1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

If Steve Is Not A Part of Our Future, Which Way Do We Go?

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by MacBeth, Feb 3, 2004.

  1. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2002
    Messages:
    7,761
    Likes Received:
    2
    This thread is not meant as another format for discussing Steve's mistakes, whether or not we ought to dumo him, etc. There are plenty of threads about that.

    This thread is quite simply a contingency plan. If in fact Steve is no longer part of our long term plan, then we have to decide on which way we go with this franchise. There are a few options;

    1) Trade Steve for another high level player and go from there.

    2) Trade Steve for a contract and a draft pick or two, and grow a new team.

    3) Trade Steve for a couple of good not great players, and try to lure free agents.

    4) Essentially trade everyone and anyone in order to establish a new, Yao centered team.

    5) Back up the truck and start over.


    My personal choice is a combination of 2, 3, and 4. Allow me to explain why.

    1) I don't think that simply trading Steve for another 'star' is going to work, simply because we won't get equal value, and the limitations of that star's talent are going to quickly become the team's ceiling. As is we may or may not have enough sheer talent to develop into serious contenders...lessen the talent, but make us good enough to avoid high draft picks, or open up enough cap space to sigh significant free agents, and we have essentially assured ourselves of being a treadmill team. This is, IMO, the very worst way to go.

    2) As unwelcome as this is going to be to playoff starved Rockets' fans, I actually believe that our future, if Steve isn't in it, involves Yao and some high lottery picks. Yes, rebuilding. A lesser star isn;t going to cut it, but the draft might afford us 2 or 3 potential stars...and stars which fit what we're trying to do. Say we can work Steve into 2 pretty high picks and a contract. Add to that our own ( inevitably) lottery pick, and that's the basis for a future. Yao is the center of that future, but suppose we could add an Okafor and Gordon, or a Howard and Livingston, and another decent pick the following year. Yeah, two such picks are unlikely, but not impossible. To me, if you're gonna move a chip like Francis, you have the option of trading him for a lesser sure thing, or a risk which might be a better thing, ot three. Great teams often take chances. We might fail...but life's a gamle, and greatness doesn't usually come along a straight path.

    Additionally, if we move Steve for picks and contract or 2, that might allow us some real flexibility in a year or two to pursue the right kind of free agents.

    I realize that most are not going to want to hear this, and will groan at even the suggestion of rebuilding yet again...but I think if you eventually want to achieve the highest level, you've got to avoid short sighted moves, and concentrate on the longview.

    I would decide exactly what kind of team we want to build around Yao, and then go out and get it. If we can speed up this process with a trade like SF for Hinrich/Chandler, so be it, but if that kind of move is unavailable, it's better to take a step back with the future in mind than try nd move laterally with little room for future progress.
     
  2. Raven

    Raven Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2002
    Messages:
    14,984
    Likes Received:
    1,025
  3. Tonaaayyyy

    Tonaaayyyy Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2002
    Messages:
    4,537
    Likes Received:
    149
    I would go with the option - Trade Steve for a high level player..

    you need more than 1 great player to reach the championship.. 1 guy can't carry the load himself.. unless you're Duncan.. thats a possibility..

    but my trust would not to trade steve.. he just needs to get his act together he just needs motivation to reach the to the top ...cause he already has the money..
     
  4. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2002
    Messages:
    7,761
    Likes Received:
    2
    I may agree with your last point, but please, let's not make this thread about Steve...this is just a contingecy plan assuming that the worst/best ( depending on your POV) comes to pass.

    As for which option you chose, I strongly disagree, but for the very reasons that you gave. Yes, you need two stars to win. Steve is borderline...and if we trade him because we need him out, we will stand no chance to get a better one, and little to get a star of similar calibre. As such, if you go for an established player, you almost certainly are lessening your second star, and asu such lessening your future.

    It is with that need for a real second star in mind that I suggest rebuilding through the draft, but not slowly like an expansion team, rather with picks acquired, directly or indirectly, for existing talent, Steve primary among them.


