Claudette produced torrential rains in both Texas and Louisiana when it made landfall. The highest one-day total was reported near Alvin, Texas where 42 inches (1,100 mm) of rain fell. This remained as the highest twenty-four-hour rainfall record for any location in the United States until the 2018 Kauai floods, when 49.69 inches (1,262 mm) of rain fell in 24 hours in Waipā Garden, Kauai, Hawaii.
Since we moved to St. Petersburg in 2018, there have been 2 tropical storms that directly impacted us. Eta last November and Elsa now. We have been out of town both times.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:24 AM CDT Wednesday July 07, 2021 As of 4 AM EDT, Tropical Storm Elsa was located about 70 miles SSW of Cedar Key, Florida. It is moving to the north near 14 mph. Winds are 65 mph. Elsa should make landfall later this morning a little northwest of Cedar Key with winds of 60-65 mph. Strong to severe thunderstorms are occurring to the east of the center over the Florida Peninsula. After landfall, Elsa should weaken and accelerate to the northeast. It is expected to remain as a tropical storm across the southeast United States and emerge back over the Atlantic late tomorrow or early Friday. It could impact the Cape Cod area late on Friday and then Atlantic Canada on Saturday. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 16 has formed overnight over the lower Texas Coast. It is a surface trough with an area of showers and thunderstorms. This disturbance is expected to slowly move to the west today, which will bring heavy rainfall to the Rio Grande Valley through the middle Texas Coast today into tomorrow. General accumulations of 2 to 6 inches of rain are likely from this disturbance. Isolated areas could receive up to 8 inches. Some flooding is likely. Due to the proximity to land, there is a near zero percent chance of tropical development. Disturbance 14 is along 66W, over the southern Caribbean. It is moving slightly north of due west at 15 to 20 mph. There are few remaining thunderstorms associated with this disturbance. There is a near zero percent chance of development. Disturbance 15 is located along 43W. It is moving to the west near 15 mph. This motion should continue, which will take it toward South America and the southern Caribbean by the end of the week. There are only a few associated storms associated with this disturbance. There is a near zero percent chance of tropical development. Disturbance 17 recently moved off the African coast. It is located along 20W, and it is moving to the west at 10 to 15 mph. This motion should continue, along with an acceleration, for the next several days. While there is a large area of thunderstorms associated with this disturbance, there are no signs of organization. The chance of development is 5 percent within the next 7 days.
seems like florida is due for a big cane? but i guess cuba and the islands really protect it well from the south side. googled michael to double check its path and sure enough came from the gulf. at this point as a houstionan im only scared of stuff that forms in the gulf at this point, googled ike and realized that in fact came from the atlantic so maybe not the case. seems like more things itensifty more north east they tend to go which mightve been what spared us from laura last year? sorry rambling, big storms are fascinating
Lots of activity in the Atlantic right now. Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 03:48 AM CDT Monday August 09, 2021 Active Systems None Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 25 is a weak area of low pressure centered roughly near 13N, 57W and moving west-northwest near 15 mph. The system exhibits strong atmospheric rotation. However, the surface circulation is weak. Thunderstorm activity has not become any better organized since yesterday. Model guidance remains not particularly bullish regarding development. However, environmental conditions are expected to be somewhat favorable for development. Therefore, the system could become a tropical depression or low-end tropical storm as it continues west-northwest. By Tuesday, it is expected to be over the northeastern Caribbean, near Puerto Rico. By Wednesday, it is expected to be near Hispaniola where it could interact with the island's high mountains. From there, the forecast confidence remains low. The chance of development within 48 hours is 40 percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 50 percent. Disturbance 27 is along 49W and remains weak. The disturbance is moving west near 15 mph. It appears less organized than it did yesterday. There is no model guidance support for development and environmental conditions for the disturbance do not appear that favorable. We have lowered the chance of development since yesterday. The chance of development within 48 hours is 20 percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 20 percent. Disturbance 26 is a weak trough along 35W. It is void of shower and thunderstorm activity. The disturbance is likely to remain weak as it continues its current steady westward motion over the next 5-7 days. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 10 percent. Disturbance 28 has emerged off the coast of Africa this morning. It is moving west near 10 mph. The system exhibits some atmospheric rotation along with disorganized thunderstorm activity. Development, if any, would be slow to occur as it continues westward. The chance of development within 48 hours is zero percent. The chance of development within 7 days is 10 percent. Meteorologists: Cameron Self / David Piech
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:30 AM CDT Tuesday August 10, 2021 Active Systems Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon 25 35 mph Tropical Disturbance 15.7N 62.2W 25 As of the 4 AM AST/EDT advisory, Disturbance 25 was located in the eastern Caribbean about 40 miles SW of Guadeloupe. It is moving to the west-northwest at 18 mph. On this track, the disturbance is expected to pass south of the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and then move over Hispaniola. Longer term, the system is forecast to move toward South Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico. The disturbance is expected to become a tropical storm later this morning. While it should weaken as it moves over Hispaniola, our forecast is for it to impact South Florida and the eastern Gulf of Mexico as a tropical storm. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 28 is located south of the Cabo Verde Islands along 23W. It is moving to the west at 10-15 mph. A general westward motion is expected through the next few days. While there is a large area of thunderstorms associated with the disturbance, there are no signs of organization. Environmental conditions are only expected to be marginal for further development. The chance of development within the next 48 hours is 5 percent. The development chance within 7 days is 20 percent. Disturbance 26 is located along 40W It is moving to the west at 15 mph. This motion is expected to continue. There are no thunderstorms associated with this disturbance. No development is expected. Disturbance 27 is no longer identifiable. The system has been removed from the analysis.
