1. Welcome! Please take a few seconds to create your free account to post threads, make some friends, remove a few ads while surfing and much more. ClutchFans has been bringing fans together to talk Houston Sports since 1996. Join us!

CFB Playoff Rankings

Discussion in 'Football: NFL, College, High School' started by J.R., Oct 28, 2014.

  1. Brando2101

    Brando2101 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 20, 2005
    Messages:
    6,428
    Likes Received:
    945
    Why would you think they are bias against Baylor? I can see you saying that with Ohio St since it is a national program but why would they be bias in favor of TCU?
     
  2. MadMax

    MadMax Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 1999
    Messages:
    76,683
    Likes Received:
    25,924
    I don't know that there's a bias. That's not really what I'm saying. I'm saying I don't like sports where winners are determined by how a team "looks" subjectively.
     
  3. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    37,272
    Likes Received:
    13,735
    TCU over Baylor isn't all about the resume, it's about what they're seeing on the field. TCU appears to have the more complete team. It can pass, run, and defend the pass and run (except for the 96pts they gave up to Baylor - lulz).

    That's just what I've been hearing. Ultimately if both teams win out, as I understand it, Baylor should still finish ahead of TCU. But that doesn't mean they'll be in the playoff.
     
  4. MadMax

    MadMax Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 1999
    Messages:
    76,683
    Likes Received:
    25,924
    This is where it loses me. You don't have to do a subjective test...in most sports, the teams play one another and you get the winner from the scoreboard --- regardless of who people think "looks" better.

    Most college teams in the discussion haven't and won't play one another.

    But that's not so with Baylor and TCU. They played. There was a winner. The scoreboard showed it. I actually watched that game between these two teams. One team won...the other lost. I don't need to guess at it anymore...I saw it.

    Anything other than deciding it on the field is just silly to me. Are we lining up to win each week...to beat opponents...or are we lining up to look good? Apparently it's not enough to win.

    It's always been that way to some degree in college football. It's just particularly frustrating in a season where you have the hint of an alternative to that with a 4 team playoff.
     
  5. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

    Joined:
    Feb 27, 2012
    Messages:
    43,848
    Likes Received:
    30,173
    Not saying that what you're saying is wrong, but if this is what they're basing their rankings off of then the system is a joke.

    It shouldn't matter who's "more complete". The results should be what matter, and TCU lost to Baylor. I see no reason that Baylor should be behind TCU, especially with TCU's horrid Kansas performance.

    Though...if they win out and Baylor jumps them, all is well. I just think it's silly if the eye test is what has TCU over Baylor right now.
     
  6. sealclubber1016

    Supporting Member

    Joined:
    Mar 31, 2010
    Messages:
    21,435
    Likes Received:
    34,639
    God I'm so sick of Ohio St., every year they run that garbage conference up there and end up in the National Title mix. I don't think Baylor and TCU are much better, I think they are both products of a fairly weak conference, but I do think they are both better than Ohio St.

    FWIW, I would personally have the Egg Bowl winner in the playoff, even if its Ole Miss. Not that I think it will play out that way, but I think Ole Miss is a better team than Ohio St.,TCU and Baylor.
     
  7. Major

    Major Member

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 1999
    Messages:
    41,681
    Likes Received:
    16,205
    Do they? Baylor scores more pointsand gives up fewer points than TCU. Baylor has given up 30+ pts to 1 Big12 opponent (TCU). TCU has done it 4 times (Baylor, Kansas, OU, WVU). I would argue Baylor does all of the things you mentioned better than TCU does.

    They also have 3 common opponents so far - OU, WVU, and and Kansas. Baylor beat OU and Kansas by 30+ each. TCU beat each by 4. TCU did beat WVU by 1, while Baylor lost by 14.
     
  8. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    37,272
    Likes Received:
    13,735
    Personally, I'm okay with factoring in the "eye test" in a significant way (apparently 1/5th). You have a group of people discussing performance in a professional, controlled way. I think the TCU/Baylor example is an absolute extreme case, one I don't neccisarily agree with, but in other circumstances I think it's something you have to include.

    What if... let's say..... a team loses with its best player, a QB, out due to injury. That QB comes back, the team does exceptionally well and they're obviously the best team in football. You should be able to use that information. That's precisely what sets this apart from a computer doing everything.

    This is a blend of the NCAA basketball process.
     
  9. J Sizzle

    J Sizzle Member

    Joined:
    Feb 27, 2012
    Messages:
    43,848
    Likes Received:
    30,173
    I should have clarified...

    Eye test is definitely a factor that needs to be considered, but I think in the TCU/Baylor debate, it's largely irrelevant. They have equal records and Baylor has the head-to-head win. They have similar schedules for the most part, and arguably Baylor has performed better throughout than TCU has. Seems pretty definitive, in my opinion.

    Eye test should be more important when comparing teams like Miss. State, Ohio State, etc. as teams with similar rankings but don't play common opponents or each other.

    Baylor-TCU though? We know the result of their game, and I don't see how TCU deserves to be ahead of them, but as you said, likely it works itself out if Baylor wins out.
     
