A) They were warned repeatedly. Even I heard the warnings and I don't live in the region. The risk of flooding and even mudslides was repeated B) It has absolutely to do with climate change. This is why deniers are so dangerous. Because it creates a false sense of complacency. The gulf is warmer - and climate scientist predicted decades ago that storms would be larger and wetter because of the increase moisture and heat content in the oceans. Both of these have come to pass. You can stick to politicizing the science all you want, but I have news for you - the world isn't flat and hurricanes are getting worse because of man made CO2. It doesn't take a genius to understand that warmer air holds more moisture, which means more rain when it gets dumped inland.
Those were not once in a lifetime events. This is people building in flood zones. The entire houston area is a flood zone
It's funny to the correlation between oil producing states and climate denialism. The oil industry is effective at propaganda
**** yeah! Now let’s implement MOAR green energy policies to help support Bill Gates wealth and cover our homes with non renewable solar panels that will create widespread toxic waste, at least it pushes the problem out 2 decades! Also, let’s continue to pretend that China and India give a damn about reducing their carbon emissions and we are the one causing climate change! ‘Merica, **** Yeah! (Sorry this is just my reflexive reaction when people are really gung ho about screaming climate change. For all I know you agree with me. Of course the climate is changing, it’s never once been static at any point in earth’s history. Sure, humans contribute).
History, definitely. The math and science for weather prediction is based on some flawed/inaccurate/biased historical (some observational) data and scientific assumptions (oxymoron). Look at this proportionally accurate map of the world. It’s hard for most people to change their paradigm and accept the reality of scientifically proven facts, which is why you don’t see this map in media to this day.
God ****ing dammit 2. Western Caribbean Sea and Gulf of Mexico: A broad area of low pressure located over the western Caribbean Sea is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear to be conducive for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form around the middle part of this week while the disturbance meanders towards the west-northwest. This system is then expected to move northwestward into the Gulf of Mexico during the latter portion of this week, and interests in the northwestern Caribbean Sea and along the U.S. Gulf Coast should monitor its progress. * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent. * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
https://spacecityweather.com/we-think-the-texas-hurricane-season-is-probably-over-2/ I’ll let you in on a little secret. Every September, around this time of year, I’ll write a post that essentially says the Texas hurricane season is over. And every time, my wife hates it. Why? Because there’s a non-zero chance that I am wrong and that, despite the odds, a hurricane will actually strike the Texas coast during the remainder of the season. It would be pretty embarrassing. But I believe in reporting and writing what I honestly think is true. And I’m here to tell you, both Matt and I think the likelihood of a hurricane striking Texas after today this year is pretty darn low. Historically, the odds are about 1-in-50. Looking at the available data for this year, there are a couple of things to consider. Yes, the Gulf of Mexico is historically warm, and such sea surface temperatures tend to support the idea that we could see tropical systems blow up into hurricanes. However, there are solid reasons to believe that we’re done for this year beyond the historical odds. First of all, after soon-to-form Tropical Storm Helene, the Gulf of Mexico looks fairly quiet over the next week, if not longer. That gets us into October. Then there is the overall pattern change to consider. We’ve already had one cool front earlier this month. Another is on the way Wednesday. Quite possibly, we’ll get a third front some time next week. When you start to see this kind of fall-like pattern of regular fronts, it becomes very difficult for a hurricane to blaze a trail westward across the Gulf of Mexico into Texas. Not impossible, mind you, but very unlikely. None of this means that we won’t see tropical weather in October, or possibly even November. We could see tropical lows bringing heavy rainfall for many weeks to come. But the odds of another hurricane bearing down on our region are pretty darn low at this point. If you want to breathe a little easier, that’s fine with us.
The odds are the author is probably right but as even he acknowledges that is no guarantee. Also this is the Texas hurricane season not the whole hurricane season. As noted on this page of this thread there are still a lot of conditions favorable for storm conditions. Anrwminde they Superstorm Sandy was in mid October so it is still very possible for another major storm.
sad seeing all these NC and TN towns flooded out. When I lived in Georgia we'd head to the mountains often because they were so close. were even foolish enough to get a Biltmore membership which became our excuse to go on these trips. so many kind, selfless people in these areas Right when many thought it was going to be a quiet one since basically nothing happened after Beryl. changed in an instant.
Yeah, I wasn’t suggesting it was impossible…just that it’s highly unlikely that, whether a storm develops or not, that it would chug to the Texas coast at this time of year. Fronts start coming through pretty much weekly at this point, even if they’re really weak…and they push stuff further east of us…or even south of us into Mexico. Hurricanes develop all the time in the Gulf past Sept. 25 or so….but It’s not the development of a storm in the Gulf he’s saying is unlikely….it’s trajectory to TX that is less likely.
