The latest GFS run has it hitting Baffin Bay as a Cat 1 then going up the coast slowly into Galveston as a rainmaker. Even Frank Billingsley changed his rain forecast for next week, so you know it's truth. 2020 bruh.
They have no clue where this thing is going. One hour they say to Athens, 5 hours later they say to the Cyclades and 10 hours later they say it will just dip a few hours inland in the Peloponnese and then go down to the Libyan sea. Either the meteorologists are useless about medicanes or this storm can't make up its mind. Maybe they shouldn't have named it Janus.
yeah i saw athens and thought he meant athens georgia then he said cyclades and I was starting to get all tripped out odysseus style..woke up half drunk ..overlooked by a bunch of gypsies with a bag of skunk anything can happen
Note: white squares were on here when I received the info. Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:13 AM CDT Friday September 18, 2020 Teddy Hurricane Teddy is located about 535 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds near 145 mph. Teddy is moving to the northwest at 10 mph. Teddy will likely threaten Bermuda with tropical storm force winds on Monday followed by an increasing risk of tropical storm to hurricane force winds for Atlantic Canada by Wednesday. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Tropical Depression Twenty-Two is located 240 miles east of Tampico, Mexico over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico and moving slowly to the north-northeast. Maximum winds remain near 35 mph. Twenty-two will likely become a tropical storm later today. It is forecast to meander across the western Gulf of Mexico, off the lower Texas coast, on Sunday into early next week. There remains a lot of uncertainty on the the forecast track and intensity of the system. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 46 is located about 570 miles to the west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands near 11N, 32W. It is moving to the west at 10 mph. It is forecast to move to the west-northwest over the next several days. Most of our model guidance indicate that this disturbance will pass well to the northeast of the Caribbean in over a week. Conditions remain marginally favorable and the risk of tropical development remains near 60 percent over the next week. Disturbance 47 appears to be gaining sub-tropical characteristics this morning as it is approaching the coast of Portugal. It is centered about 100 miles to the west-southwest of Lisbon, Portugal near 38.2N, 10.8W. It is moving to the east-northeast at 15 mph. Although the system appears sub-tropical and is becoming better organized, it is running out of time to develop before moving into eastern Portugal later today. The chance of subtropical development is estimated at near 20 percent. The remnants of Paulette are centered near 45N, 31W, well to the north-northwest of the Azores. The low will move southward and pass just west of the Azores Saturday, stall southwest of the Azores Sunday over water marginally favorable for tropical development. The chance of redevelopment is estimated at near 10 percent. A tropical wave will move off the coast of western Africa on Saturday. Some model guidance indicate slow development with the wave on Sunday into Monday as it passes just north of the Cabo Verde islands. It is forecast to move west-northwest into the eastern Atlantic and will remain in the eastern Atlantic over the next week. There is a 30 percent chance of tropical development. Sally weakened to a remnant low over the southeastern United States yesterday. It has been removed from our analysis. Vicky also weakened to a remnant low over the eastern Atlantic yesterday and is not expected to redevelop. It has been removed from our analysis. Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Advisory 4 Valid: 03:00 AM CDT Friday September 18, 2020 Current Location: 22.4N, 94.1W Geographic Reference: 240 miles East of Tampico Movement: North-northeast at 4 mph Max Winds: 35 mph gusting to 45 mph Current Hurricane Severity Index: 1 out of a possible 50 points (0 size, 1 intensity) Max Predicted Hurricane Severity Index: 8 out of a possible 50 points (3 size, 5 intensity) Current Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 0 miles Max Predicted Radius of Tropical Storm-Force Winds: 115 miles Organizational Trend: Steady Forecast Confidence: Below Average Estimated Central Pressure: 1005 mb Key Points 1. There continues to be considerable uncertainty in the precise track, but we are confident in a slow movement. 2. The track was shifted to the northeast beyond Monday. 3. Heavy rainfall impacts becoming more likely for the Texas coast Sunday into next week. Our Forecast Thunderstorms have increased overnight with Tropical Depression Twenty-Two, mainly to the northeast of the poorly defined and elongated center. Twenty-Two will likely be upgraded to a tropical storm later today. It remains likely that Twenty-Two will push to the north-northeast today into early Saturday as an upper trough over the southern Plains draws it slowly northward. Then, the trough moves out and a ridge of mid-level high pressure will set up over the southern U.S. and could steer the system slowly westward towards the lower Texas coast. The forecast track for late this weekend into next week looks less certain. The lack of strong steering currents is resulting in a very low confidence in the expected future track. The confidence in the intensity forecast is also relatively low. A cold front moving into the Gulf of Mexico by Saturday will complicate the forecast further. This will drive a large amount of dry air down the coast of Mexico and into the tropical storm. By Monday, the frontal boundary across the northern Gulf should have dissipated, allowing the system to strengthen to a hurricane off the lower Texas coast. At this time, some model guidance indicates that it could meander across the western Gulf for most of next week. However, other model guidance indicates a track either northward into the Texas coast or northeastward towards the southeast Louisiana coast late next week or next weekend. In this update, we have adjusted the track to the northeast beyond Monday as some of our model guidance is trending northeastward at a slow rate of speed for later next week. Expected Impacts Offshore Northwest Gulf: Squalls will reach the deepwater areas off the lower Texas coast on Saturday, meaning that Friday will be the last full day for any evacuations offshore. Expected Impacts Onshore South Texas: Squalls may reach the lower Texas coast Sunday, then tropical storm-force winds may push into the lower Texas coast later on Monday into Tuesday in our current forecast. The outer bands of the storm could produce heavy rainfall for much of next week for the Texas coastal areas.
It looks like it's rather slow moving though, not to mention if it hugs the coast it would bring a ton of moisture in from the gulf. It may not stall like Harvey, but it could still be a problem.
