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Final Survivor Predictions

Discussion in 'BBS Hangout' started by fadeaway, Aug 21, 2000.

  1. fadeaway

    fadeaway Member

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    Okay folks! This wednesday, we find out who wins the million. I would like to see who everyone thinks will win. There are many factors to take into consideration (alliances, immunity, the jury, conspiracy theories, etc..). There's also a lot of (false?) information out there about who wins, like that ABS research which states that Rudy is the winner. Well, I don't care about that. What I'd like to know is what your gut feeling is. Ignore all the crap floating around out there are use your intuition to predict the winner.


    My official prediction based on gut instinct is........... <U>Kelly</U>.

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  2. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    My gut feeling is Rudy -- by process of elimination.

    What's left on the show:
    1. Tribal Council -- 1 voted off, leaving 3.
    2. Tribal Council -- winner of immunity challenge picks other finalist.
    3. Jury vote -- seven kicked off pick winner from final 2.

    The key is that Rich, Sue, and Kelly hate each other to varying degrees. I think they will somehow gang up to vote one of those three off. Rich and Rudy have stuck together, so they will probably call the vote. If Kelly doesn't win immunity, she'll probably be gone at that point, with the other three voting as a block. If Kelly wins immunity, it will probably be Sue voted off.


    Of the final three, whoever wins the immunity will probably pick Rudy. I think Rudy is at least respected by the others, since he's the only one who has been consistant and has stuck to his word.

    The final vote is up to the jury -- a jury made up of people who were backstabbed and kicked off by the alliance of the others -- led by Rich and Sue. Kelly's followed the alliance, then was agianst it, then hopped back on. Rudy's the only one they respect, and don't seem to blame, so he'll probably win.

    UNLESS -- One of the others fears they will loose to Rudy, and so they don't pick him. (Of course, the final challenge probably won't be based on pure athletic ability, and Rudy should have a shot). If it comes down to Rich and Sue, I think the Jury will try to obstain and call the whole show off.

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  3. 4chuckie

    4chuckie Member

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    I would vote for Richard, even though I can't stand to watch him.
    I heard the 1st immunity challenge is questions about the kicked off survivors. This tells me either Kelly or Richard wins, because they talk to the most other members. Rudy couldn't even remember trivia answers last week 5 minutes after hearing the story and I don't see too many people being friendly with Susan. Either way I think Susan or Kelly are gone first (Susan gets voted off if Kelly gets immuity and Kelly gets voted off if she doesn't). I tend to think Kelly wins this challenge and Susan is gone.
    The next challenge is supposedly fire walking or something like that. I think this comes down to Richard or Kelly, I can't see Rudy staying around that long. I think Richard wins and he keeps Rudy for the finals (since it will be the one's with immunitys vote to decide who goes to the finals).
    I think at this point everyone thinks Rudy will win in a vote, but I have a feeling CBS is showing the bad side of Richard and as much of the cute side of Rudy as posssible. Rudy wasn't real friendly with any one except Richard or Susan, so I feel Richard will win in a vote, just because he did more than Rudy.
    But I would love to see Rudy or even Kelly win.

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  4. moestavern19

    moestavern19 Member

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    Im so confused whats supposed to happen tomorrow night . I guess they are havin a 2 hour survivor 3 tribal councils 2 people get kicked out , 2 are left - the 7 Rattana members come back and vote on a winner -which is of course Kelly

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  5. Smokey

    Smokey Member

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    This is so unpredictable. It will all come down to who has immunity. It is critical for Kelly to win the first immunity challenge of the night. If not, she will be the first to go. If Kelly does win, then I think Sue will be voted off. Rich has alliances with both Sue and Rudy. He will play them against each other. Sue sort of likes Rudy but Rudy hates her. I believe Rich's plan will get him into the final two survivors where he will pay for his trickery. The jury will make Rich pay. Here is my order of finish:

    1) Rudy - Not everyone agrees with his viewpoints, but they all acknowledge that he is old and archaic. He is not the mastermind of the alliance.

    2) Rich - He has a doubt in his mind whether the girls were forming an alliance against him. He will play Sue and Rudy and vote against Sue. No way the jury will allow this b*stard to win.

    3) Sue - She's a b**** who get screwed by the guys unless she wins immunity. She has never won an immunity challenge. The only reason she has made it this far is because of the alliance.

    4) Kelly - No chance unless she wins both immunity challenges. Kelly will win the million if she gets into the final two but that is highly unlikely.

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  6. SamCassell

    SamCassell Member

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    Can't see Kelly pulling it off. She's got no cache left with any of the other survivors, and is too good at the challenges. She would have to win both immunity challenges (for 4 in a row) to take a seat at the final two.

