We split the lottery percentage with the tie so the coin flip is only for position in the draft not percentage in the lottery for a top 4 pick.
That's with every incentive to lose, Bridges and Schroeder probably has them in the play-in in the weak east.
So we essentially traded down from 6th to 9th, but added 2027 Suns 1st, and 2029 pick swap. Is that right? Juicy!
The coin flip matters because in the 9th and 10th positions, you have to split the 75 combinations evenly, which you can't because it's an odd number total. So each team gets assigned 37 possible combinations and before the lottery a coin-flip is done to break this tie. The winning team gets the extra combination and the slight probability advantage. I want to pick #1. FYI, we won the coin-flip against the Spurs in the Wemby draft, so winning coin flips ain't exactly all it's cracked up to be. lol. You don't split the lottery percentage in the event of a tie, you split the number of combinations in the lottery. In the case of the 9th and 10th picks, you can't split the combinations evenly so the coin flip gives the winning team an extra combination. That team gets slightly higher probabilities as well as higher seeding in the lottery.
Some people thought this year's swap wouldn't even convey. Dropping three spots in the draft lottery to pick up two extra unprotected Phoenix draft assets is a win to me.
Not just a win. A massive win. The 2027 1st alone could be better than the 6th this year, judging from the way Suns are going down.
No. This is a very very very very long way from correct. Please go and do the research and just think about it a tiny little bit. Please.
17.1% chance of a top 4 pick? (hopefully I did that right) add up all the possibilities of top 4 picks between 9 and 10, and then divide by 2
Our 2025 Suns pick swap is the 1st of 4 pick assets we received for two Brooklyn picks/swaps. We also received Suns 2027 & 2029, as well as Dallas 2029 (all unprotected). I believe this is accurate but I’m sure someone will tell me if not.