    Raven...I was typing my post while you posted yours, but I do feel that we are going different ways with these, so it'll be ok, I think.
     
  5. ahbuchen

    ahbuchen Member

    Joined:
    Oct 23, 2003
    Messages:
    98
    Likes Received:
    0
    Get T-Mac in the off-season.
     
  6. Tonaaayyyy

    Tonaaayyyy Member

    Joined:
    Jun 17, 2002
    Messages:
    4,537
    Likes Received:
    149
    Gotcha ;)


    Do you have any player in mind that can fill that spot?
     
  7. Raven

    Raven Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2002
    Messages:
    14,984
    Likes Received:
    1,025
    Np, I'll just repost here, and my thread can die out...

    If the Rockets make a trade to shake things up, then they have a serious problem.

    Number one, SF won't have full trade value until after the season is over.

    Number two, if they trade CM (because he is their third most valuable asset), isn't that unfair to Cat. I mean he's not the guy that skipped a flight, but he's the guy that gets traded. I won't feel sorry for anyone that makes his kind of dough, especially a player that uses the term "I want" as often as he does, but it does seem to me that SF is the bigger problem on this team.

    Number three, every GM now smells blood in the water. When a player and coach are not getting along, the players trade value goes down, so making a trade before the summer could potentially get less value for CM or SF than waiting until the summer.

    Number four, I no longer care if the Rockets make the playoffs. They won't make it to the second round anyway, and since a new guy would have to adjust, there's no promise that trading CM will result in more victories, in fact SF might take the trade as a green light to go all AI on his team mates.

    Number five, I think the Rockets should hold off on dumping SF or CM until the summer, then completely rebuild the team around YM, using SF, CM, and the exception to acquire a legit power forward and guard.

    Yes this means one more summer of crushed hopes, but hey it's only a game, and were use to it anyway.

    Plus we have the Astros!

    Raven
     
  8. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2002
    Messages:
    7,761
    Likes Received:
    2
    Point guards available in this draft: Shaun Livingston, Ben Gordon, Sebastian Telfair, Jameer Nelson.

    Power Forwards: Emeka Okafor, Dwight Howard, Andris Biedrins, Tiago Splitter.

    Small Forwards: Josh Smith, Hakim Warrick, Josh Childress, etc.


    Get a top pg and pf in this draft...and a sg or sf in the next. Add a free agent in a year or two...build like the Nuggets are. Talent evaluation, a clear scheme, and patience. But with the assets we have to move for picks, we can accelerate the intial acquisition process.

    One problem with this: A lot would depend on talent evaluation...how confident are you guys in our current brain trust's ability to evaluate college/HS talent?
     
  9. gucci888

    gucci888 Member

    Joined:
    May 20, 2002
    Messages:
    17,227
    Likes Received:
    6,572
    Tonight is a perfect example of why Heinrich and Chandler wouldn't help us, we need that guy who is going to force the issue.

    Even though he hasn't been playing well, our team is ran by Steve, period. He sets people up, he draws defenses, he draws fouls, he rebounds. I'm not saying he is the best player, but he makes this team run and trading him for anything less than a superstar would hurt this team.

    I still think we need to keep SF and Yao together. We know they have the potential to be great, and we know that they are both not playing to that potential, but we can't throw it away just because of that. They are both unstoppable when they are at the top of their game, and I'm sure we are going to see that very soon.

    All I can say is that I hope the Rockets don't make any rational decisons, they are only going to hurt this team.
     
  10. Raven

    Raven Member

    Joined:
    Jul 24, 2002
    Messages:
    14,984
    Likes Received:
    1,025
    The more I think about this, the more I hope that LA fires CD.

    The Rockets need new front office leadership, and do any of us really trust CD to get fair market value for SF or CM.

    Raven
     
  11. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2002
    Messages:
    7,761
    Likes Received:
    2

    Hinrich's greatest strength is his willingness AND ability to force the issue. He's fearless out there, like Wade, but with more of a point guard's mentality.
     
