I think you gotta take those numbers with a grain of salt. Yes, the projected wRC+ numbers are above 100. But if you factor in defense his projected WAR for 600 AB's is <2.0. (2 WAR is considered an average starter). Plus his projected K rate across all projection systems is about 32%. When you have a K rate that high, there's a ton of volatility in outcomes.
Was looking at this fall's Rule 5 class and this year is short on slam dunk adds (outside of Hunter Brown), but there will be quite a few guys on the fringes who might represent some risk of being taken: C: Berryhill*, Diaz, Salazar, Nerio IF: Valdez*, Hensley, Kessinger OF: McKenna*, Adolph, Julks, Abreu, Brewer P: Brown*, Conine, Ruppenthal, France, Robaina, Macuare, Jimenez May be something to keep in mind as the deadline approaches. But not nearly the pending 40 man roster crunch they've appeared to have the last several years.
Just double checked to be sure and he was indeed a Top 100 pitching prospect by BA. From BA: Stuff-wise, Verlander has no weaknesses.
Yea... not as bad as before because A LOT of guys in the minors are underperforming at least my expectations. Sure we have our positive suprises like Matijevic, Valdez, Mushinski, Hensley, etc... but guys like Bermudez, Tyler Brown, Dubin, Korey Lee, McKenna, Costes, France, Kessinger, and of late even Tamarez... lots of disappointment.
Dubin and Tamarez are the big disappointments to me. I was expecting Dubin to already be in the pen by now, and I was expecting Tamarez would be close to where Dubin was last year.
Agree on this. A lot of the younger guys were were hoping would take a step forward haven't in the lower levels. It isn't a good thing, but I will point out that we had a similar thing happen early on with Luhnow where the farms just had a bad season.... and we waited FOREVER for the young pitchers (especially international) to really come through, and even then most of the arms have been as good of better in the big leagues than they were in the minors.
I agree, particularly with the high drag ball this year. However, I think all of his projections were south of 100 wRC+ entering this season so it's good to see the projection systems approving of his good performance thus far this season. If he keeps performing that projected K% should decline to a more reasonable level in view of his BB% and power.
It seems to me like they rushed most of their highest ceiling young prospects. McKenna, Whitcomb, Gonzalez, Whitaker, Tamarez, and Robaina all should probably be one level lower.
Jordan Lyles Francis Martes Jarred Cosart Forrest Whitley Corbin Martin JB Bukauskas Josh James Cionel Perez Mark Appel How's that a list of guys that were Top 100 on at least one major list for us in the past 10 years? Our one true top pitching prospect that has made it is LMJ. And I'm talking about a long way. Some had success with other clubs like Josh Hader, but the next guy I can think of is Oswalt.
Baseball America updated their Astros Top 30 1. Hunter Brown 2. Korey Lee 3. Pedro León 4. Alex Santos 5. Joe Perez 6. Yainer Diaz 7. Tyler Whitaker 8. Peter Solomon 9. Chayce McDermott 10. Jaime Melendez 11. Grae Kessinger 12. Forrest Whitley 13. Will Wagner 14. Spencer Arrighetti 15. Colin Barber 16. David Hensley 17. J.J. Matijevic 18. Cristian Gonzalez 19. Jordan Brewer 20. Justin Dirden 21. Misael Tamarez 22. Enmanuel Valdez 23. Adrian Chaidez 24. Jimmy Endersby 25. Matthew Barefoot 26. Alex McKenna 27. Seth Martinez 28. Jonathan Bermudez 29. Brett Conine 30. Zach Daniels
Ernesto Jaquez with a solid outing for Asheville, but he's currently on the hook for a loss: 5.2 IP, 2 H, 2 ER, 4 BB, 6 K One of the hits he allowed was a two-run homer. The 4 walks are certainly a concern (14 in 19.1 since joining Asheville) and he also threw 3 wild pitches in this one. Jaquez will probably continue to get chances in the rotation... from only reading his stats, he kind of looks like another Cristian Javier.
