Just when your worst fear is an incoming hurricane your grandson walks into your house and shoots you dead to save you from the storm, right in front of your wife and daughter. Heartbreaking. https://www.houstonchronicle.com/ne...-charged-with-murder-in-shooting-15519137.php
Interesting but I'd really enjoy punching him in the face for not panning out to the horizon to see the full scale of the damage and flooding.
Fascinating how the newer construction was relatively unscathed. Building codes make a difference, even in LA.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:16 AM CDT Saturday August 29, 2020 Active Systems None Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 37 remains a weak disturbance this morning as it moves across the northern Gulf of Mexico. It is moving to the north at 15 mph. Thunderstorm activity is disorganized with the disturbance and extends from the south-central Gulf to the Florida Panhandle. This disturbance will supply deep tropical moisture to the northern and northeastern Gulf coast today into Sunday and enhance shower and thunderstorm activity. It is not expected to develop as it moves into the northern Gulf coast later today into Sunday. Disturbance 36 is a well defined tropical wave located along 54W, or about 420 miles to the east of the Lesser Antilles. It is moving to the west near 15 mph. This tropical wave will move across the Lesser Antilles into the eastern Caribbean on Sunday. Although the wave is well defined, thunderstorms are somewhat limited in coverage and disorganized. It appears that the best chance of development will be when this disturbance pushes into the western Caribbean late next week as it approaches the Yucatan. Most models indicate a track westward across the Yucatan and into Mexico, but there is no guarantee of a westward track. There is a 30 percent chance of development over the next seven days. Disturbance 35 is located to the southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands near 12N, 25W. The disturbance will be rather slow to move across the eastern Atlantic over the through early next week. It is forecast to move to the west-northwest across the Atlantic later next week. The disturbance may develop into a tropical depression or tropical storm over the eastern and central Atlantic for the latter half of next week. It may pass to the northeast of the northern Leeward Islands in about 10 days. There is a 40 percent chance of tropical development over the next seven days.
Hurricanes Make Lizards Evolve Bigger Toe Pads https://www.smithsonianmag.com/smart-news/hurricanes-make-lizards-evolve-bigger-toe-pads-180974772/
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:02 AM CDT Monday August 31, 2020 Active Systems None Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 36 is located about 175 miles north of Aruba near 15N, 70W. The system is becoming better organized as it tracks west-northwestward across the Caribbean Sea. This general motion is expected to persist, and this will take the disturbance towards Central America by Thursday. The system will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm before landfall occurs. Regardless of development, heavy rains are likely later this week for Honduras, Belize, northern Guatemala, and southern Mexico. The chance of tropical development is near 80 percent. Disturbance 37 is located about 200 miles east of Savannah, GA near 32N, 78W. It will likely become a tropical depression or tropical storm by the middle part of this week as it tracks towards the east-northeast away from the U.S. The chance of tropical development is near 70 percent. Disturbance 38 is located about 650 miles east of Barbados near 12N, 50W. The disturbance is forecast to track west-northwestward over the next several days which will take the system towards the Leeward Islands by this weekend. Environmental conditions are only expected to be marginally conducive for further development. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent. Disturbance 35 is located about 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands near 15N, 35W. The disturbance has become less organized. A general motion towards the west is expected over the next few days. Conditions are only forecast to be marginally conducive for development. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent. Disturbance 39 is located just off the west coast of Africa along 20W. A slow westward motion is expected to begin later this week. Conditions could become more favorable for development by the end of the week. The chance of tropical development is near 20 percent.
ya 36 and 38 worth keeping an eye on for us. fortunatley gulf water temps much lower from laura so if something takes the same path it wont blow up so quickly to major hurricane status for at least 2 more weeks. worst case for us would be something devloping like harvey on the west side right now because its hot af out there
Has anyone here attached Plywood to vinyl siding? My windows are flush so Plylox don't work. Is there an alternative to drilling into the frame around the windows? I've spent an hour digging around the web and found nothing really useful. Figured I'll try where I should have started in the firstplace. CF.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:28 AM CDT Tuesday September 01, 2020 Active Systems Tropical Depression Fifteen Tropical Depression Fifteen is located about 200 miles east of Wilmington, NC. The depression could become a weak tropical storm over the next few days as it accelerates east-northeastward out to sea. It should then weaken to a remnant low by the end of this week. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. 36 Disturbance 36 is located about 200 miles south of Kingston, Jamaica. The disturbance is expected to track west-northwestward over the next several days. Our latest forecast calls for the system to develop into a weak tropical storm before moving inland into Belize on Thursday. Regardless of development, the main concern will be heavy rainfall across portions of Central America and southern Mexico later this week. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. The chance of tropical development is near 80 percent. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 38 is located about 650 miles east of Barbados near 12N, 50W. The disturbance has become less organized. It should track northwestward over the next several days which will take the system across the northern Leeward Islands by the end of this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to be unfavorable for development. Tropical development is not expected. Disturbance 35 remains nearly stationary about 700 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands near 15N, 35W. The disturbance remains disorganized. The system should move little over the next few days while conditions remain unfavorable for development. Tropical development is not expected. Disturbance 39 remains nearly stationary just off the west coast of Africa along 20W. A slow westward motion is expected to begin later this week. Conditions could become more favorable for development by the end of the week. The chance of tropical development is near 30 percent.