    Can't see Richard winning, either. The (majority Pagong) jury all hates the guy, from what I've seen, and sees him for the master manipulator he is. Rich should win one of the immunity challenges, make it to the final two - and then get voted down in a landslide.

    My pick for the winner? Sue.

    Here's how it plays out. Kelly wins 1st immunity; Rudy and Sue vote against each other. Kelly votes against Rich, and thus Richard is left with the tie-breaking vote. He picks Rudy to leave, because he recognizes that the jury is more likely to vote off Sue than they are Rudy (I don't think Sue has alot of friends, other than Sean and maybe Kelly, and she's made some enemies).

    Last challenge, then, is won by Richard. Sue hasn't come close to winning one, and I think Kelly's luck will run out. So Richard picks again, and again chooses Sue because he thinks she is less-well liked than Kelly.

    But when the vote comes down to the jury, there's no way they let Richard walk off with the million bucks, after having to see his naked ass around the camp about a thousand times too often.

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  7. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    The final four, Rich, Rudy, Sue, and Kelly, will go through immunity challenge #1, granting one immunity. They will then go to tribal council #1, and vote one person off, leaving the final 3. (I'm guessing there's a final reward challenge in there as well).

    Those three will go to another immunity challenge, #2, and the final one ever. They will then go to tribal council #2, where the person who won immunity will kick one person out, (since the other two would vote for each other). This leaves the final two.

    They will then hold Tribal Council #3, the final one of the series. The last 7 people kicked off the island form a jury, which will select the winner from the final two.

    Following the 2 hour series finale, there will be an hour long "town hall" reunion of all 16 castaways.


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  8. Smokey

    Smokey Member

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    Here is my situation: I have watched all 12 episodes of Survivor. Tonights episode is the most important of all. I am moving so currently I do not have a TV. I will try to see the show somehow anyway but I heard its a 2 hour finale including 1 hr cast reunion. I need to ask you guys a favor. Someone please take notes of what happens - ex. immunity challenge # 1 - swim 1/2 mile - or something like that with the winners. I can find out from the Survivor site but you guys would get me the information alot faster.

    If someone can post periodically during the show it would be even nicer. Thanks.

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    [This message has been edited by Smokey (edited August 23, 2000).]
     
  9. moestavern19

    moestavern19 Member

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    Hmmm all 12 episodes , I've seen all but the last two because i was on vacation and could watch cable TV all day . I truly think its gonna look like Kelly is gone and then she will win , because if Kelly gets to the Final two , the 7 jury members might give her some slack as they hate Rudy Richard snd Susan more

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  10. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19,

    FYI -- The finale is 2 hours, followed by a 1 hour reunion show. (I think hosted by Bryant Gumble?) I guess they want to squeeze every minute possible out of the prime time ratings.

    I'll see what I can do.



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  11. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 1

    Immunity Challenge #1 -- Fallen Comerades

    Held at the tribal council -- a simple quiz, 10 questions, everyone writes the answers on a tablet. The questions are about the people voted off the island. One point per correct answer. The Jury is present. Immediately following is the tribal council (with no opportunity for discussion).

    Kelly = 7
    Rich = 7
    Rudy = 5
    Sue = 4

    Tiebreaker = Kelly
    Winner = Kelly (4th in a row)

    Tribal Council votes:
    Rich = 2
    Sue = 2
    It's a tie !!!!!!

    Tiebreaker: Rich and Sue do not vote, Kelly and Rudy decide it. Rich and Rudy have 30 seconds to make a final plea.
    Rudy votes for = Sue
    Kelly votes for = Sue

    Voted Off = Sue
    Remaining = Kelly, Rich, Rudy

    Sue -- Happy for making it to the last four or five. It's been an experience. Ready for civilization.

    Jeff -- "Go back and get some sleep. Final immunity challenge tomorrow. I'll be waking you up."

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    [This message has been edited by dc sports (edited August 23, 2000).]
     
  12. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 2

    Jeff wakes everybody up before light, takes them on a long boat ride.

    Tribe members take the final walk. Through natives chanting & waving palm leaves, past the torches of the fallen comerades, across hot coals, and through a bamboo curtain. Oh, covered in mud.


    Immunity Challenge #2

    Tribe members stand, covered in drying mud, standing on the end of logs, with one outstretched hand on a totem pole. Last one to remove their hand wins. They can shift feet, but not remove their hands. Jeff makes them talk to each other, chatting about family, etc.

    Jeff says he needs to go eat breakfeast. He brings back fresh sliced oranges, and has them smell the fruit. He then puts them out of reach, and says their waiting for them when they finish.

