooting and passing big areas of need), Jakucionis (shooting and passing big areas of need, and he shot well before injury for those wondering why I think he's a good shooter), Malauch (Udoka's biggest strength seems to be defense and he's the project to mold if you want that) If all the above are gone, I want one of the guard prosects: Demin, Fears, Richardson type. It's just a the biggest question marks on the team and can use more lottery tickets at the area. Not a fan of the bigs other than Malauch. CMB is comped to Draymond but you need to be 99.9% level BBIQ and a-hole to be Draymond. Queen is pointless on this team with Sengun already.
There are 1001 Ping Pong Ball combinations. The No. 9 spot gets 45 balls and the No. 10 spot gets 30 balls if no ties. With a tie, they split the balls evenly, with the coin toss deciding if there isn't an even split for the last ball. As such, the Rockets got an extra ball out of the coin toss and get 38 combinations out of 1001 while Portland only gets 37.
It has to influence the odds since the coin flip determines the 9th and 10th position probabilities in the draft. Had we lost the coin flip, we'd have the 10th best probabilities at a top-4 pick. Since the 9th and 10th positions can't evenly split the number of balls allocated to both (75), they each get 37 combinations, but the winner of the coin-flip also gets one extra combination in the lottery. Go us!
Technically, there are only 1000 combinations since one is thrown out/not allowed, but otherwise... correct!
I almost put 1000, but then googled it as 1000 just didn't sound right. I just did not read far enough about the one being thrown out.
It's probably a hard knee jerk to last night, but I would take Tre, Knueppel, or Jase Richardson if any are available at 9. We need shooting so badly. I'm super high on Jase, but he may end up being too small if Reed is a future guy for us. Jakucionus is interesting too with his size if he can actually shoot.
Great question. I’m going with Harper personally. Terrific size and wingspan for a guard, solid handles, high floor. Shades of Cade.
Jakucionus was shooting 55/44/88 prior to an injury. He can light it up. He's been mocked in the top 5-6 until recently. If he falls to 9 he's the steal of this draft. Also like Egor Demin - dude is fantastic as the pick and roll ball handler / decision maker and is a very good finisher in the paint and at the rim.
