I'm still getting the feeling that there will be alot of craziness in FL again but I'm glad to see that Biden might not need FL to win convincingly. Flipping PA and AZ will nullify FL.
More rasmussen... https://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/trump_administration/prez_track_oct07
National polls don't excite me. I only look at state specific polls. It looks good from there too tho.
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/fox-news-poll-biden-gains-ground-over-trump Democratic candidate Joe Biden leads President Donald Trump by a 53-43 percent margin, in a Fox News national survey of likely voters conducted after a combative debate and the president testing positive for coronavirus. Biden’s 10-point advantage is up from a 5-point lead last month. ... Among registered voters: -- More voters like Biden than Trump, and that’s increasingly true. Biden’s favorable ratings are net positive by 16 points (57 favorable vs. 41 unfavorable), while Trump’s are underwater by 10 (44-54). The president’s favorable is down 3 points from his record 47 percent in April. Since that time, Biden’s favorable is up 9 points (48 percent in April). -- Views of Vice President Mike Pence are more negative than positive by 1 point (47 favorable vs. 48 unfavorable), while views of Kamala Harris are net positive by 13 (53-40).
trump will go to great lengths to lie about everything... here Nate Silver points this out re: past polls...
Ari Melber throws some cold water on the polls. One key difference though between 2016 and 2020 is that Biden has significantly expanded the field. So even while he's performed the same or even underperformed in some of the swing states compared to Clinton he has more routes to victory.
Ari Melber has been throwing more cold water on the polling. He's pointing out that while the overall Biden lead is larger than Clinton's in 2016 in several key swing states he's still either the same or underperforming than Clinton was at the same time. Just for reference 4 years ago around this time was when the Access Hollywood tape came out.
Ari has been trying to play this up a lot but does not account for Trump looking likely to win Arizona or the margin in other red states. The biggest difference between 2016 and 2020 is that there are far less undecided voters and most of those voters went Trump. We are talking 20% in 2016 as opposed to 3 to 11% in 20/20. https://www.washingtonpost.com/poli...11c650-fd9e-11ea-8d05-9beaaa91c71f_story.html