    2 hours later, Rich says that he thinks Kelly will outlast him, and that he hopes the others will recognize what he did to get there -- and quits.

    3 hours -- Jeff brings out Pina Coladas for him and Rich. He tells Kelly and Rudy theirs are waiting. Jeff makes Rudy and Kelly rotate stumps every 30 minutes. Jeff and Rich kick back on a stump, and they all chat about the alliance. More chit/chat. Jeff plays them off each other. Rudy upset with Rich for giving up.

    4 hours -- they rotate, Rudy takes his hand off, and Kelly wins.

    Winner = Kelly (5th in a row)


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  13. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 3

    Tribal Council #2:

    Kelly casts the only vote (Rich and Rudy would cancel each other out -- and they don't vote.

    Kelly Votes Off= Rudy
    Remaining = Kelly, Rich

    Rudy -- Never thought he'd come this far.



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  14. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 4
    Tribal Council #3:

    Day 39!!!!!!

    They have to wait ALL DAY. Kicking around the island stressed out. Kelly does yoga. Rich does nothing.

    Rich and Kelly get into a major nervous stress mode, and burn down the camp. Literally. They build a fire and start throwing stuff in. Benches, Superpole 2000, table, house, flag, boards, just about everything.

    Then they look around and go "Oh crud! Where do we sit???? We burned all the benches!" The sist on a log and talk. They get bored with burning things mid-afternoon, pack up their stuff, and headed off through the woods. Shots of the camp TRASHED! (So much for Mr. EcoChallenge!)

    All the jury people talk about Rich and Kelly, as they flash to Rich and Kelly walking throught the jungle. (FYI, Jenna and Colleen are looking very sweet cleaned up with their hair done and makeup).


    Tribal Council # 3

    Opening remarks by Kelly and Rich. Each member of the jury gets to ask one question, to which Kelly and Rich Respond. They will then each have a final chance to plead their case.

    One will win $100 K. The other will win a new Pontiac Aztec, and $1 million.

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  15. Rocketman95

    Rocketman95 Hangout Boy

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    Sue's a b****.

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    visit www.swirve.com
     
  16. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 5

    Tribal Council #3:

    Opening Remarks:

    Questions to both.
    1. Gervaise -- If you could change one thing about your stay, what would it be and why?
    2. Jenna -- If you could pick 2 people to take your place, who would it be and why?
    3. Sean -- No questions, just talked. Liked the "naked fat guy thing."
    4. Colleen -- What 2 character traits got you to where you are and why?
    5. Rudy -- "I don't have anything to say to these guys!"
    6. Greg -- Asked each to choose a number between one and ten. Then sat down.
    7. Sue -- Spoke to both, no questions.
    Rich = You are a lying, manipulative, whining weenie.
    Kelly = You got stomped on by a city boy (Gervaise, rowing challenge). You are a backstabbing manipulator. What goes around, comes around. I'm voting for Richard. I won't print the rest -- she doesn't like her.
    Two things left on the island, snakes and rats. Richard the Snake, Kelly the Rat. Let nature win, let the snake eat the rat.


    And the winner is.......................


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    [This message has been edited by dc sports (edited August 24, 2000).]
     
  17. Surfguy

    Surfguy Member

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    Sue's speech cracked me up...hehehe.

    Let the snake eat the rat...ahahahaha [​IMG].

    Pick a number while I change the one in my head if I don't like the one you picked [​IMG].

    Hell...the loser gets $100,000...that's still a lot of money.

    Surf

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    [This message has been edited by Surfguy (edited August 23, 2000).]
     
  18. Azim da Dream

    Azim da Dream Member

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    I'm gonna echo RM95 - Sue's a b****.

    Thank god she didn't win anything, hope she doesn't get her way and Kelly wins.

    Azim da Dream

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  19. Surfguy

    Surfguy Member

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    It's down to a 1 vote difference...

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  20. dc sports

    dc sports Member

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    Moestavern19 -- Update number 6

    Tribal Council #3: (continued)

    The Voting -- who they want to stay:
    Gervaise = Kelly (Expresses his love for that belly-aching, rat faced, snake, Sue.)
    Jenna = Kelly
    Sean = Rich (Feels no longer a contest of who's best, but who's least objectionable -- Rich is a scoundrel, but he's true to himself. Kelly backstabbing.)
    Colleen = Kelly (Doesn't care, just wants it over.)
    Sue = Rich (Admires Rich's work ethic.)
    Rudy = Rich ("We had an alliance to the end, and I'm fufilling my obligation.")

    That's 3 each, here's the winner....

    Greg = THEY DIDN'T SHOW!!!!!

    And the winner is......

    Rich

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    [This message has been edited by dc sports (edited August 23, 2000).]
     

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