  12. lalala902102001

    Joined:
    Jul 4, 2002
    Messages:
    6,629
    Likes Received:
    445
    We really need a win now!!
     
  13. francis 4 prez

    Joined:
    Aug 15, 2001
    Messages:
    22,025
    Likes Received:
    4,552

    yeah, rational decision can come back to kill you.




    Raven, even though SF forced it, CD pretty much screwed vancouver on the trade to get steve. i mean, isn't othella the only guy still even in the league that we gave up?



    as my sig says, we better get something good. no jvg type guy. i'll throw up all over myself if we get a few "hard-nosed", "nitty-gritty", "blue-collar" players.

    i would only take option #1 for someone like tmac, or maybe maybe a guy like ray allen who can shoot lights out. even then, the ray allen part would be hard as he isn't a true superstar (though he can put up 25 on any given night and had great #'s at the end of last season).

    the only part of 4 i want is that we get people that can shoot if we can't get real talent.

    i want picks and a player or two. if we could get a top 5 pick say and someone good, though obviously not great (maybe we'd have to throw boki or some crap in), i could live with it. maybe a conditional 1st rounder 2 years after that or get another team in there who will throw us another pick.

    i'd have a hard time just getting someone and then some lame pick like 13 where it's just a matter of hoping that guy has the drive and undeveloped skills no one notices to become real good.

    i haven't really put much thought into actual names b/c until now i didn't think a trade was probable.

    i'm sure there's some 8 or 9 million dollar guy out there who is good on a team that would throw us a good pick. i doubt we could get a pick where okafur would be (isn't he like #1 or #2 pick material this year, him and howard).

    it's not a perfect situation and if we could squeeze some other pick out of it (17-20 say) that'd be nice. but get us a ****ing PF who doesn't blow for once.

    i promise i'll drop fewer F bombs tomorrow mods.
     
  14. Jared Novak

    Jared Novak Member
    Supporting Member Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Nov 11, 2000
    Messages:
    1,462
    Likes Received:
    245
    What was it that Clutch said about knee-jerk reactions?

    Thats what all of this trade this guy, trade that guy, sign this guy sign that guy talk is all about.

    Seriously how many of you thought the Rockets were going to be contenders for the title this year? I thought they would make the playoffs get their respective feet wet and then gear up for the next season. Not to mention that this is JVG's first year as head coach, he still needs to mold this team to his will whether they want to willingly or by force.

    The issue here is that this team will go the way JVG wants it to. We've seen what the results were when the inmates ran the asylum, it didn't work and now things are going to change.

    Blowing up the team is not the answer. Convincing the current group we have now that they need to play unselfishly is the way to go, its buying into the philosophy. And the players that do not adhere to the plan then need to be shipped out. But trading everyone not named Yao is not the answer.

    Relying on the NBA Draft now to build your team in my eyes is a joke. There is no immediate help after the first three picks, and spending time waitng for players to develop is probably not in Les Alexander's plans. He already has a half-empty building, blowing up the team will just dishearten fans and imagine what the attendance will look like after that.

    I just want the team to win. I have been just as impatient as everyone else in wanting this team to make the playoffs and contend. But I hold out hope that management will make the right decisions and some of the players on this team visit the Wizard and get a couple of brains, hearts, some courage and a ounce of kick in the @ss to get them going and reach their ultimate goal, a championship.
     
  15. pasox2

    pasox2 Member
    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Dec 31, 2001
    Messages:
    4,251
    Likes Received:
    47
    I think you have to go with trading Steve for a couple of promising rookies and a contract, and trade everyone else for picks.

    You won't get equal value in a star/star deal. You have a chance to get the better end of a deal if you develop future stars. They can still be coached. They are the coaches' guys. The game plan is set. They are cheaper.

    Picks allow you to build into the nucleus of young talent and allow the best to rise to the top. It keeps everyone hungry. Get some value from those first-class facilities by getting people who love to improve.

