Even with their teams paying a lot of their contracts there is almost no way the Astros trade for one of those guys and not go into the tax I can't in any way see Crane going into the tax for a second straight year to acquire a declining Arenado or a guy like Yoshida/Springer If we go into the tax again it will be for Bregman or a guy who isn't older and on the decline
The White Sox would be stupid to trade him right now. They will start the year with him and hope for health and production. MLB (pro sports in general) has an amazing ability to forget the past injuries when someone is playing and gets hot. The price they could get for him after a good April and May would be significantly more than what they could get right now But having said that, the White Sox aren't currently known for being smart
I think Houston is actually currently ~$12M below the CBT threshold. I think the deal they had lined up with the Cardinals only had Houston taking on like $15M/yr for Arenado. They could probably figure out a way to shed another $3M (trading Montero with a prospect, trading Caratini, etc.). But I agree Houston probably isn’t taking on Springer or Yoshida.
I've never completely figured out how the money works tax wise when you trade for someone and the other teams pays part of the salary. Does only the money you are responsible for paying count against your tax?
Yes. Whatever amount the team takes on counts giant their CBT calculations. In this instance, the rumor was that Houston would take on ~$45M/3yrs of Arenado’s remaining contract, so their 2025 CBT hit for him would be $15M (the AAV of the amount they were taking on).
Yeah $40 is risky if he sucks or gets hurt and opts in. I guess they hope he does well, stays healthy and opts out essentially making him a rental
I don’t know why he thinks he’s going to get better offers after his opt out years. He’s never going to match his 2019 stats. Dude could have had a statue outside of daikon park