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[Report] Civilization will end by 2050

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout: Debate & Discussion' started by Os Trigonum, Jun 4, 2019.

  1. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    given the subject matter I figured this deserves its own thread

    https://nypost.com/2019/06/03/climate-change-could-end-human-civilization-by-2050-report/

    here's the link to the report itself:

    https://docs.wixstatic.com/ugd/148cb0_b2c0c79dc4344b279bcf2365336ff23b.pdf

    excerpt:

    DISCUSSION
    This scenario provides a glimpse into a world of “outright chaos” on a path to the end of human civilisation and modern society as we have known it, in which the challenges to global security are simply overwhelming and political panic becomes the norm.

    Yet the world is currently completely unprepared to envisage, and even less deal with, the consequences of catastrophic climate change.

    What can be done to avoid such a probable but catastrophic future? It is clear from our preliminary scenario that dramatic action is required this decade if the “hothouse Earth” scenario is to be avoided. To reduce this risk and protect human civilisation, a massive global mobilisation of resources is needed in the coming decade to build a zero-emissions industrial system and set in train the restoration of a safe climate. This would be akin in scale to the World War II emergency mobilisation.

    There is an increasing awareness that such a response is now necessary. Prof. Kevin Anderson makes the case for a Marshall Plan-style construction of zero-carbon-dioxide energy supply and major electrification to build a zero-carbon industrial strategy by “a shift in productive capacity of society akin to that in World War II”. Others have warned that “only a drastic, economy-wide makeover within the next decade, consistent with limiting warming to 1.5°C”, would avoid the transition of the Earth System to the Pliocene-like conditions that prevailed 3-3.3 million years ago, when temperatures were ~3°C and sea levels 25 metres higher. It should be noted here that the 1.5° goal is not safe for a number of Earth System elements, including Arctic sea-ice, West Antarctica and coral reefs.

    The national security sector has unrivalled experience and capacity in such mobilisation, and can play a unique role in its development and implementation, as well as educating policymakers of the existential security risks in failing to do so.

     
  2. Andre0087

    Andre0087 Member

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    I thought it was 12 years?
     
  3. Os Trigonum

    Os Trigonum Member
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    Australians are going to outlast Americans
     
  4. dachuda86

    dachuda86 Member

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    2018: Oh no...

    *drag kids becomes a thing

    2019: Maybe it is for the better.
     
  5. pirc1

    pirc1 Member

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    I think the world will end in 2020 after Trump is defeated in the election.
     
  6. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    To be clear, the report is intentionally trying to illustrate worst case scenario outcomes.
     
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  7. bobrek

    bobrek Politics belong in the D & D

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    Didn’t civilization end in November of 2016?
     
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  8. HTM

    HTM Member

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    2020 will be year 1 under the new Trumpian Imperial calendar.
     
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  9. justtxyank

    justtxyank Member

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    CIVILization certainly did.
     
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  10. TheresTheDagger

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    [​IMG]
     
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  11. Buck Turgidson

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    Another good one:

     
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  12. dmoneybangbang

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    Hmmmm... the difference between “will end...” and “could end....”

    But hey, anyone who has to alter the meaning is probably an upstanding citizen.
     
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  13. Lurch

    Lurch Live Wilder.

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    One day they’ll land one of these predictions.
     
  14. FranchiseBlade

    Supporting Member

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    Elvis is King

     
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