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Surprise dip in UK COVID cases baffles researchers

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by tinman, Aug 4, 2021.

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Why did the UK dip?

  1. The metric system

    1 vote(s)
    33.3%

  2. They don’t have Democrats and Republicans

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%

  3. DaBaby didn’t go to their festival

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%

  4. BBC is better than the cable news networks you suckers watch

    2 vote(s)
    66.7%
  1. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    https://www.nature.com/articles/d41586-021-02125-1
    Surprise dip in UK COVID cases baffles researchers
    Daily recorded infections have more than halved since mid-July. Few researchers anticipated such a sharp decline, and they are now struggling to interpret it.

    “Nobody really knows what’s going on,” says epidemiologist John Edmunds at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine (LSHTM). In particular, it’s not clear whether this sudden trend indicates that the peak of the third wave has passed, or whether it is a blip caused by complex social factors.
     
    #1 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2021
  2. SuraGotMadHops

    SuraGotMadHops Member

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    Because there is a seasonality aspect to this virus that nobody seems to want to acknowledge. The US cases will likely have a similar dip soon, and instead of seasonality it will be attributed to all the re-masking that people did that has never really proven to make any significant difference.
     
    #2 SuraGotMadHops, Aug 4, 2021
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  3. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Member
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    Fortunate for them that the UK has different seasons than other places in world where cases are going up.
     
    #3 FranchiseBlade, Aug 4, 2021
    Last edited: Aug 4, 2021
  4. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    @VooDooPope
    Need 99er perspective for the chaps overseas
     
    #4 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
  5. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    #5 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
  6. Ubiquitin

    Ubiquitin Member
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    What seasonality?
     
    #6 Ubiquitin, Aug 4, 2021
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  7. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    Boris > Biden

     
    #7 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
  8. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    I had the same question posted in the Tinman's famous hangout covid thread last week.

    Then I saw this. If true, it explains most of it. Same link shows very little covid vaccine hesitancy (4%) in UK.

    "An estimated 93.6% of the adult population in England, 93.2% in Wales, 90.7% in Northern Ireland and 92.5% in Scotland tested positive for COVID-19 antibodies in the week beginning 12 July 2021. The presence of antibodies suggests a person previously had COVID-19 or has been vaccinated."

    https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopula...les/coronaviruscovid19latestinsights/vaccines
     
    #8 Amiga, Aug 4, 2021
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  9. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    what about the kids? that's the loophole here. you can't vaccinate them.
     
    #9 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
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  10. Amiga

    Amiga Member

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    right, thus explain most of it... kids are usually not symptomatic and so it might be spreading (or might not due to high level of protection from adults) but they don't seek testing
     
    #10 Amiga, Aug 4, 2021
  11. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Member
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    Yes that is a weakness but vaccinated adults means less chance of spread, though breakthrough cases do happen. But they happen more seldom than with the unvaccinated.

    So there are fewer folks to give it to the kids and fewer people will get it from the kids.
     
    #11 FranchiseBlade, Aug 4, 2021
  12. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    mom - vaccinated
    kid - not
     
    #12 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
  13. Jugdish

    Jugdish Member

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    Weird it took this long for someone to start a Covid thread in the D&D.
     
    #13 Jugdish, Aug 4, 2021
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  14. FranchiseBlade

    FranchiseBlade Member
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    Yep. That was the story from CBS News. Makes sense.

    Doesn't discount anything I posted.
     
    #14 FranchiseBlade, Aug 4, 2021
  15. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    Polls plus
    It’s certified pure
    @Os Trigonum
     
    #15 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
  16. tinman

    tinman 999999999
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    This one actually has facts
     
    #16 tinman, Aug 4, 2021
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