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Playoff Chase

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by xcomputerman, Feb 24, 2006.

  1. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Who to root for...?
    March 8, 2006 Edition

    Golden State @ Charlotte
    Sacramento @ Milwaukee
    Indiana @ Houston
    Memphis @ Seattle

    Somehow all 4 of these teams need to lose these two games...
    LA Lakers @ New Orl/OKC
    Minnesota @ Utah

    Teams to worry about...
    Code:
    Team 			Games out of 8th
    6. Memphis  		+2.5
    7. New Orl/OKC  	+1.0
    8. LA Lakers 		 0.0 
    9. Sacramento 		-1.5
    10. Utah 		-1.5 
    [COLOR=red]11. Houston 		-3.0
    [/COLOR]12. Minnesota 		-4.0 
    13. Golden State 	-5.5 
    
     
  2. GRENDEL

    GRENDEL Member

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    I think I'll be rooting for the Hornets and the T-wolves....helps our cause a bit more directly.
     
  3. ndnguy85

    ndnguy85 Contributing Member

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    Teams to worry about...
    Code:
    Team 			Games out of 8th
    6. Memphis  		+2.5
    7. New Orl/OKC  	0.0
    8. LA Lakers 		 0.0 
    9. Sacramento 		-1.5
    10. Utah 		-1.5 
    [COLOR=red]11. Houston 		-3.0
    [/COLOR]12. Minnesota 		-5.0 
    13. Golden State 	-6.5 
    

    Upcoming Games:

    Lakers @ Spurs
    Kings @ Grizzles
    Jazz @ Mavericks

    Rockets @ Spurs
     
  4. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Hey now, that's my bit. :p
     
  5. xiki

    xiki Member

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    Before last night's game KDwyer wrote, "(Rox) Record needed to make the 8th spot: 15-6
    Projected record: 10-11."

    As of this morning:

    Denver, Mavs, Spurs, Suns, Grizz, and Clips are locks.
    Lakes +2 (over .500) 20 games remain
    Hornets + 2 22 games remain
    Remaining pretenders:
    Jazz -1 21 games remain
    Kings -1 21 games remain
    Rox - 4 20 games remain

    If the Rox manage 14 W's (14 - 6), a 70% finish (against a tough sked and a sore backed TMac), then they finish with 43 W's.

    To reach 43 W's:
    Lakes: 11 - 9
    Hornets: 12-10
    Jazz: 13 - 8
    Kings: 13 - 8
     
  6. wnes

    wnes Contributing Member

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    The Rockets can't overtake the Hornets at the 8th playoffs spot if both team finish the season with the same win-loss records since they hold a prohibitive 3-0 head-to-head advantage against us. You have to have them finish worse than we do.
     
  7. xiki

    xiki Member

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    True. One also cannot assume 43 is enough if no tie-breaker headaches impend. The (Rox) p/o are up a tall hill.
     
  8. emjohn

    emjohn Member

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    My projections, based on current record & last 10 games and not the schedule (which is about to be brutal for us):

    LAC: 43 wins
    Mem: 47 wins
    NOH: 40 wins
    LAL: 44 wins
    Sac: 45 wins
    Uta: 41 wins
    Hou: 43 wins

    This would put us in a tie with the Clips for the final spot if it were to pan out. We're currently 1-1 against the the Clips with one more game in LA to determine the tiebreaker (Lakers as well). Also we still have 3 games against the Spurs and 2 against Dallas to get through. To get 43 wins, we can only drop 6 games out of the remaining 20...

    Evan
     
  9. xiki

    xiki Member

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    You have the Clips getting only 9 more W's? 9 - 14? What in the name of Sammy are you thinking?
     
  10. wnes

    wnes Contributing Member

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    Wrong, we are 2-1 over the Clippers as of now. Moreover, the last game is to be played in Houston.
     
    #170 wnes, Mar 9, 2006
    Last edited: Mar 9, 2006
  11. ikfit

    ikfit Member

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    Mission impossible.
    Go Rockets
     
  12. Old Man Rock

    Old Man Rock Contributing Member

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    The Lakes can do 11-10, they have an easy enough schedule and they are playing good. But I don't see the Hornets doing 12-10. In fact 10-12 may be more like it. If that happens they would finish 41-41. We have a shot if we can at least win 6 out of the next 9 games. 5 would be a longshot and anything less fogetaboutit.
     
  13. ndnguy85

    ndnguy85 Contributing Member

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    i thought we were part of the rockets family. :p
     
  14. ubigred

    ubigred Member

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    WHEN the rockets make it to the playoffs ...how much would courtside seats cost?
     
  15. emjohn

    emjohn Member

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    That they're 4 for their last 10 and 5 of their last 13. 23 games to go, and they've been struggling. Like I said though, I'm not browsing through everyone's schedule and trying to predict 20+ outcomes for each of the 6 teams. Just gauging based on recent performance. Kings are hot, Clips are sagging.

    I stand corrected about the Clippers situation - thanks!

    Evan
     
  16. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Who to root for...?
    March 10, 2006 Edition

    Golden State @ Miami
    Indiana @ New Orleans/OK
    LA Clippers @ Chicago
    LA Lakers @ San Antonio
    Memphis @ Sacramento
    Minnesota @ Seattle

    Teams to worry about...
    Code:
    Team 			Games out of 8th
    5. LA Clippers          +3.5
    6. Memphis  		+2.5
    7. New Orl/OKC  	 0.0
    8. LA Lakers 		 0.0
    9. Sacramento 		-1.5
    10. Utah 		-1.5
    11. Houston 		-3.0
    12. Minnesota 		-5.0
    13. Golden State 	-6.5
    
     
  17. fa7999

    fa7999 Member

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    I feel that our chance of PO is year is dim to say the best thanks to TMac's brokeback. All I want from the next 20 games is a dedicated Yao developing into the best post player in the league.

    He can do that and I will be thrilled if we achieve the mission this season.
     
  18. droxford

    droxford Member

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    HUGE opportunity for us here!

    Lakers will probably lose to San Antonio tonight
    Utah will probably lose to Dallas tomorrow
    SAC might lose to Memphis tonight
    NOK might lose to Indiana to night

    If those happen and if we can beat the Spurs on Sunday, we will be only 1/2 game behind Utah and Sac, and only two games behind the 7th and 8th playoff spots!

    Now, I know the odds don't favor all four of the above conditions happening, but even if one or two of 'em happen, we still can gain a lot of ground on them if we can beat the Spurs.
     
  19. akuma

    akuma Member

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    if "we" beat the Spurs. big if. i just hope the other teams lose. that's probably the best realistic case scenario. it does suck that the Rockets never seem to be able to take advantage of these opportunities to move up a whole game. it only seems to be a half game at a time or less.
     
  20. Miguel

    Miguel Member

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    Quit starting rumors about TMac! ;)
     

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