    Add some chucky browns in the mix. Team-first, hungry nbdl guys that will thank the coach for the opportunity, and work their butts off in practice. Scales, Tmo, Hawk. Using FA's isn't going to work with our crew. FA's have a different agenda. They want a place where they can get theirs - the agent's job is to get them more money and more shots than they deserve, with less strings attached. Screw that. No FA is going to fix our problems.

    This team has an ugly, smug complacency. They seem uncoachable. Franchise, Cat, MoT and Cato all need to go. AG, Pike, Boki, the rest can go too, who cares. They're not winners.
    They're all losers. Blow it up and start over.
     
  16. Bankshot

    Bankshot Member

    Joined:
    Sep 23, 2003
    Messages:
    10
    Likes Received:
    0
    Dude ain’t happy and it shows. Problem is, for all his talent he doesn’t have strong enough character to be a true professional. How can you help the people around you become better players when you can’t even help yourself become a better player?

    I kind of look like players like they are stocks. What kind of value is in my 'Steve Francis' stock? Do we minimize our losses and get out when he has peak value? I'm tellin' ya nothing diseases a roster faster than a max contract player that is simply pushing through his year, unhappy and melancholy.

    Get what you can for Steve and build around the Chinese Rik Smits. That may sound facetious but hey, I’m a realist. It took Hakeem a decade, and Yao is no Hakeem.
     
  17. MacBeth

    MacBeth Member

    Joined:
    Aug 19, 2002
    Messages:
    7,761
    Likes Received:
    2

    If you're gonna ignore what I said early on in this thread, please at least note the first word in the thread title. This isn't whether we SHOULD trade Steve, merely the way to go IF we do. A contingency plan is not a knee-jerk reaction.
     
  18. outlaw

    outlaw Member

    Joined:
    Feb 15, 1999
    Messages:
    4,496
    Likes Received:
    3
    Boston gets: Steve Francis

    Houston gets: Chris Mills, Marcus Banks, Jiri Welsch, Kendrick Perkins and Boston's first round pick.

    Mills is in the last year of his contract. The other 3 would still be on their rookie deals. This should free up cap space whilst getting 3 young players drafted in the first round and another 1st rounder this summer.

    I think Ainge pulls this deal. Dunno about CD/JVG.
     
  19. Phoenix

    Phoenix Member

    Joined:
    Jul 8, 2002
    Messages:
    24
    Likes Received:
    0
    Great post MacBeth! I would want to trade SF for another high-level player, but one that will also be a good off-court leader.

    I think your point about rebuilding is valid, but in rebuilding, we run the risk of making the same mistakes as we've made before. In other words, what is to say that we won't be at the same place we're at today five years from now? I'm not confident enough in CD and Les's abilities to opt for a rebuilding plan.

    I think that SF's trade value will remain constant all the way through the offseason. Other GMs know that SF is an exceptional talent that just doesn't fit into JVG's offense. That is no big secret. He is a marquee player that will command the same value whether you trade him today, or 4 months from now.

    So why wait? If this season is a wash, I would rather spend the 2nd half building chemistry with a newly acquired player. The Rox will be that much better off when they start the next season. And who knows, with a good trade and some major luck, the Rox may actually see some playoff success this year...
     
  20. ckfol

    ckfol Member

    Joined:
    Dec 8, 2002
    Messages:
    217
    Likes Received:
    0
    I love this trade from Rockets Perspective but why would Ainge trade away depth at 1, a big combo guard in Welsch, and a potential big in kendrick Perkins. Hell I do this trade without the first round pick. SF is all flash and no substance. You think Pierce would be happy to have another Franchise on his team? Ain't going to happen man.
     

Share This Page

  • About ClutchFans

    Since 1996, ClutchFans has been loud and proud covering the Houston Rockets, helping set an industry standard for team fan sites. The forums have been a home for Houston sports fans as well as basketball fanatics around the globe.

  • Support ClutchFans!

    If you find that ClutchFans is a valuable resource for you, please consider becoming a Supporting Member. Supporting Members can upload photos and attachments directly to their posts, customize their user title and more. Gold Supporters see zero ads!


    Upgrade Now