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Hurricane Isabel becoming a monster...

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by KingCheetah, Sep 11, 2003.

  1. A-Train

    A-Train Member

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    I can already see Manny working the admins...

    "Isabel gets a special title under her name just for sharing the name of a hurricane, and I STILL don't have one? :mad: "
     
  2. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    LMAO. :D Don't gloat!
     
  3. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy
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    Hurricane Camille was insanely large- that was a very interesting read. I've heard about that storm all my life, but never realized it was one of only three cat. 5 hurricanes to hit the US. I think I was getting it confused with Hurricane Carla, which was a big storm as well.


    http://www.geocities.com/hurricanene/hurricanecamille.htm

    As Camille marched toward the Mississippi coast in darkness, brick by brick, civilization from near Ansley to Biloxi, was erased. Homes, motels, apartments, restaurants, and other buildings were swept off their foundations, and deposited in mountains of rubble together with trees and automobiles. The local effect resembled an atomic bombing. Camille's 200 mph wind gusts and 25 foot storm surge, destroyed 100 years of growth and progress along the Mississippi coast in only three hours. Survivors near the eye reported a deafening roar of wind, that was by itself truly terrifying, often compared to speeding freight train. Although the damage in all of southern Mississippi was appalling, within about 1/2 mile from the ocean, most of the structures seemed to have just vanished. Only footings and slabs remained. Even plumbing systems had been removed. (W.Guice 1970).
     
  4. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    i would like to seriously nominate this as best post ever. this is pure genuis. who can top this?? best. post. ever. none better.

    i'm deathly serious.
     
  5. MadMax

    MadMax Member

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    http://www.wsvn.com/hurricane/2003/AL1303/advisory.txt
    WTNT33 KNHC 122037
    TCPAT3
    BULLETIN
    HURRICANE ISABEL ADVISORY NUMBER 27
    NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
    5 PM AST FRI SEP 12 2003

    ...AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS CONFIRM THAT ISABEL
    IS A CATEGORY FIVE HURRICANE...

    AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ISABEL WAS LOCATED
    NEAR LATITUDE 21.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 58.6 WEST OR ABOUT 350
    MILES...565 KM...NORTHEAST OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS.

    ISABEL IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
    GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.


    REPORT FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT
    INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 160 MPH...260
    KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. THIS MAKES ISABEL A CATEGORY FIVE
    HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE. FLUCTUATIONS IN
    INTENSITY ARE COMMON IN MAJOR HURRICANES...AND ARE LIKELY DURING
    THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

    HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
    FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
    TO 185 MILES...295 KM.

    THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE
    HUNTERS IS 920 MB...27.17 INCHES.

    LARGE OCEAN SWELLS AND DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS ARE LIKELY OVER
    PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO
    RICO OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.

    REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...21.8 N... 58.6 W. MOVEMENT
    TOWARD...WEST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
    WINDS...160 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 920 MB.

    THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
    HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 PM AST.

    FORECASTER BEVEN
     
  6. ROXRAN

    ROXRAN Member

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    Yikes! It looks very scary! I hope for the best once it eventually hits...
     
  7. Jeff

    Jeff Clutch Crew

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    Anyone in central and northern Florida to North Carolina should really keep an eye on this one. Every forcast model out there is projecting west-northwesterly movement for 48-72 hours then a turn to the north/northwest. HOPEFULLY, it will be a rather sharp turn taking it towarrd the northern Atlantic where it can fizzle in the cool waters up there.

    It will all depend on how long it remains on that more westerly track.
     
  8. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    Current Water Vapor image...

    [​IMG]

    By the way, that band from the lakes down to the TX/LA border came through western Montana on Monday/Tuesday and greatly diminished the fire activity.
     
  9. Refman

    Refman Member

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    Ha ha!!! Keep an "Eye" on it? Eye? Hurricane??? Get it? ;)
     
  10. The Voice of Reason

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    for anyone interested, I suggest reading about Typhoon Paka.
    Paka was the picture on my desk top for 2 years or so. Paka was responsible for the highest winds ever recorded on our planet at the time. and this was only like 7 years ago. since then someone was able to measure the wind speed in a tornado without the instrument being broken (an amazing stroke of luck) so now the record is safely out of range for hurricanes typhoons and cycloces depending on where you live ;)

    now look up paka
     
  11. Deuce

    Deuce Context & Nuance

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    Jeff, I live in Savannah, GA so you can better believe that I am keeping a keen eye on this thing!! We escaped Hurrican Floyd a few years ago, hopefully we won't have to deal with this one!!
     
  12. giddyup

    giddyup Member

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    I regret to announce that my vacation plans might have to get changed.

    I think BatmanJones arrived in North Carolina yesterday or today. Does that have anything to do with this preternatural storm? :D
     
  13. Castor27

    Castor27 Moderator
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    A not so scary hurricane that came from Cuba:


    [​IMG]
     
  14. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy
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  15. B-Bob

    B-Bob "94-year-old self-described dreamer"
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    Whoops, back to category 5! It has sped up (12 mph NNW movement), and North Carolina is right in the middle of all its possible paths. Outer banks could get hit again.
     