  10. tmac2therack

    tmac2therack Member

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2008
    Messages:
    3,370
    Likes Received:
    1,589
    Jerry Palm(Former BCS/Now playoff expert) of CBS Sports makes a lot of sense in the logic the committee is using with their rankings this week. This reasoning is really dumb but they are not ready to move Baylor in front of TCU right now because TCU(10) has played one more game than the Bears(9) right now. They realized that they couldn't have Baylor directly behind a team that they beat so they moved Ohio State as a buffer between between TCU and Baylor to try to justify their rankings. Once Nebraska beats Minnesota and the Bears smoke OSU this weekend, I expect the Bears to be #5 in the playoff rankings next week barring some upset in the top 4. Minnesota will fall out and TCU and OSU will both lose a quality win even though Minnesota is awful.

    He has the Bears playing Bama in the Sugar Bowl.
     
  11. Major

    Major Member

    Joined:
    Jun 28, 1999
    Messages:
    41,681
    Likes Received:
    16,205
    So there was talk earlier about the Big12 and SEC top teams playing each other in a big bowl game. Here's an article on it:

    http://espn.go.com/college-football...bowl-new-orleans-site-marquee-big-12-sec-game

    However, looking at the bowl matchups, this year's Sugar Bowl is part of the playoff. So does this matchup not exist anymore? The only places where SEC and Big12 face off are the Texas Bowl and the Liberty Bowl.

    http://espn.go.com/college-football/story/_/id/11419086/2014-15-college-football-bowl-schedule
     
  12. Cannonball

    Cannonball Member

    Joined:
    Jul 27, 2006
    Messages:
    21,888
    Likes Received:
    2,334
    I don't think head to head is always the end all, be all. Home field advantage is usually worth about 3 points, at least as far as betting lines go. Baylor won at home by 3. If Baylor had whooped them, it'd be different. But a 3 point win at home suggests that the teams are actually pretty even, and that if the game had been in Fort Worth it probably would've gone the other way. It certainly matters, but it's never been the case that the best team always wins (see Rams v. Broncos) so for me, other factors can still swing things in favor of the loser of a H2H matchup. For example, TCU's 3 point loss in Waco is a better loss than Baylor's 14 point loss at West Virginia.

    Where I give Baylor the edge at the moment is in some of the common opponents games. TCU beat OU by 4. Baylor beat them by 34. TCU beat Kansas by 4. Baylor beat them 46.

    I would give the edge to Baylor, but not simply because they won the head to head considering the margin of victory and location of the game.
     
  13. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    37,272
    Likes Received:
    13,735
    Yeah, I've been confused about what's going on with that bowl.
     
  14. MadMax

    MadMax Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 1999
    Messages:
    76,683
    Likes Received:
    25,924
    In every other sport, it matters. We don't have real playoffs in college football..the regular season is the playoffs. When you beat a team and your record is identical to them, it's nonsensical to me that the team that lost that game would be ranked ahead of the other. It doesn't matter at this point...I get that...but it's still ridiculous to me.

    Talking about betting lines is a complete non-starter with me. Win by 1..win by 100...you beat the team. Again, if they never play one another, I get it. But when they do? Yeah...the team that beat the other team is the one that should get the nod.
     
  15. Ziggy

    Ziggy QUEEN ANON

    Joined:
    Jun 11, 1999
    Messages:
    37,272
    Likes Received:
    13,735

    That's just a marketing slogan manufactured by ESPN to hype games... it's not like Baylor vs TCU was neutral field... it's not like one had home court advantage based on an earned seeding system. It's just a game.
     
  16. MadMax

    MadMax Member

    Joined:
    Sep 19, 1999
    Messages:
    76,683
    Likes Received:
    25,924
    How is that wrong, Ziggy? What other playoff games are there aside from 4 teams?

    In every other sport, we have a sizable percentage of teams participating in a post-season tournament of some sort.

    But not in college football. You're not coming out of the 6th seed to win a national championship.

    The regular season is the playoffs. There isn't a "second season" to make it ok.
     
  17. Brando2101

    Brando2101 Member

    Joined:
    Apr 20, 2005
    Messages:
    6,428
    Likes Received:
    945
    I believe it will get moved to either the Cotton or Fiesta bowl along with the Pac12 vs big 10 game.
     
  18. J.R.

    J.R. Member

    Joined:
    Jun 30, 2008
    Messages:
    114,261
    Likes Received:
    176,945
    11/25/14
    25. Utah
    24. Marshall
    23. Boise State
    22. Louisville
    21. Clemson
    20. Oklahoma
    19. Ole Miss
    18. Minnesota
    17. Missouri
    16. Georgia Tech
    15. Auburn
    14. Wisconsin
    13. Arizona State
    12. Kansas State
    11. Arizona
    10. Michigan State
    9. Georgia
    8. UCLA
    7. Baylor
    -----------------
    6. Ohio State
    5. TCU
    -----------------
    4. Mississippi State
    3. Florida State
    2. Oregon
    1. Alabama
     
  19. tmac2therack

    tmac2therack Member

    Joined:
    Apr 1, 2008
    Messages:
    3,370
    Likes Received:
    1,589
    This is a joke now. This Jeff Long idiot is contradicting himself every week.
     
  20. sammy

    sammy Member

    Joined:
    Jul 5, 2002
    Messages:
    18,949
    Likes Received:
    3,528
    Relax. Minnesota won while Ohio State played a close game to an unranked team while having an indirect loss to one of the worst teams in Wake Forest.

    We need to crush Tech and have a convincing win against Kansas State. There's some chatter about us passing a one loss Miss State team if we handle our business. I'll have it to see it to believe it. Go Ole Miss!
     

Share This Page