That about sums it up. I had a dozen old folks waiting on my word to jet but I just held the line because I had the info.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:01 AM CDT Wednesday September 02, 2020 Active Systems Name Max Wind Classification Lat Lon Omar 40 mph Tropical Storm 36.0N 68.7W Nana 60 mph Tropical Storm 17.0N 82.4W Omar Omar is a weak tropical storm that is moving out to sea, well north of Bermuda. It is not expected to be a significant shipping threat. The system is expected to weaken to a remnant low within the next 24-36 hours. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal. Nana Nana is a small, strengthening tropical storm in the western Caribbean. The system is expected to make landfall over Belize by late tonight or early tomorrow morning as a hurricane. It will quickly weaken once it moves inland. Though damaging winds are likely near the landfall location, our primary concern is heavy rainfall. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 39 is along 24W and currently relatively stationary. An overall west to west-northwest motion is expected in the coming days. The system exhibits robust large-scale rotation and plentiful tropical moisture. Heavy thunderstorm activity is also robust though disorganized. Atmospheric conditions are favorable and model guidance is at least moderately supportive of development. Therefore, we think development chances are increasing. It is too early to determine if the system will track far enough south to impact the northeastern Caribbean or curve north before being able to reach the islands. The chance of development is 60 percent. Disturbance 35 is a small area of low pressure near 13N, 36W. The system's small size results in lower forecast confidence in both the track and intensity. It is possible that Disturbance 39 could either absorb 35 or cause it stall as 39 passes to the north in several days. Though there is very little model data support for development, we think the chance of development has increased due to an increase in thunderstorms and atmospheric rotation. The chance of development is 30 percent. Disturbance 38 is a very weak system along 55W. It will increase the risk of showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Caribbean on Thursday and Friday. No development is expected.
Looks like Disturbance 39 is the one to watch. Hopefully is keeps on a more NW trend, and stays away from the Gulf as it strengthens.
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 05:06 AM CDT Thursday September 03, 2020 Active Systems Omar Tropical Depression Omar is expected to weaken to a remnant low today. Some thunderstorm activity has been relatively persistent just southeast of the center. Therefore, we cannot rule out the system briefly acquiring minimal tropical storm status before weakening to a remnant low. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal. Nana Tropical Storm Nana has moved inland into Belize. It will continue weakening as it tracks into northern Guatemala today and Chiapas by later today into tomorrow. Despite weakening, it will remain a heavy rain and flood threat through tomorrow. Please see our latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 39 has not moved much since yesterday. It is along 25W, or just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Over the next day or two, the system is expected to begin moving west to west-northwest. There continues to be uncertainty as to whether or not it can track far enough to the south and west to eventually become an eastern Caribbean threat. It is possible that it may turn more northward before being able to reach the Caribbean. It continues to exhibit robust atmospheric circulation and high moisture levels. We think there is a moderately high chance of development. The chance of development over the next 7 days is 60 percent. Disturbance 35 is relatively stationary near 13N, 35W. The system's small size results in a lower forecast confidence in both the track and intensity. Disturbance 39 could absorb 35. It is also possible that Disturbance 35 could stall for several more days while 39 passes it to the north. The future track and intensity are uncertain. The chance of development remains 30 percent. Disturbance 38 is moving into the eastern Caribbean. It is resulting in scattered shower and thunderstorm activity. The disturbance is likely to remain weak as it traverses the Caribbean. No development is expected. Meteorologists: Cameron Self / Rawan Hammad
Atlantic Daily Briefing Issued: 04:44 AM CDT Tuesday September 08, 2020 Paulette Tropical Storm Paulette is located 1240 miles to the east of the northern Leeward Islands and moving to the northwest at 8 mph. Maximum winds are near 50 mph. Paulette will track to the west-northwest through Saturday, then turn to the northwest on Sunday into early next week. The system may threaten Bermuda early next week as a strong tropical storm or a hurricane. Please see the latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Rene Tropical Storm Rene is moving across the Cabo Verde Islands this morning. Maximum winds are near 40 mph. It is moving to the west at 14 mph. Rene will track to the west-northwest to northwest across the eastern and central Atlantic through Sunday. It is forecast to become a hurricane by Thursday, then weaken Saturday into Sunday as it encounters less favorable conditions. It poses no threat to the Caribbean. Please see the latest advisory on your StormGeo web portal for more information. Other Disturbances / Areas to Watch Disturbance 42 is located about 285 miles to the west-southwest of Bermuda near 10N, 69W. It is moving to the west at 15 mph. Thunderstorms have increased significantly with the disturbance, especially near the weak low-level circulation. Satellite wind estimates from last night indicate that maximum winds with this disturbance are estimated at near 30 mph. Environmental conditions will be somewhat favorable for the disturbance to develop as it moves to the west-northwest towards the coast of South Carolina and North Carolina. This disturbance may briefly develop into a tropical depression or weak tropical storm before moving into the coast of North Carolina by Thursday night into Friday. Regardless of development, this system will produce locally heavy rain across the coastal Carolinas. The chance of tropical development has increased to near 50 percent. Disturbance 38 is located across the northwestern Caribbean to the southeastern Gulf of Mexico this morning. It is moving to the west-northwest at 15 mph. Environmental conditions are unfavorable for tropical development as it moves across the southern and central Gulf of Mexico over the next few days. There remains a near zero percent chance of tropical development. Disturbance 43 has been identified over Burkina Faso and southern Mali near 11N, 5W. The disturbance is moving to the west at 15 to 20 mph. Disturbance 43 will likely emerge off of the coast of Africa near Guinea by Wednesday night into Thursday. This system may develop into a tropical storm on Thursday into Friday as it passes near the southern Cabo Verde Islands. Afterward, it will track to the west-northwest across the tropical Atlantic. It may track just to the north of the northeastern Caribbean in about 8 to 10 days from now. There is an 80 percent chance that the system will develop over the next 7 days.
