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The JVG Curse: Can T-Mac Survive?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by gucci888, Jun 21, 2004.

  1. gucci888

    gucci888 Member

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    We all know that T-Mac is a great scorer and that scoring is what he thrives on. Steve's scoring went down significantly and it is not impossible that the same could happen to T-Mac.

    Looking at ppg stats under JVG, its very clear that players score much less under JVG than other systems:

    Sprewell
    Was a big scorer with GS, kinda like T-Mac in a way, shot the ball well and could penetrate. However, his numbers declined significantly under JVG:

    22-24ppg in GS, down to 16ppg, went up to 18ppg under JVG.


    A. Houston
    Another good scorer, very good shooter. Was a good scorer in Detroit and became even better after JVG left. Same story:

    20ppg in Detroit, down to 15ppg, went up to 20ppg under JVG. 22ppg after JVG left NYC

    Ewing
    His numbers went down every year ever since JVG took over. Was getting old so its kinda hard to make judgement.

    Francis
    One of the premier scorers in the NBA for a little while. Didn't get far with it though, but really didn't have anything to work with until Yao. But, its the same story:

    21ppg under Rudy, 16ppg under JVG

    Mobley
    Very good scorer, same story as Steve and the others.

    21 & 18ppg under Rudy, 16ppg under JVG



    I'm not saying scoring is all that matters to T-Mac, hopefully it's championships. But its clear to see that JVG doesn't utilize scoring out of his players, even if they are very, very good at it.

    If T-Mac's numbers go down, which history shows it probably will, and he is not happy about it, who is going to pay, JVG or the Rockets? Just a little something to ponder while they are finalizing the trade. :)
     
  2. sup123

    sup123 Member

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    i wouldnt worry. Scoring is manily down because jvg stresses defense. And the games he coaches will be low scoring, so i expect a drop in scoring for tmac.
     
  3. gucci888

    gucci888 Member

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    I don't want to seem like I'm jumping the gun, but I think its something that the Rockets need to think about.
     
  4. dharocks

    dharocks Member

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    Don't forget Grandmama. He was a big scorer in Charlotte.

    But I wouldn't be worried. In fact, I'd be very happy with 22ppg, 7rpg, and 5apg from T-Mac... As long as Yao's averaging around 18-21ppg.

    Don't forget, those Knicks teams had a lot of scoring threats - Houston, Spree, LJ, Ewing, even Camby.
     
  5. Dr of Dunk

    Dr of Dunk Clutch Crew

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    There are more holes in these doubts than there are in a pack of Kraft swiss cheese.
     
  6. IROC it

    IROC it Member

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    Van Gundy says, "Scoring is...

    [​IMG]
    ...The Debil!!"

    :p
     
  7. StupidMoniker

    StupidMoniker I lost a bet

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    It is hard to have 3 guys averaging 20 ppg when the games are in the 80s every night. That is just the style of play. What you need to look at is if scoring efficiency declined greatly under JVG. Sprees shooting got better after going to the Knicks, Houston's stayed about the same, and Cat had probably his second best season (his best season was when Francis went out and Moochie was feeding him the ball more).
     
  8. JoeBarelyCares

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    . . . or maybe Yao's scoring will go down because he will have to generate his own shots (off offensive rebounds, etc.).
     
  9. too_good

    too_good Member

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    I wouldn't mind seeing Tmac have a lower ppg avg. If this results in him fine tuning his game he will be all the better.

    But I agree with those that say this isn't likely to happen because of Jeff.
     
  10. GATER

    GATER Member

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    Given the Riley and Van Gundy Knicks were perenial EC playoff teams, do you think Sprewell and Houston were happier as Knicks or with their combined 2 playoff appearances in 9 seasons with GSW and DET?

    Also, IMO your focus (ppg) is too narrow and never factors in efficiency (there's a big difference in taking a lot of shots and needing a lot of shots) and points in transition.
     
  11. micah1j

    micah1j Member

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    I think T-Mac's scoring will go down naturally because he will not be the sole focus of the offense. Yao's shots should natuarally increase, maybe to 15 a game from 12.5 last year. T-Mac, maybe around 20 down from 23.4. T-Mac averaged 25.6 pts in 2001 on 20.9 shots a game. 20+15=35 35 of say 75 average shots a game = 47% of the offense.

    During Shaq & Kobe's run to the Championships 1999-2001 they averaged 2001: 21.1 + 17.9 = 39.0, 2000: 19.2 + 22.2 = 41.4, 2001: 18.3 + 20.0 = 38.3 shots respectively.

    I don't see a problem.
     
  12. Willis25

    Willis25 Member

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    I'm sure that the fact that Grand MAMA and big Pat were getting up there in age (as evidenced by the fact they both retired shortly after the finals year) also had something to do with the production dropping
     
  13. gucci888

    gucci888 Member

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    Like I said, I don't think scorings is all that matters to T-Mac, that hopefully its about winning.

    But Steve's, Cat's, and Houston's, FG% went down under JVG. Cat's and Houston's didn't go down much, but still down none the less. But like you said, there are other factors to be considered.
     
  14. littlefish_220

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    Not a strong argument in my opinion.

    Many factors are not factored in, such as the tempo of the game, how many scoring sources of the team, etc.
     
  15. Qball

    Qball Member

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    It was JVG's first year coaching the rox. He'll adjust his game plan.
     
  16. ChenZhen

    ChenZhen Member

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    Your thread title is a bit dramatic.

    Want to see a curse in sports? See the Bambino curse.
     
  17. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    Response from Almu coming in 3...2...1...

    :D
     
  18. Almu

    Almu Member

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    Yawn...

    Another VanGundy is the problem thread.

    Can we um...let the man have his cup of coffee before we kick him out? Can he unpack first? Can he visit Astroworld a couple of times?

    I wonder if Gundy smiled and giggled, had nothing to do with the Knicks or NYC, ran iso and had his team score 110pts per game would the haters give him a little break....

    Don't forget to hate Rudy T. when he becomes a Laker coach. If anything, you gotta be consistant.
     
  19. Almu

    Almu Member

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    I waited for your countdown, Jeff. You know me well... :)
     
  20. steddinotayto

    steddinotayto Member

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