Note how Fred's predicted landfall has moved a tad to the West (our way) Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:13 AM CDT Wednesday August 11, 2021 Active Systems Fred As of the 4 AM AST/EDT advisory, Tropical Storm Fred was located about 65 miles SE of Punta Cana, Dominican Republic. It is moving to the west near 17 mph. A turn back to the west-northwest is expected soon. This will bring Fred over the Dominican Republic later this morning. Flooding rainfall is expected across Hispaniola. After crossing Hispaniola, Fred is forecast to move toward the Florida Keys and then into the eastern Gulf of Mexico. A final landfall is forecast to occur on the Florida Panhandle as a strong tropical storm early Monday. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 28 is located in the east Atlantic near 12N, 32W. It is expected to move to the west-northwest over the next few days at about 20 mph. This could take the disturbance toward the northern Leeward Islands by Sunday. The thunderstorms are currently located to the west of any low level circulation. However, conditions could become a little more favorable as the system approaches the Caribbean. There is a 20 percent chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 40 percent chance of development within the next 7 days. Disturbance 26 is located along 47W. It is moving to the west near 20 mph. There continues to be no thunderstorms associated with this disturbance. No development is expected.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:11 AM CDT Thursday August 12, 2021 Active Systems Fred Tropical Depression Fred was located about 110 miles east of Guantanamo, Cuba. It is moving to the west-northwest at 16 mph. We expect Fred to track just north of Cuba on Friday and regain minimal tropical storm intensity. Fred is forecast to move toward the Florida Keys and then into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. A final landfall is forecast to occur on the Florida Panhandle as a strong tropical storm early Monday. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 28 is located in the east Atlantic near 14N, 42W, or about 1260 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is moving west-northwest at near 20 mph and this motion is forecast to continue over the next several days. Based on this motion, we expect it to move across the northern Leeward Islands and possibly near or just south of Puerto Rico on Sunday. Thunderstorms remain persistent with the disturbance and environmental conditions are forecast to become more favorable over the next several days. There is a 30 percent chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 60 percent chance of development within the next 7 days. Disturbance 26 is located along 53W. It is moving to the west near 20 mph. Thunderstorms are very limited with the disturbance and no development is expected. It may bring some increasing showers and thunderstorms to Trinidad and the Windward Islands Friday.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:27 AM CDT Friday August 13, 2021 Fred Tropical Depression Fred is located about 370 miles east-southeast of Key West, Florida. It is moving to the west-northwest at 10 mph. We expect Fred to track just north of Cuba today and regain minimal tropical storm intensity. Fred is forecast to move toward the Florida Keys and then into the eastern Gulf of Mexico over the weekend. A final landfall is forecast to occur on the Florida Panhandle as a weak to moderate tropical storm early Monday. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 28 is located in the central Atlantic near 15N, 49W, or about 815 miles east of the Leeward Islands. It is moving west-northwest at near 20 mph and this motion is forecast to continue over the next several days. Based on this motion, we expect it to move across the northern Leeward Islands and possibly near or just south of Puerto Rico on Sunday. Thunderstorms have become better organized with the disturbance as conditions become more favorable. If development occurs, we think the system will be no more than a tropical depression or weak tropical storm before encountering the higher terrain of Hispaniola Monday where it will weaken and possibly fall apart. Regardless of development we will see increasing thunderstorms and gusty winds spread across the Leeward Islands into Puerto Rico on Sunday. There is a 70 percent chance of development within the next 48 hours and a 70 percent chance of development within the next 7 days. Disturbance 26 is located near 20N and 59W, or about 450 miles east-northeast of Puerto Rico. It is moving to the west-northwest near 20 mph. Thunderstorms are disorganized and no development is expected.
There was a tornado about a mile from my house yesterday in Cypress (Bridgeland). Neighbor told me it snapped 10 electrical poles - I don't know if that is true or if he exaggerated. He also said about 6k people were without power as a result of it. I admit that when I got the NWS warning on my phone to take immediate shelter in a closet or whatever I was like gtfo. I have been getting very little sleep lately and was just about to lay down for a nap. Glad we lucked out and weren't affected by it.
