Yeah most likely. 18 years old, productive at a pro level, legit wing size with legit floor general qualities. Even if he drops out of the lottery I don't see him making it past the Knicks twice.
Does that make me a prophet? Actually I think I might be a 99er; I used to be RichRocket which is a derivation of my given name but people kept insinuating that I wanted everyone to know that I was "rich" ... so I changed it.
If you can get a Joe Ingles after pick 10 or so, you have achieved a MASSIVE success in the 1st round... The thing that is interesting to me is how much people overrate the NBA draft. Past the first few picks, finding a player the caliber of a Joe Ingles amidst a sea of busts is exceedingly rare.
If I lost 50 pounds, I'd be a skeleton. Sure could use an extra 6" in height, though. Oh, and don't listen - keep the beard! ;-)
Agree 100% Even finding a really good player with say the #8 pick is tougher than people think: 2007 - Brandan Wright 2008 - Joe Alexander 2009 - Jordan Hill 2010 - Al-Farouq Aminu 2011 - Brandon Knight 2012 - Terrence Ross 2013 - Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 2014 - Nik Stauskas 2015 - Stanley Johnson 2016 - Marquese Chriss 2017 - Frank Ntilikina 2018 - Collin Sexton 2019 - Jaxson Hayes 2020 - Obi Toppin You could argue that Ingles is better than the majority of these players.
8 is really hard. There are players you’re supposed to take on talent alone. Later in the round and in the second round you can take risks and follow your instincts without the entire media second guessing you.
The NBA needs to come to an agreement to stop paying these kids too much to basically be developed. Most of these 19 year olds need contracts more similar to drafting baseball players, considering all of the risk involved and time to develop.