  16. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy
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    Sept. 13, 2003 — The NOAA National Hurricane Center in Miami, Fla., reports that recent reports from NOAA and Air Force Reserve hurricane hunter aircraft indicate flight-level winds of 180 mph and 182 mph respectively. Also, dropsonde wind reports indicate winds of 192 mph just a few hundred feet above the surface. Based on this information, the intensity of Hurricane Isabel is being increased to 160 mph as of 2 p.m. EDT. This makes Isabel a Category 5 hurricane again. At 11 a.m. EDT, the center of Hurricane Isabel was located near latitude 22.2 north, longitude 61.5 west or about 405 miles northeast of San Juan, Puerto Rico. Isabel is moving toward the west near 10 mph, and this general motion is expected to continue for the next 24 hours.

    Looks just like Hurricane Andrew tight and compact.
    More pics:
    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/images/isabel091303-1545zc2.jpg

    http://www.noaanews.noaa.gov/stories/images/isabel091303-1545zb2.jpg

    For comparison Hurricane Andrew:
    http://www.noaa.gov/images/hurr-andrew-082492.jpg
     
    #56 KingCheetah, Sep 13, 2003
    Last edited: Sep 13, 2003
  17. rimrocker

    rimrocker Member

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    Here's what B-Bob's talking about...

    [​IMG]
     
  18. KingCheetah

    KingCheetah Atomic Playboy
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    Looks like all the forecasting has been spot on so far, I have a feeling this storm is going to weaken significantly before it hits the east coast.

    Hurricane Isabel Sets Course for N.Carolina Coast
    By Jim Loney

    MIAMI (Reuters) - Residents of North Carolina's vulnerable Outer Banks cast a wary eye seaward on Monday as powerful Hurricane Isabel whirled through the Atlantic with its sights on Cape Hatteras and the Chesapeake Bay region.

    Still one of the Atlantic's most powerful hurricanes in recent memory, Isabel weakened only slightly to winds of 140 mph and slowed in forward speed on a path that could see it hit land around Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, on Thursday.

    The U.S. National Hurricane Center (news - web sites)'s five-day forecast, which has a large margin of error, had the storm moving onshore near Cape Hatteras and then northward along the Chesapeake near Washington D.C., through Virginia, Maryland and Pennsylvania.
    "Right now the forecast is very uncertain. It looks like it's going to hit somewhere in that Outer Banks area," hurricane center meteorologist Ken Haydu said. "But we're still looking four days ahead and our confidence starts to wane a little bit at that point."

    Residents of the tiny Outer Banks islands began hurricane preparations as emergency managers met to discuss whether to evacuate, a process that takes a long time in an island chain full of vacation homes linked the mainland only by narrow roads and ferries.

    "We have made a lot of preparations. We've got to get everything lashed down, picked up and put away. We started doing that yesterday," said Bob Sebrell, reached by telephone at his Tradewinds tackle shop in Ocracoke. "Checked the generator out, made sure it fired up. "But today, we've got a number of customers who are still fishing. It's a nice, sunny, calm day today." No evacuation orders were in effect yet in North Carolina, the state's emergency management office said.

    NAVY MAY MOVE SHIPS TO SEA
    The Navy and Air Force were watching the storm closely but said at midday on Monday that no decisions had yet been made to move warships and aircraft away from bases along the central eastern coast in Isabel's potential path.

    "Typically, the ships will move out to sea away from the hurricane, circle around the back side and then come in behind it," said Ted Brown, an Atlantic Fleet spokesman at Atlantic Fleet headquarters in Norfolk, Virginia. About 70 ships, from the aircraft carrier USS Ronald Reagan (news - web sites) to cruisers and destroyers, could be moved to sea to ride out a blow that might slam them against docks. Isabel's sustained winds, which have fluctuated as it moves through the open Atlantic, were at 140 mph, putting it at Category 4 on the Saffir-Simpson scale of hurricane intensity. Such a storm is capable of tearing roofs off houses and can raise tides 13-18 feet above normal.
     
  19. bamaslammer

    bamaslammer Member

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    I certainly hope it weakens. I feel so sorry for all those sailors who will have to get underway in the middle of it. 40-ft seas are scary, I don't care how big the ship is. When I was in the Corps, the gator freighter we were on (that's what we call the Navy amphibious ships) was in the middle of a horrible blow in the Atlantic. 40 ft seas sent that ship slamming up and down like it was a tiny boat. Most of the Marines were seasick, but since I come from a family of fisherman on both sides, no worries here.
     
  20. JuanValdez

    JuanValdez Member

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    I'm headed to SC this weekend. Hopefully, there's something left when I get there. I will be way on the interior though.
     

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