When you have people waiting for deaths to not trend the way they are well yeah you could say it’s a surprise. yes the rate is when low looking at this as a whole but it significantly gets lower as @robbie380 says if this remains true. That would be great news as we both had agreed.
FDA released guidance on coronavirus vaccine approval : https://www.jpost.com/health-scienc...guidance-for-covid-19-vaccine-approval-633363 The US Food and Drug Administration on Tuesday released guidance for approving a coronavirus vaccine, saying the vaccine has to prevent or decrease disease severity in at least 50% of people who are inoculated. https://www.fda.gov/regulatory-info...pment-and-licensure-vaccines-prevent-covid-19
Another record day in Covid cases for Texas. Let’s all keep going about or lives like normal! It will just go away.. right.... RIGHT?
Cool, agreed. What's the practical impact and implication on lives by age category with this updated data if true? 70+ still stay away right? 50-70 try to stay away but wear masks if you can't? Under 50: wash your hands, wear masks, don't be in large groups, but if you get it, not too much to worry about, but perhaps you have to be hospitalized? *above not accounting for comorbidities like heart disease, high blood pressure, etc.
Hospitalizations surged to 6533 up 620 for a 10.5% increase Houston area led the way with 292 new hospitalizations for a 16.5% increase DFW was up 87 or 6.8% increase San Antonio was up 75 or 8% increase Lower RGV was up 70 or 14.8% No real indications of the growth of active cases or hospitalizations slowing either. It should be another week I think before things start to cool off. 7 day death average has stayed stable and it's at 29 currently. Mortality rate continues to drop and is currently at 1.52% in Texas. That is down from 2.6% a month ago. That number doesn't include any possible adjustments for undetected cases or anything.
I was trying to find the actual study for this but I had no luck. This study would possibly indicate a potentially higher IFR than some other studies have suggested. https://consumer.healthday.com/infe...far-beyond-official-numbers-study-759068.html TUESDAY, June 30, 2020 (HealthDay News) -- The number of coronavirus cases around the world may actually be 12 times higher than reported, a new study suggests in a finding that likely reflects asymptomatic transmission and not enough testing. The difference is less dramatic when it comes to death tallies, with the researchers estimating that actual deaths are probably 1.5 times higher than reported deaths. To arrive at those conclusions, the scientists studied 84 of the most affected nations -- a total of more than 4.7 billion people -- and concluded that there were 88.5 million cases and 600,000 deaths as of June 18. But even with far more infections, the nations in the study are still well below the number required for herd immunity, according to the research team at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Sloan School of Management in Cambridge, Mass. If no vaccines or treatments are developed, and there are only slight improvements in policies to control the coronavirus pandemic, there could be 249 million cases and 1.75 million deaths by spring 2021, the researchers warned. The nations with the highest estimated percentage of their populations infected to date include Ecuador (18%), Peru (16.6%), Chile (15.5%), Mexico (8.8%), Iran (7.9%), Qatar (7.3%), Spain (7.1%), the United States (5.3%), the United Kingdom (5.2%) and the Netherlands (4.8%). About 197,000 deaths -- or one-third of the estimated total -- could have been prevented if countries had implemented earlier and stronger policies to reduce coronavirus transmission when the pandemic was first declared, along with extensive testing, according to study author Hazhir Rahmandad, an associate professor of system dynamics at MIT Sloan, and his colleagues. But the researchers added that testing will have less of an effect on the numbers of future cases and deaths than efforts to reduce transmission, such as social distancing and the wearing of face masks. The paper was published online recently on the Social Science Research Network (SSRN), a repository for preprints and an international journal devoted to the rapid dissemination of research. Meanwhile, data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention suggests that actual coronavirus infection rates in many areas of the United States are more than 10 times higher than reported rates. The difference was greatest in Missouri. As of April 26, about 2.6% of people (6,800) in the state were reported to have been infected, but the CDC said the actual number was about 24 times higher, at 162,000. As of April 1, New York City had reported 53,803 cases, but the actual number of infections was 12 times higher, at nearly 642,000, according to the CDC.
What if hospitalizations increase say two fold? Everything is still okay and they will build the tent operations that were made in NYC (I don’t think they used them though)?
This is getting bad. People who thought it was a hoax, are exposed and running fevers. Others are scrambling to get tested. This in Huntsville and Kingwood. Another is exposed n Waco.
Who’s wants to go raise hell at the boardwalk? https://www.fox26houston.com/news/e...rce-self-quarantining-after-covid-19-exposure @Xerobull bring the nanny
I went to this Ranch Cafe in some hillbilly ass town to pick up my food and none of these mother****ers had a mask on. Cooks, cashier, customers and full blown A/C aerolizing that ****. I shouldve ****ing walked out on sight. Now im feeling lightheaded and anxiety is kicking in.
there are definitely people who don't believe it's real. it's best to let them figure things out themselves.
Stop your whining. You do not have a solution for anything. Perhaps when you lose your source of income will you understand the impact it has on the economy. You're a complete moron if you think we can wipe this out simply by staying home. The first shut down was not a means to an end for the virus. It was to slow the spread long enough to understand it. We understand it a lot better now....which is why deaths continue to drop or hold while infections go up dramatically. Stop living in a fantasy world.
