Perhaps. But it illustrates an out of the box approach making predicting what they might do in any given situation in the future more difficult. No, its not the next step back 3 pointer, but to me, this aspect of their team makes them just a hair more dangerous.
If the playoffs were held today, the Astros would make the playoffs virtue being a second place team. But we would have the worst record of any other AL team making the playoffs, including the wildcards (NYY 26-21, Indians 26-21). Which means, if we fall to 3rd place we have to catch one of NYY or the Indians (I dont know the tiebreaker rules). 3 back with 13 to play isn't insurmountable, but with the way we have been playing... Houston presently is 1.5 games ahead of Seattle for 2nd place in the division. If Houston stays cold and Seattle is even warm, we miss the playoffs. That simple.
So what you are saying is that the Astros chances to make the playoffs are still about 95%....which is significantly better than when Rosenthal wrote his piece suggesting the Astros were sellers at the deadline. in other words....Astros chances to win the World Series are about the same as the Astros chances of missing the playoffs.
NO, I didn't say that. You and others can put a number to it if you like, but which team plays better over the next 13 is going and the other team is not. edit: Seattle does have the tougher schedule. We play them 3 more times. If its close at that point, things could get decided that series.
You have a good point, it could happen. One thing that favors the Astros is the remaining schedule: -Astros: 7 vs Texas (17-30), 3 vs Arizona (17-31), 3 vs Seattle (21-25) -Mariners: 6 vs Oakland (29-17), 3 vs San Diego (31-17), 2 vs San Francisco (23-24), 3 vs Houston (23-24)
Did you say this "Houston presently is 1.5 games ahead of Seattle for 2nd place in the division."? If so, that is the same as saying, the Astros chances to make the playoffs are still about 95%. I was merely translating pessimist to publicly available odds.
I am looking forward to the finishing weeks. The last few games haven't mattered since 2016, given we handily were winning our division the last 3 years. Yea, I noted the schedule after I posted. I added an edit. I do favor us to win out, especially after schedule checking, but its still a race. The A's could falter a bit. They really dont need to scrap for wins to win the division. They are without Chapman. Meanwhile, Seattle has a fighting chance. But our team. I just dont know. I would like to think they are poised for a win streak. But I haven't seen much lately to back that up. Its pretty much pure hope. I dont think they fall in the toilet either though. So my best guess is we go 7-6 the rest of the way. Seattle, having 14 games left would have to go 10-4 to better our record, 9-5 to tie it. Unlikely, but not impossible, especially if we lose more than I predicted.
I was looking though the schedule and wanted to know how the Astros have done in California this year...4-18. We're 19-6 when not playing in California. Good news: No more games in California during the regular season Bad news: AL playoffs are in California
I think Astros were 1st or second in travel. The Astros record in California is likely a combo of great teams in California plus air travel
I know NBA has been pleasantly surprised with how great their players are with no air travel. Hopefully, this will drive expansion to make more sense geographically.
Well that is the dumbest **** ever... https://nypost.com/2020/09/14/mlb-is-forbidding-boozy-playoff-celebrations/
