Based on the Vegas odds above, that translates to Cam at 40% and Hunter at 12.5%. Your 5% is exactly correct on getting 2 picks based on these odds. Edit: My bad, that is if Hunter had to win the CY award. The odds are way higher with him only needing to finish top 3. Edit 2: Fanduel now has Cam tied with Jacob Wilson to win ROY.
I was much more confident before last night's fiasco. LOL. I'm just going to keep my mouth shut and hope for the best.
I'm not worried about. I just want it to happen. I would love to see what Brown can do with 2 extra high level draft picks.
Actually Chandler Rome, in his podcast said that is common misconception but incorrect - teams CAN get more than 1 pick if multiple players earn it.
Not sure if posted anywhere amongst your discussions of potential draft picks that may or may not happen 12 months from now: "At the end of the day, we don’t want to be in a position where we’re 'draft for need,'” said Cam Pendino, the Astros’ director of amateur scouting. “We want to stay true to the board and take who we think is the best available talent.” .... “Last year, there was a lot of college bats at the top -- Cam Smith chief among them,” Pendino said. “And this one is less college bat-heavy and more high school bat-heavy. There’s a lot of interesting high school bats, particularly in terms of depth. There’s more high school depth than there was a year ago.” https://www.mlb.com/astros/news/astros-2025-draft-preview
It confirms that Cam was one of their top guys and we were targeting him specifically when trading Tucker. Well played Mr. Brown
Draft is Sunday. Astros are in good shape with a deep crop of high ceiling position players who project to be available at 21. If they can get their 1st rounder to agree to $500k under slot, between that savings, the 5% overage allowance, and the potential savings from a few senior signs in rounds 4-10, they could be able to offer in the $1.7M range for pick 95 in the 3rd round (their next pick after the first round). That would be a bonus commiserate with the 55th pick. If Houston can come away from this draft with 2 of the top 60 talents plus the standard haul of totally underrated pitchers, it’ll be a good draft. Jordan Yost, Ryan Mitchell, Dax Kilby, Lucas Franco, and Cooper Flemming are HS guys who might be available for overslot money at pick 95. Xavier Neyens, Jace LaViolette, Kayson Cunningham, Wehima Aloy, and Josh Hammond would be potential picks at 21. Gage Wood and Gavin Kilen have also been mentioned but I don’t see Houston taking them.
