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[Hollinger] Rockets Season Preview

Discussion in 'Houston Rockets: Game Action & Roster Moves' started by SamFisher, Oct 11, 2022.

  1. SamFisher

    SamFisher Member

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    $ubscription, but here's the projection:

    On the court, it’s a transition year all the way. The development of Green and Smith takes center stage, and behind that, there’s the effort to figure out who among their 10 players born after 2000 are worth keeping around for the next phase. They’ll be young, make a lot of mistakes and take their lumps, but one hopes the Rockets can at least become a more disciplined version of the hot mess that took the court a year ago.

    Prediction: 22-60, 14th in Western Conference

    overall he's actually pretty bullish on the Rockets rebuild though he thinks they'll lose quite a bit. Though, his projections are alwyas stat-based which really crushes the Rockets.

    Like I have said, I think the Rockets will suprise to the upside due to the sheer number of tanking teams. Rockets will have at least 7 more games against teams this year (Utah and San Antonio) that are actively trying to be bad than they had last year. That's good for a few more wins. .

    Add that to 4 against OKC (still trying to be bad) and at least 4-8 against EC tankers (Orlando, Indiana, others who join after slow starts) and another 2-3 against a WC teams that throw in the towel early - and it's probably 20 + games where teams are actively going to be FINE WITH IT if the Rockets happen to win.

    If you pencil in 15 wins there, they basically have to just win 10 out of the remaining 62 to get into the vaunted 25 win mark.

    The future is bright.
     
    sirjesse and topfive like this.
  2. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    I think Green and Smith will be better in the short term than he suggests. I'm curious to see how well Green plays with the spacing provided by Smith and Gordon. Also, I expect a few teams to tank harder than the Rockets. I do think the bench will be a problem that will keep the Rockets from winning a few close games.

    The 22-win prediction is tough to do from a talent perspective. Typically, to win 22 games or less, a team has to be bad, and then play worse than expected or for the team to tank hard core.
     
  3. ipaman

    ipaman Member

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    better by only 2 wins after admitting there are at least 7+ more wins out there lol
     
    roslolian likes this.
  4. fchowd0311

    fchowd0311 Member

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    Besides the games when Theiss was playing in the starting line up was the.spacing that much different than last year? Jabari is essentially replacing Wood who also was a respected outside threat defenses will not sag off.
     
  5. jordnnnn

    jordnnnn Member

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    Agree with most everything he said. Sticking with 26-56 as my prediction.

    As much as Wood is shat upon he added wins to our bad team last year. Add in some wins from improved youth and more bad teams and I think we net 6 more wins.
     
    fchowd0311 likes this.
  6. Icehouse

    Icehouse Member

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    I think it will be. Smith is a better 3 point shooter and can get his shot off with less space. He will command more attention, assuming he isn't shooting like his summer league form.
     
  7. CXbby

    CXbby Member

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    Stat base projections are great for established players. How is he measuring the improvements to Green, Kpj, Sengun, JC etc? How is he measuring the contributions of Jabari and Tari, who have not played a single nba game yet? Those will all be subjective conjecture. Stat based projection for a team with so many variables like the Rockets is basically useless.
     
    Boii likes this.
  8. peleincubus

    peleincubus Member

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    from 17 wins, to 20 wins, to 22 wins.

    i am seeing a pattern here and i think by 2030 the rockets will be a .500 team!!
     
    AroundTheWorld likes this.
  9. DaDakota

    DaDakota Balance wins
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    27+ wins....

    DD
     
  10. Joe Joe

    Joe Joe Go Stros!
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    Sengun will hopefully be initiating a lot of the offense despite last night which will cause him to be guarded more closely than Tate at the 3 point line. When Green gets the ball, he should have more room until Gordon gets traded. Sengun's man will basically be only guy that can help, but I have more faith in an open Sengun near basket than Tate at 3 point line.
     
    AroundTheWorld likes this.
  11. Kevooooo

    Kevooooo Member

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  12. jordnnnn

    jordnnnn Member

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    Here’s what he said in last seasons preview :

     

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