Republicans decrying "the establishment" just makes me laugh. I just get this mental image of a 50-year old white male wearing khakis and a tucked-in polo shirt driving his Tahoe down Kingwood Drive with his golf clubs in the back seat.....bobbing his head and singing along to Take the Power Back by Rage Against The Machine.
I'm pretty sure Obama won in 2012 and Bush won in 2004. In addition, the turnout isn't that big of a difference this year. Also, you can go look it up - but if you just count raw # for Trump vs Clinton, Clinton has the edge. So, even if the turnout logic for primaries is right - it's not - Clinton would win based on that. Trump doesn't have an edge for undecided because hello - they are undecided. And he need more than an edge - he need to dominate the undecided. That's highly unlikely, even with my belief that they are lending toward R.
Yeah... I'm not trying to be rude. I honestly don't understand how someone can lead in undecided voters. Either they have picked a candidate or the person is undecided. Unless I'm missing some distinction in polling that I don't know about. Perhaps someone could just be typing stuff on the internets. Regardless I am confused.
Ran into a skunk drunk hispanic guy at the bar after school when I went to see the game last night. He was so into Trump and kept asking me who I was voting for, I told him I don't talk politics (especially w/ drunk people). He kept trying to convince me I should vote for Trump. Here are his reasons: Do you wanna be rich? Trump will make you rich. Are you an Amerricananan citizzzzen? Trump wants to make sure you have money. We have all these foreign billionaires and they shouldn't be making money in America. America! We don't need nobody else. We can make anything in America. I asked him what his favorite beer was, his answer? Bud Light. I told him that's a german beer, he said "I know, but you know why?" I said yes, and before he let me finish he asked me if I and going for Hillary. I said, I'm not gonna answer your question. He kept going and going until I asked him how about you support America and Houston like me and order some 8th wonder he said he might till he found out it was $3 more expensive than his bud light. I guess the guy doesn't want to support M'rica that much...
Giving tmacfor35 the benefit of the doubt, there was a poll that showed undecided and independents felt that Trump won the 3rd debate. Perhaps he was confused as to what the poll meant, because no way would tmacfor35 give credence to any poll that said undecided voters are going to vote for Trump.
I don't normally do this because I think the bbs should be a place where rank amateurs should feel free to have opinions on any damn thing without any qualifications (that's my specialty), but do you have any training or professional experience with statistics and/or polling? Because what you're saying is in direct opposition to how professional statisticians interpret the poll results. Should all those guys who've made a career of this be fired? I think not being able to tell when a phony poll is phony makes one pretty bad at one's job. Can't disagree too much about Trump gifting the election. He's a generational failure. You still need to give her some credit for being the stable, professional, almost-gaffe-free alternative. But gender has nothing to do it with it. Don't know why you'd want to look at it through some sexist lens.
I hate how we have to get anti-poll people every year. I get it though; polls are run and interpreted by generally smart people and intellectual=insult in the Republican Party right now.
not looking through a sexist lens, merely pointing out the disaster of it all. our generation will see a woman president because of a man. a terrible man but a man nonetheless. i said that i wish our first female president was under resplendent circumstances so that our history would remember the momentous achievement well. instead our first will be perhaps our worst which is woeful.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/10/27/politics/shark-tank-donald-trump/index.html Goes to Trump's mentality towards women. We KNOW she has credibility.
Gaffe free? Wikileaks? She just disappeared for several months and prepared big league for those 3 debates. Hillary's poll number drops a few weeks after the DNC were probably alarming to her handlers. Those wikileak leaks did tank her approvals...it's just that butthead's self leaks were far frequent and self inflicting. It seemed like if Trump had hired a shady doctor in the last 4 months, his sniffles would be gone and he'd be a lock to a contested and winnable presidency because he'd be too drugged out not to stay off script.
You can have a million women saying Trump tickled their t*tties -- Hilary is a far, far worse representation for women. We're looking at a power hungry geriatric who has let her husband abuse her and other women because she's too weak to leave, too afraid it will affect her Presidential run, too afraid the corporate paychecks to speak on political issues might disappear. While he's a public servant, no less. What kind of message is that sending to young women in relationships with abusive men? Put up with the abuse, as long as the $ keeps coming in. It's no wonder Hummus Abedin (who's father is of course a radical Islamist) is her top aide -- she would still be Weener's finest ho if the details of him sexually harassing a 14 year old weren't leaked. And it took the 4th or 5th exposure of these illicit activities with Hilary running for President for her to leave. So you're trying to demonize Donald's activities as a businessman to Hilary's as a public servant -- it's easy to see which one is far worse to someone with a sensitive disposition. The small minded get too caught up in the trivial to feel like their decision has some weight. . . Stick to the guy who actually gets politics and business --- and won't use twitter feeds to run a country.
