The 12Z ECMWF also initializes Laura further north than where it is currently being observed. It appears the LLC remains south of Cuba and may avoid the mountains altogether. This would allow for a stronger storm to enter the gulf and would cause a more westwardly track towards Texas. Time to start preparing.
They think cat1-3 and move westward toward us. Move fast so more of a wind event vs rain https://spacecityweather.com/marco-on-track-to-our-east-but-lauras-forecast-is-inching-farther-west/
What's the current CDC recommendation regarding masks and hurricanes? I haven't seen much coverage of this on the news media.
Kinda.. I’m not sure what “latest” runs you’re referring too because only the Euro and CMC show an eastern shift and the 18z Euro isn’t anything to write home about. I hope they are right though. I don’t want anything to do with this storm.
Also need to pay attention to ensembles. Euro ensembles show a TX landfall with a strong storm. It also keeps the center south of Cuba. While the operational and some other ensembles show the center over land a lot longer which is a weaker storm. Key point it see where the center is tomorrow and then may have a better handle on the path. Still a very fluid situation. Anyone from Corpus to NOLA should be paying very close attention to Laura.
Having lived through all the hurricanes since Alicia we have never bought water in preparation for a hurricane. Flashlights, batteries, battery operated fans, coolers, ice, transistor radios, canned goods, but not a single ounce of water.
Good morning, folks. Well, this is poop for us. 06Z euro is out. Hopefully Euro is wrong. Other models are pointing towards Lake Charles. I think this afternoons models will start to consolidate now that Marco is pretty much dead and Laura has cleared the eastern mountains of Cuba. Stay tuned.
We've always dreaded a Cat 3+ coming in slightly west of Houston. The amount of storm surge damage this has the potential to do with a landfall as depicted is awful.
